Will Trump remove tariff on Canada before May?
$269,712 Vol.
Apr 30, 2025
Rules
Additional context
Updated Feb 3
If, prior to a tariff's implementation, the date in which it goes into effect is pushed back to a specified date, it will not count as that tariff's removal. An indefinite delay/suspension of a tariff's implementation before it has gone into effect, or any suspension (regardless of whether it is temporary) after a tariff has gone into effect, will qualify as a removal.
On February 1, Donald Trump imposed a 25% tariff on imports from Canada (see: https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2025/02/fact-sheet-president-donald-j-trump-imposes-tariffs-on-imports-from-canada-mexico-and-china/)
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action which removes the 25% general tariff on Canada by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
Actions which remove the general 25% tariff will qualify even if there are item specific exceptions for which the tariff still applies. However, lowering the general tariff below 25% without removing it will not qualify.
Any action which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the removal goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action which removes the 25% general tariff on Canada by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
Actions which remove the general 25% tariff will qualify even if there are item specific exceptions for which the tariff still applies. However, lowering the general tariff below 25% without removing it will not qualify.
Any action which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the removal goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Volume
$269,712
End Date
Apr 30, 2025
Resolver
0x6A9D222616...Comments (97)
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