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Will Trump eliminate H-1B visa in first 100 days?
$59,287 Vol.
Apr 29, 2025
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action eliminating the H-1B visa or otherwise suspending/prohibiting employment via the H-1B visa (even if temporarily) by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Reducing the cap on H-1b visa recipients will not count - this market pertains to eliminating/suspending the H-1b visa altogether. This market will still resolve to "Yes" even if courts later block the relevant action(s).
Any legislation or executive action officially enacted within the market's timeframe will qualify, regardless of when the changes take effect.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to sign such legislation or perform executive action (e.g., he resigns, or is no longer in office), this market will resolve to "No".
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the US government, including federal records of signed legislation and executive actions. A consensus of credible reporting will also be used as necessary.
Reducing the cap on H-1b visa recipients will not count - this market pertains to eliminating/suspending the H-1b visa altogether. This market will still resolve to "Yes" even if courts later block the relevant action(s).
Any legislation or executive action officially enacted within the market's timeframe will qualify, regardless of when the changes take effect.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to sign such legislation or perform executive action (e.g., he resigns, or is no longer in office), this market will resolve to "No".
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the US government, including federal records of signed legislation and executive actions. A consensus of credible reporting will also be used as necessary.
Volume
$59,287
End Date
Apr 29, 2025
Resolver
0x6A9D222616...Comments (4)
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victorianageperv...
24d ago
I'd say it's reasonable to assume that H-1B will be replaced by a better visa program without the abuse that H-1B is known for. Once the ball starts rolling on limiting illegal immigration, discussion on legal immigration will be had just the same.
sMILE
2mo ago
trump is musk's puppet so no