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Sports·WNBA

WNBA: 2026 MVP

icon for WNBA: 2026 MVP
Sports·WNBA

WNBA: 2026 MVP

A'ja Wilson 94.2%

Kelsey Mitchell 94.0%

Alyssa Thomas 73.0%

Napheesa Collier 57.0%

Polymarket

$403,433 Vol.

A'ja Wilson 94.2%

Kelsey Mitchell 94.0%

Alyssa Thomas 73.0%

Napheesa Collier 57.0%

Polymarket

$403,433 Vol.

A'ja Wilson

$231,115 Vol.

94%

Breanna Stewart

$1,655 Vol.

25%

Nneka Ogwumike

$1,946 Vol.

4%

Gabby Williams

$2,429 Vol.

3%

Sabrina Ionescu

$1,747 Vol.

2%

Allisha Gray

$1,473 Vol.

2%

Caitlin Clark

$19,641 Vol.

2%

Olivia Miles

$9,096 Vol.

14%

Jackie Young

$2,025 Vol.

<1%

Rhyne Howard

$1,575 Vol.

7%

Napheesa Collier

$1,649 Vol.

57%

Kelsey Plum

$1,832 Vol.

35%

Alyssa Thomas

$95,134 Vol.

73%

Satou Sabally

$26,901 Vol.

36%

Paige Bueckers

$5,204 Vol.

52%

Kelsey Mitchell

$12 Vol.

94%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 WNBA Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by WNBA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 WNBA season is cancelled, postponed after November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Women’s National Basketball Association; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A'ja Wilson’s unmatched two-way dominance anchors the WNBA 2026 MVP market at 93.7% implied probability. The Las Vegas Aces center leads the league in scoring (26.0 PPG) and blocks (2.0 BPG) while posting elite efficiency (52.5% FG, 40.7% from three) across 40 games, alongside 9.4 rebounds and strong defensive metrics that elevate her team’s net rating dramatically when she plays. Wilson has swept Western Conference Player of the Month honors and sits on pace for a record fifth MVP as the Aces hold the No. 3 seed. Distant challengers such as rookie Olivia Miles and Caitlin Clark post strong offensive numbers but lack comparable overall impact or defensive value. Late-season injury or an unprecedented surge from another contender represent the narrow paths that could still shift the outcome before voting concludes.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 WNBA Most Valuable Player Award.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by WNBA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 WNBA season is cancelled, postponed after November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Women’s National Basketball Association; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 WNBA Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by WNBA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 WNBA season is cancelled, postponed after November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Women’s National Basketball Association; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$403,433
End Date
Nov 15, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 6:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47de9d...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 WNBA Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by WNBA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 WNBA season is cancelled, postponed after November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Women’s National Basketball Association; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A'ja Wilson’s unmatched two-way dominance anchors the WNBA 2026 MVP market at 93.7% implied probability. The Las Vegas Aces center leads the league in scoring (26.0 PPG) and blocks (2.0 BPG) while posting elite efficiency (52.5% FG, 40.7% from three) across 40 games, alongside 9.4 rebounds and strong defensive metrics that elevate her team’s net rating dramatically when she plays. Wilson has swept Western Conference Player of the Month honors and sits on pace for a record fifth MVP as the Aces hold the No. 3 seed. Distant challengers such as rookie Olivia Miles and Caitlin Clark post strong offensive numbers but lack comparable overall impact or defensive value. Late-season injury or an unprecedented surge from another contender represent the narrow paths that could still shift the outcome before voting concludes.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 WNBA Most Valuable Player Award.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by WNBA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 WNBA season is cancelled, postponed after November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Women’s National Basketball Association; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 WNBA Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by WNBA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 WNBA season is cancelled, postponed after November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Women’s National Basketball Association; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$403,433
End Date
Nov 15, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 6:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47de9d...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"WNBA: 2026 MVP" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 16 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "A'ja Wilson" at 95%, followed by "Kelsey Mitchell" at 94%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 95¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "WNBA: 2026 MVP" has generated $403.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 21, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "WNBA: 2026 MVP," browse the 16 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "WNBA: 2026 MVP" is "A'ja Wilson" at 95%, meaning the market assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Kelsey Mitchell" at 94%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "WNBA: 2026 MVP" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.