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Will Twitter be removed from the Apple app store by EOY?

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Will Twitter be removed from the Apple app store by EOY?

On November 28, 2022, @elonmusk tweeted "Apple has mostly stopped advertising on Twitter. Do they hate free speech in America?" and followed up with "Apple has also threatened to withhold Twitter from its App Store, but won’t tell us why" (https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1597300125243944961). This is a market on whether Apple follows through with their alleged threat. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Twitter app is removed from the Apple app store by December 31, 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Apple and the Apple App Store, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

On November 28, 2022, @elonmusk tweeted "Apple has mostly stopped advertising on Twitter. Do they hate free speech in America?" and followed up with "Apple has also threatened to withhold Twitter from its App Store, but won’t tell us why" (https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1597300125243944961). This is a market on whether Apple follows through with their alleged threat. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Twitter app is removed from the Apple app store by December 31, 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Apple and the Apple App Store, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Twitter be removed from the Apple app store by EOY?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Will Twitter be removed from the Apple app store by EOY?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Nov 28, 2022. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Will Twitter be removed from the Apple app store by EOY?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Twitter be removed from the Apple app store by EOY?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Twitter be removed from the Apple app store by EOY?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.