Skip to main content

To trade in the US, go to polymarket.us

icon for Wyoming Senate Election: Turnout
Politics·Turnout

Wyoming Senate Election: Turnout

icon for Wyoming Senate Election: Turnout
Politics·Turnout

Wyoming Senate Election: Turnout

190K-210K 51%

210K-230K 33%

170K-190K 16%

250K+ 6%

Polymarket
NEW

190K-210K 51%

210K-230K 33%

170K-190K 16%

250K+ 6%

Polymarket
NEW

<150K

$246 Vol.

3%

150K-170K

$87 Vol.

4%

170K-190K

$178 Vol.

12%

190K-210K

$2,321 Vol.

51%

210K-230K

$373 Vol.

33%

230K-250K

$109 Vol.

4%

250K+

$572 Vol.

6%

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Wyoming’s 2026 U.S. Senate general election on November 3 features Republican nominee Harriet Hageman against Democrat James Byrd in a race rated solidly Republican by multiple forecasters. With roughly 340,000 registered voters and historical midterm turnout near 198,000 ballots in 2022, traders assign the highest probability to the 190K-210K range. The uncompetitive nature of the contest after Hageman’s primary victory and minimal Democratic mobilization reduces incentives for unusually high or low participation. Typical midterm drop-off from the 2024 presidential election, rural voter patterns, and potential Election Day weather remain the main variables that could shift totals within the narrow band traders currently favor.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,886
End Date
Nov 3, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Wyoming’s 2026 U.S. Senate general election on November 3 features Republican nominee Harriet Hageman against Democrat James Byrd in a race rated solidly Republican by multiple forecasters. With roughly 340,000 registered voters and historical midterm turnout near 198,000 ballots in 2022, traders assign the highest probability to the 190K-210K range. The uncompetitive nature of the contest after Hageman’s primary victory and minimal Democratic mobilization reduces incentives for unusually high or low participation. Typical midterm drop-off from the 2024 presidential election, rural voter patterns, and potential Election Day weather remain the main variables that could shift totals within the narrow band traders currently favor.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,886
End Date
Nov 3, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Related

icon for Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia be between 450,000 and 500,000?

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia be between 450,000 and 500,000?

45%
icon for Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Delaware be between 375,000 and 400,000?

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Delaware be between 375,000 and 400,000?

24%
icon for Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho be between 600,000 and 640,000?

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho be between 600,000 and 640,000?

47%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Wyoming Senate Election: Turnout" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "190K-210K" at 51%, followed by "210K-230K" at 33%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 51¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Wyoming Senate Election: Turnout" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 18, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Wyoming Senate Election: Turnout," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Wyoming Senate Election: Turnout" is "190K-210K" at 51%, meaning the market assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "210K-230K" at 33%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Wyoming Senate Election: Turnout" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.