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icon for Will SBF’s tweet storm spell "HAPPENED"?

Will SBF’s tweet storm spell "HAPPENED"?

icon for Will SBF’s tweet storm spell "HAPPENED"?

Will SBF’s tweet storm spell "HAPPENED"?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next 3 A-Z characters in the next tweets posted by Sam Bankman-Fried's (known as "SBF") verified Twitter account (https://twitter.com/SBF_FTX) spell "NED". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of the inception of this market, the latest tweet SBF posted was "6) E", at 8:38 PM · Nov 14, 2022 (https://twitter.com/SBF_FTX/status/1592225483294638080) The resolution source for this market will be SBF's verified Twitter account: https://twitter.com/SBF_FTX, however credible media sources will also suffice. This market will resolve based on the first English-alphabet letters in the next tweets released by SBF's verified twitter account. Any amount of numbers, symbols, or non-English-alphabet letters before an A-Z letter appears in the tweets will not count toward the resolution of this market (e.g. if the next tweet is "6) N", it will count toward this market's resolution). If the first A-Z letter(s) in SBF's next tweet appear(s) as part of a word or block of letters, this market will still resolve based on that letter (e.g. if the next tweet is "neddy", this market will resolve to "Yes"). This market will resolve based on the appearance of the letters "ned" regardless of whether they are upper or lower case. This market will resolve based on the appearance of the letters "ned" regardless of whether they appear in multiple tweets or a single tweet (ex: "7) N", "8) E", etc; "ned"). If the URL of SBF's verified Twitter account changes before the resolution of this question, whichever URL the Twitter account moves to will be the valid resolution source for this market. For the purpose of this market’s resolution, an image posted by SBF's verified Twitter account will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If SBF's verified Twitter account does not tweet again before December 1, 2022, 12:00:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Resolution of this market will be unaffected by the aforementioned Twitter post later being edited or deleted.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next 3 A-Z characters in the next tweets posted by Sam Bankman-Fried's (known as "SBF") verified Twitter account (https://twitter.com/SBF_FTX) spell "NED". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

As of the inception of this market, the latest tweet SBF posted was "6) E", at 8:38 PM · Nov 14, 2022 (https://twitter.com/SBF_FTX/status/1592225483294638080)

The resolution source for this market will be SBF's verified Twitter account: https://twitter.com/SBF_FTX, however credible media sources will also suffice.

This market will resolve based on the first English-alphabet letters in the next tweets released by SBF's verified twitter account. Any amount of numbers, symbols, or non-English-alphabet letters before an A-Z letter appears in the tweets will not count toward the resolution of this market (e.g. if the next tweet is "6) N", it will count toward this market's resolution).

If the first A-Z letter(s) in SBF's next tweet appear(s) as part of a word or block of letters, this market will still resolve based on that letter (e.g. if the next tweet is "neddy", this market will resolve to "Yes").

This market will resolve based on the appearance of the letters "ned" regardless of whether they are upper or lower case.

This market will resolve based on the appearance of the letters "ned" regardless of whether they appear in multiple tweets or a single tweet (ex: "7) N", "8) E", etc; "ned").

If the URL of SBF's verified Twitter account changes before the resolution of this question, whichever URL the Twitter account moves to will be the valid resolution source for this market. For the purpose of this market’s resolution, an image posted by SBF's verified Twitter account will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

If SBF's verified Twitter account does not tweet again before December 1, 2022, 12:00:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Resolution of this market will be unaffected by the aforementioned Twitter post later being edited or deleted.
Volume
$3,810
End Date
Nov 30, 2022
Market Opened
Nov 13, 2022, 7:00 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://twitter.com/SBF_FTX

Resolver

0xCB1822859...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next 3 A-Z characters in the next tweets posted by Sam Bankman-Fried's (known as "SBF") verified Twitter account (https://twitter.com/SBF_FTX) spell "NED". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of the inception of this market, the latest tweet SBF posted was "6) E", at 8:38 PM · Nov 14, 2022 (https://twitter.com/SBF_FTX/status/1592225483294638080) The resolution source for this market will be SBF's verified Twitter account: https://twitter.com/SBF_FTX, however credible media sources will also suffice. This market will resolve based on the first English-alphabet letters in the next tweets released by SBF's verified twitter account. Any amount of numbers, symbols, or non-English-alphabet letters before an A-Z letter appears in the tweets will not count toward the resolution of this market (e.g. if the next tweet is "6) N", it will count toward this market's resolution). If the first A-Z letter(s) in SBF's next tweet appear(s) as part of a word or block of letters, this market will still resolve based on that letter (e.g. if the next tweet is "neddy", this market will resolve to "Yes"). This market will resolve based on the appearance of the letters "ned" regardless of whether they are upper or lower case. This market will resolve based on the appearance of the letters "ned" regardless of whether they appear in multiple tweets or a single tweet (ex: "7) N", "8) E", etc; "ned"). If the URL of SBF's verified Twitter account changes before the resolution of this question, whichever URL the Twitter account moves to will be the valid resolution source for this market. For the purpose of this market’s resolution, an image posted by SBF's verified Twitter account will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If SBF's verified Twitter account does not tweet again before December 1, 2022, 12:00:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Resolution of this market will be unaffected by the aforementioned Twitter post later being edited or deleted.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next 3 A-Z characters in the next tweets posted by Sam Bankman-Fried's (known as "SBF") verified Twitter account (https://twitter.com/SBF_FTX) spell "NED". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of the inception of this market, the latest tweet SBF posted was "6) E", at 8:38 PM · Nov 14, 2022 (https://twitter.com/SBF_FTX/status/1592225483294638080) The resolution source for this market will be SBF's verified Twitter account: https://twitter.com/SBF_FTX, however credible media sources will also suffice. This market will resolve based on the first English-alphabet letters in the next tweets released by SBF's verified twitter account. Any amount of numbers, symbols, or non-English-alphabet letters before an A-Z letter appears in the tweets will not count toward the resolution of this market (e.g. if the next tweet is "6) N", it will count toward this market's resolution). If the first A-Z letter(s) in SBF's next tweet appear(s) as part of a word or block of letters, this market will still resolve based on that letter (e.g. if the next tweet is "neddy", this market will resolve to "Yes"). This market will resolve based on the appearance of the letters "ned" regardless of whether they are upper or lower case. This market will resolve based on the appearance of the letters "ned" regardless of whether they appear in multiple tweets or a single tweet (ex: "7) N", "8) E", etc; "ned"). If the URL of SBF's verified Twitter account changes before the resolution of this question, whichever URL the Twitter account moves to will be the valid resolution source for this market. For the purpose of this market’s resolution, an image posted by SBF's verified Twitter account will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If SBF's verified Twitter account does not tweet again before December 1, 2022, 12:00:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Resolution of this market will be unaffected by the aforementioned Twitter post later being edited or deleted.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next 3 A-Z characters in the next tweets posted by Sam Bankman-Fried's (known as "SBF") verified Twitter account (https://twitter.com/SBF_FTX) spell "NED". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

As of the inception of this market, the latest tweet SBF posted was "6) E", at 8:38 PM · Nov 14, 2022 (https://twitter.com/SBF_FTX/status/1592225483294638080)

The resolution source for this market will be SBF's verified Twitter account: https://twitter.com/SBF_FTX, however credible media sources will also suffice.

This market will resolve based on the first English-alphabet letters in the next tweets released by SBF's verified twitter account. Any amount of numbers, symbols, or non-English-alphabet letters before an A-Z letter appears in the tweets will not count toward the resolution of this market (e.g. if the next tweet is "6) N", it will count toward this market's resolution).

If the first A-Z letter(s) in SBF's next tweet appear(s) as part of a word or block of letters, this market will still resolve based on that letter (e.g. if the next tweet is "neddy", this market will resolve to "Yes").

This market will resolve based on the appearance of the letters "ned" regardless of whether they are upper or lower case.

This market will resolve based on the appearance of the letters "ned" regardless of whether they appear in multiple tweets or a single tweet (ex: "7) N", "8) E", etc; "ned").

If the URL of SBF's verified Twitter account changes before the resolution of this question, whichever URL the Twitter account moves to will be the valid resolution source for this market. For the purpose of this market’s resolution, an image posted by SBF's verified Twitter account will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

If SBF's verified Twitter account does not tweet again before December 1, 2022, 12:00:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Resolution of this market will be unaffected by the aforementioned Twitter post later being edited or deleted.
Volume
$3,810
End Date
Nov 30, 2022
Market Opened
Nov 13, 2022, 7:00 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://twitter.com/SBF_FTX

Resolver

0xCB1822859...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next 3 A-Z characters in the next tweets posted by Sam Bankman-Fried's (known as "SBF") verified Twitter account (https://twitter.com/SBF_FTX) spell "NED". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of the inception of this market, the latest tweet SBF posted was "6) E", at 8:38 PM · Nov 14, 2022 (https://twitter.com/SBF_FTX/status/1592225483294638080) The resolution source for this market will be SBF's verified Twitter account: https://twitter.com/SBF_FTX, however credible media sources will also suffice. This market will resolve based on the first English-alphabet letters in the next tweets released by SBF's verified twitter account. Any amount of numbers, symbols, or non-English-alphabet letters before an A-Z letter appears in the tweets will not count toward the resolution of this market (e.g. if the next tweet is "6) N", it will count toward this market's resolution). If the first A-Z letter(s) in SBF's next tweet appear(s) as part of a word or block of letters, this market will still resolve based on that letter (e.g. if the next tweet is "neddy", this market will resolve to "Yes"). This market will resolve based on the appearance of the letters "ned" regardless of whether they are upper or lower case. This market will resolve based on the appearance of the letters "ned" regardless of whether they appear in multiple tweets or a single tweet (ex: "7) N", "8) E", etc; "ned"). If the URL of SBF's verified Twitter account changes before the resolution of this question, whichever URL the Twitter account moves to will be the valid resolution source for this market. For the purpose of this market’s resolution, an image posted by SBF's verified Twitter account will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If SBF's verified Twitter account does not tweet again before December 1, 2022, 12:00:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Resolution of this market will be unaffected by the aforementioned Twitter post later being edited or deleted.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will SBF’s tweet storm spell "HAPPENED"?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Will SBF’s tweet storm spell "HAPPENED"?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Nov 14, 2022. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Will SBF’s tweet storm spell "HAPPENED"?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will SBF’s tweet storm spell "HAPPENED"?" is 100% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will SBF’s tweet storm spell "HAPPENED"?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.