Will Russia capture Toretsk before October?
$311,894 Vol.
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Church of St. Macarius in Toretsk located on Hrushevskoho Vulytsia by Septmeber 30, 2024 at 11:59 PM ET.
The church will be considered captured if any part of building is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
Once Russia captures the church, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Church Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Toretsk+Church+Location.png
Toretsk Location (zoomed): https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Toretsk+Zoomed.png
Toretsk Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Toretsk+Location.png
Location on Google maps: https://www.google.com/maps/@48.3967133,37.8462825,426m/data=!3m1!1e3?authuser=0&entry=ttu
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
The church will be considered captured if any part of building is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
Once Russia captures the church, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Church Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Toretsk+Church+Location.png
Toretsk Location (zoomed): https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Toretsk+Zoomed.png
Toretsk Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Toretsk+Location.png
Location on Google maps: https://www.google.com/maps/@48.3967133,37.8462825,426m/data=!3m1!1e3?authuser=0&entry=ttu
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Created At: Aug 14, 2024, 7:50 PM
Volume
$311,894End Date
Sep 30, 2024Created At
Aug 14, 2024, 7:50 PMResolver
0x6A9D22261...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
$311,894 Vol.
Will Russia capture Toretsk before October?
About
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Church of St. Macarius in Toretsk located on Hrushevskoho Vulytsia by Septmeber 30, 2024 at 11:59 PM ET.
The church will be considered captured if any part of building is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
Once Russia captures the church, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Church Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Toretsk+Church+Location.png
Toretsk Location (zoomed): https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Toretsk+Zoomed.png
Toretsk Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Toretsk+Location.png
Location on Google maps: https://www.google.com/maps/@48.3967133,37.8462825,426m/data=!3m1!1e3?authuser=0&entry=ttu
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
The church will be considered captured if any part of building is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
Once Russia captures the church, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Church Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Toretsk+Church+Location.png
Toretsk Location (zoomed): https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Toretsk+Zoomed.png
Toretsk Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Toretsk+Location.png
Location on Google maps: https://www.google.com/maps/@48.3967133,37.8462825,426m/data=!3m1!1e3?authuser=0&entry=ttu
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$311,894End Date
Sep 30, 2024Created At
Aug 14, 2024, 7:50 PMResolver
0x6A9D22261...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No




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