Iraq, Jordan, and Uzbekistan lead trader sentiment for worst-placed AFC nation at the 2026 FIFA World Cup primarily due to their challenging group-stage draws against elite European and South American sides. Iraq faces France, Senegal, and Norway in Group I, while Jordan meets Argentina, Algeria, and Austria in Group J, and Uzbekistan confronts Portugal, Colombia, and DR Congo in Group K—matchups that historically favor heavy favorites in opening rounds. In contrast, higher-probability outcomes like Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and Iran sit in groups with marginally better paths despite tough opposition from Spain, Switzerland, and Belgium, respectively. Japan, South Korea, and Australia benefit from stronger recent form, deeper squads, and comparatively navigable sections featuring teams like the Netherlands or Mexico. The 50% "Other" share reflects uncertainty over final qualification details and potential surprises from additional AFC entrants amid the expanded 48-team format.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIraq 100%
Australia <1%
Iran <1%
Japan <1%
$10,263 Vol.
$10,263 Vol.
Aug 2, 2026
Australia
No
Iran
No
Iraq
Yes
Japan
No
Jordan
No
Qatar
No
Saudi Arabia
No
South Korea
No
Uzbekistan
No
Iraq 100%
Australia <1%
Iran <1%
Japan <1%
$10,263 Vol.
$10,263 Vol.
Aug 2, 2026
Australia
$1,049 Vol.
No
Iran
$866 Vol.
No
Iraq
$917 Vol.
Yes
Japan
$928 Vol.
No
Jordan
$801 Vol.
No
Qatar
$1,846 Vol.
No
Saudi Arabia
$1,321 Vol.
No
South Korea
$1,361 Vol.
No
Uzbekistan
$1,174 Vol.
No
This market will resolve in favor of the nation in AFC (Asia) that is eliminated at the earliest stage (places lowest) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed AFC nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iraq, Jordan, and Uzbekistan lead trader sentiment for worst-placed AFC nation at the 2026 FIFA World Cup primarily due to their challenging group-stage draws against elite European and South American sides. Iraq faces France, Senegal, and Norway in Group I, while Jordan meets Argentina, Algeria, and Austria in Group J, and Uzbekistan confronts Portugal, Colombia, and DR Congo in Group K—matchups that historically favor heavy favorites in opening rounds. In contrast, higher-probability outcomes like Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and Iran sit in groups with marginally better paths despite tough opposition from Spain, Switzerland, and Belgium, respectively. Japan, South Korea, and Australia benefit from stronger recent form, deeper squads, and comparatively navigable sections featuring teams like the Netherlands or Mexico. The 50% "Other" share reflects uncertainty over final qualification details and potential surprises from additional AFC entrants amid the expanded 48-team format.
This market will resolve in favor of the nation in AFC (Asia) that is eliminated at the earliest stage (places lowest) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed AFC nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed AFC nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jun 5, 2026, 4:04 PM ET
Volume
$10,263End Date
Aug 3, 2026Market Opened
Jun 5, 2026, 4:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47de9d...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve in favor of the nation in AFC (Asia) that is eliminated at the earliest stage (places lowest) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed AFC nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iraq, Jordan, and Uzbekistan lead trader sentiment for worst-placed AFC nation at the 2026 FIFA World Cup primarily due to their challenging group-stage draws against elite European and South American sides. Iraq faces France, Senegal, and Norway in Group I, while Jordan meets Argentina, Algeria, and Austria in Group J, and Uzbekistan confronts Portugal, Colombia, and DR Congo in Group K—matchups that historically favor heavy favorites in opening rounds. In contrast, higher-probability outcomes like Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and Iran sit in groups with marginally better paths despite tough opposition from Spain, Switzerland, and Belgium, respectively. Japan, South Korea, and Australia benefit from stronger recent form, deeper squads, and comparatively navigable sections featuring teams like the Netherlands or Mexico. The 50% "Other" share reflects uncertainty over final qualification details and potential surprises from additional AFC entrants amid the expanded 48-team format.
This market will resolve in favor of the nation in AFC (Asia) that is eliminated at the earliest stage (places lowest) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed AFC nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed AFC nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$10,263End Date
Aug 3, 2026Market Opened
Jun 5, 2026, 4:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47de9d...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Iraq, Jordan, and Uzbekistan lead trader sentiment for worst-placed AFC nation at the 2026 FIFA World Cup primarily due to their challenging group-stage draws against elite European and South American sides. Iraq faces France, Senegal, and Norway in Group I, while Jordan meets Argentina, Algeria, and Austria in Group J, and Uzbekistan confronts Portugal, Colombia, and DR Congo in Group K—matchups that historically favor heavy favorites in opening rounds. In contrast, higher-probability outcomes like Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and Iran sit in groups with marginally better paths despite tough opposition from Spain, Switzerland, and Belgium, respectively. Japan, South Korea, and Australia benefit from stronger recent form, deeper squads, and comparatively navigable sections featuring teams like the Netherlands or Mexico. The 50% "Other" share reflects uncertainty over final qualification details and potential surprises from additional AFC entrants amid the expanded 48-team format.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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