Kylian Mbappé leads the Golden Boot market at 25.5% implied probability after opening his 2026 account with goals for France in the group stage, building on his 2022 triumph and strong club output at Real Madrid. Lionel Messi sits close behind at 21.1% on the strength of Argentina’s attacking depth and his prior tournament pedigree, while Harry Kane holds 19.5% following a record 61-goal club season at Bayern Munich that reinforces his proven international finishing. Erling Haaland and emerging options like Kai Havertz trail further back, reflecting their teams’ paths and variable early returns. With the expanded 48-team format extending run-ins and several elite forwards still in contention, the tight spread among the top three underscores how group-stage results, knockout progression, and minor scoring swings can rapidly shift consensus on who claims the most goals.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWorld Cup: Golden Boot Winner
Lionel Messi 35.4%
Kylian Mbappe 30%
Erling Haaland 11%
Harry Kane 7%
$31,646,020 ปริมาณ
$31,646,020 ปริมาณ
Lionel Messi
35%
Kylian Mbappe
30%
Erling Haaland
11%
Harry Kane
7%
Vinicius Junior
6%
Mikel Oyarzabal
3%
Cristiano Ronaldo
3%
Deniz Undav
2%
Lamine Yamal
1%
Cody Gakpo
1%
Kai Havertz
<1%
Folarin Balogun
<1%
Ousmane Dembele
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Noah Okafor
<1%
Scott McTominay
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Amad Diallo
<1%
Depay Memphis
<1%
Heung-Min Son
<1%
Edin Džeko
<1%
Igor Thiago
<1%
Serge Gnabry
<1%
Viktor Gyökeres
<1%
Ferran Torres
<1%
Marcus Thuram
<1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Ivan Perišić
<1%
Andrej Kramarić
<1%
Dani Olmo
<1%
Desire Doue
<1%
Bradley Barcola
<1%
Sadio Mane
<1%
Rafael Leao
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Luis Javier Suárez
<1%
Romelu Lukaku
<1%
Tim Payne
<1%
Donyell Malen
<1%
Antoine Semenyo
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Dion Beljo
<1%
Endrick
<1%
Florian Wirtz
<1%
Memphis Depay
<1%
Lionel Messi 35.4%
Kylian Mbappe 30%
Erling Haaland 11%
Harry Kane 7%
$31,646,020 ปริมาณ
$31,646,020 ปริมาณ
Lionel Messi
35%
Kylian Mbappe
30%
Erling Haaland
11%
Harry Kane
7%
Vinicius Junior
6%
Mikel Oyarzabal
3%
Cristiano Ronaldo
3%
Deniz Undav
2%
Lamine Yamal
1%
Cody Gakpo
1%
Kai Havertz
<1%
Folarin Balogun
<1%
Ousmane Dembele
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Noah Okafor
<1%
Scott McTominay
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Amad Diallo
<1%
Depay Memphis
<1%
Heung-Min Son
<1%
Edin Džeko
<1%
Igor Thiago
<1%
Serge Gnabry
<1%
Viktor Gyökeres
<1%
Ferran Torres
<1%
Marcus Thuram
<1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Ivan Perišić
<1%
Andrej Kramarić
<1%
Dani Olmo
<1%
Desire Doue
<1%
Bradley Barcola
<1%
Sadio Mane
<1%
Rafael Leao
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Luis Javier Suárez
<1%
Romelu Lukaku
<1%
Tim Payne
<1%
Donyell Malen
<1%
Antoine Semenyo
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Dion Beljo
<1%
Endrick
<1%
Florian Wirtz
<1%
Memphis Depay
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 24, 2026, 1:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kylian Mbappé leads the Golden Boot market at 25.5% implied probability after opening his 2026 account with goals for France in the group stage, building on his 2022 triumph and strong club output at Real Madrid. Lionel Messi sits close behind at 21.1% on the strength of Argentina’s attacking depth and his prior tournament pedigree, while Harry Kane holds 19.5% following a record 61-goal club season at Bayern Munich that reinforces his proven international finishing. Erling Haaland and emerging options like Kai Havertz trail further back, reflecting their teams’ paths and variable early returns. With the expanded 48-team format extending run-ins and several elite forwards still in contention, the tight spread among the top three underscores how group-stage results, knockout progression, and minor scoring swings can rapidly shift consensus on who claims the most goals.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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