Germany leads the nation-of-top-scorer market at 29.5% implied probability, followed closely by France at 24% and England at 17.5%, reflecting the early World Cup group stage where multiple contenders have already posted multiple goals. Kai Havertz’s brace in Germany’s opening rout, Kylian Mbappé’s continued threat for France, and Harry Kane’s output for England keep those nations bunched, while Spain, Argentina, and Norway sit just behind amid distributed scoring from players like Lionel Messi. The expanded 48-team format, variable group paths, and depth across attacking lines sustain the tight clustering, as no single side has separated decisively in the opening matches.