The tightly bunched probabilities among Kylian Mbappe and Harry Kane at 14.5% each, followed by Erling Haaland at 7.5%, reflect trader consensus on a wide-open 2026 World Cup top goalscorer race featuring 48 teams and an expanded format. Mbappe and Kane lead due to their central attacking roles and proven tournament scoring records for France and England, while Haaland's clinical finishing for Norway and strong club form supports his position. Veterans like Lionel Messi and Cristiano Ronaldo sit lower amid age-related minutes restrictions and supporting casts, creating realistic paths for younger options such as Lamine Yamal or Julian Alvarez to surge with breakout performances. This distribution highlights the inherent unpredictability of goal tallies across group stages and knockouts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCoppa del Mondo: miglior marcatore
Kylian Mbappe 15%
Harry Kane 15%
Erling Haaland 8%
Mikel Oyarzabal 7%
$361,107 Vol.
$361,107 Vol.
Kylian Mbappe
15%
Harry Kane
15%
Erling Haaland
8%
Mikel Oyarzabal
7%
Lionel Messi
6%
Cristiano Ronaldo
6%
Lamine Yamal
5%
Julian Alvarez
4%
Raphinha
4%
Vinicius Junior
4%
Ousmane Dembele
3%
Lautaro Martinez
3%
Michael Olise
3%
Cody Gakpo
2%
Igor Thiago
2%
Ferran Torres
2%
Bruno Fernandes
2%
Depay Memphis
2%
Rafael Leao
2%
Viktor Gyökeres
2%
Deniz Undav
1%
Luis Diaz
1%
Mohamed Salah
1%
Bukayo Saka
1%
Jude Bellingham
1%
Dani Olmo
1%
Federico Valverde
1%
Desire Doue
1%
Bradley Barcola
1%
Luis Javier Suárez
1%
Marcus Thuram
1%
Scott McTominay
1%
Heung-Min Son
1%
Sadio Mane
1%
Pedri
1%
Antoine Semenyo
1%
Ivan Perišić
<1%
Noah Okafor
<1%
Edin Džeko
<1%
Serge Gnabry
<1%
Andrej Kramarić
<1%
Dion Beljo
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Amad Diallo
<1%
Kylian Mbappe 15%
Harry Kane 15%
Erling Haaland 8%
Mikel Oyarzabal 7%
$361,107 Vol.
$361,107 Vol.
Kylian Mbappe
15%
Harry Kane
15%
Erling Haaland
8%
Mikel Oyarzabal
7%
Lionel Messi
6%
Cristiano Ronaldo
6%
Lamine Yamal
5%
Julian Alvarez
4%
Raphinha
4%
Vinicius Junior
4%
Ousmane Dembele
3%
Lautaro Martinez
3%
Michael Olise
3%
Cody Gakpo
2%
Igor Thiago
2%
Ferran Torres
2%
Bruno Fernandes
2%
Depay Memphis
2%
Rafael Leao
2%
Viktor Gyökeres
2%
Deniz Undav
1%
Luis Diaz
1%
Mohamed Salah
1%
Bukayo Saka
1%
Jude Bellingham
1%
Dani Olmo
1%
Federico Valverde
1%
Desire Doue
1%
Bradley Barcola
1%
Luis Javier Suárez
1%
Marcus Thuram
1%
Scott McTominay
1%
Heung-Min Son
1%
Sadio Mane
1%
Pedri
1%
Antoine Semenyo
1%
Ivan Perišić
<1%
Noah Okafor
<1%
Edin Džeko
<1%
Serge Gnabry
<1%
Andrej Kramarić
<1%
Dion Beljo
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Amad Diallo
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Apr 24, 2026, 1:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The tightly bunched probabilities among Kylian Mbappe and Harry Kane at 14.5% each, followed by Erling Haaland at 7.5%, reflect trader consensus on a wide-open 2026 World Cup top goalscorer race featuring 48 teams and an expanded format. Mbappe and Kane lead due to their central attacking roles and proven tournament scoring records for France and England, while Haaland's clinical finishing for Norway and strong club form supports his position. Veterans like Lionel Messi and Cristiano Ronaldo sit lower amid age-related minutes restrictions and supporting casts, creating realistic paths for younger options such as Lamine Yamal or Julian Alvarez to surge with breakout performances. This distribution highlights the inherent unpredictability of goal tallies across group stages and knockouts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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