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Will Trump eliminate H-1B visa in first 100 days?

Market icon

Will Trump eliminate H-1B visa in first 100 days?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$84,997 Vol.

<1% chance
Polymarket

$84,997 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action eliminating the H-1B visa or otherwise suspending/prohibiting employment via the H-1B visa (even if temporarily) by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Reducing the cap on H-1b visa recipients will not count - this market pertains to eliminating/suspending the H-1b visa altogether. This market will still resolve to "Yes" even if courts later block the relevant action(s).

Any legislation or executive action officially enacted within the market's timeframe will qualify, regardless of when the changes take effect.

If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to sign such legislation or perform executive action (e.g., he resigns, or is no longer in office), this market will resolve to "No".

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the US government, including federal records of signed legislation and executive actions. A consensus of credible reporting will also be used as necessary.
Volume
$84,997
End Date
Apr 29, 2025
Market Opened
Dec 26, 2024, 2:51 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action eliminating the H-1B visa or otherwise suspending/prohibiting employment via the H-1B visa (even if temporarily) by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Reducing the cap on H-1b visa recipients will not count - this market pertains to eliminating/suspending the H-1b visa altogether. This market will still resolve to "Yes" even if courts later block the relevant action(s). Any legislation or executive action officially enacted within the market's timeframe will qualify, regardless of when the changes take effect. If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to sign such legislation or perform executive action (e.g., he resigns, or is no longer in office), this market will resolve to "No". This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the US government, including federal records of signed legislation and executive actions. A consensus of credible reporting will also be used as necessary.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action eliminating the H-1B visa or otherwise suspending/prohibiting employment via the H-1B visa (even if temporarily) by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Reducing the cap on H-1b visa recipients will not count - this market pertains to eliminating/suspending the H-1b visa altogether. This market will still resolve to "Yes" even if courts later block the relevant action(s).

Any legislation or executive action officially enacted within the market's timeframe will qualify, regardless of when the changes take effect.

If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to sign such legislation or perform executive action (e.g., he resigns, or is no longer in office), this market will resolve to "No".

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the US government, including federal records of signed legislation and executive actions. A consensus of credible reporting will also be used as necessary.
Volume
$84,997
End Date
Apr 29, 2025
Market Opened
Dec 26, 2024, 2:51 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action eliminating the H-1B visa or otherwise suspending/prohibiting employment via the H-1B visa (even if temporarily) by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Reducing the cap on H-1b visa recipients will not count - this market pertains to eliminating/suspending the H-1b visa altogether. This market will still resolve to "Yes" even if courts later block the relevant action(s). Any legislation or executive action officially enacted within the market's timeframe will qualify, regardless of when the changes take effect. If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to sign such legislation or perform executive action (e.g., he resigns, or is no longer in office), this market will resolve to "No". This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the US government, including federal records of signed legislation and executive actions. A consensus of credible reporting will also be used as necessary.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Trump eliminate H-1B visa in first 100 days?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Trump eliminate H-1B visa in first 100 days?" has generated $85K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 26, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Trump eliminate H-1B visa in first 100 days?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Trump eliminate H-1B visa in first 100 days?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Trump eliminate H-1B visa in first 100 days?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.