Will Pope Francis step down before July?
$115,652 Vol.
Jun 30, 2025
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pope Francis announces he has resigned or will resign the papacy by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Pope Francis to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Pope Francis announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Pope Francis, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Pope Francis to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Pope Francis announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Pope Francis, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$115,652
End Date
Jun 30, 2025
Resolver
0x6A9D222616...Comments (36)
Top Holders
Activity
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0x5671f5bff13093...
7d ago
Odds for NO much better in 2025 market at the moment. Better to sell no here and get it over there.
0x5671f5bff13093...
7d ago
Nothing will happen till July anyway
Linslav
10d ago
The guy is a corpse, let him rest.
0x5671f5bff13093...
7d ago
Fktard Yes holders wishing a fellow human death. He tricked you and will live for another 5 years

Mr.Eggplant
10d ago
I know the boss and he ain't no quitter
Cinxh5
24d ago
Cmon pope

Oxymirin
28d ago
When the Pope was expected to bless the crowd, he rolled his head. He gasped and gulped, trying to summon up the breath he needed. But, in the end, the only sounds to emerge from the leader of the world's one billion Roman Catholics on the holiest day in the Christian year were a wheeze and a brief, metallic croak. A priest appeared at his side, evidently suggesting it was time to go back inside. He was dismissed with an imperious gesture. But a few seconds later unseen hands drew back the Pope's chair and the curtains were drawn. The episode brought tears to the eyes of many. But none could be found who thought that the Pope's evident disability meant he should step aside. "His presence is enough. Someone else can speak for him," said Sybil Watson from Sheffield, who was in Rome for her 79th birthday. "Even if he can't talk, he's still the pope," said Giancarlo Bodriti from Cardinal Sodano's home town of Asti in northern Italy. "You can't just say he's not the pope," said Jeanne Cayemberg from Norway, Michigan. "You can't just take him away."

Oxymirin
29d ago
pope f ain't no quitta.

x1a
1mo ago
https://www.americamagazine.org/faith/2025/02/25/pope-francis-resignation-letter-impairment-249994

x1a
1mo ago
If he recovers, he doesn't resign. If he doesn't recover, then he most likely die and also not resign.

x1a
1mo ago
Popes don't resign, their time as pope has always been until death. Resigning is extremely rare and there is no reason for Pope Francis to do so. Poor health is not considered as reason for abdication. There is 0% chance this resolves in Yes. Plus time window plays in No favour.
Treedud25
1mo ago
No longer in critical condition https://x.com/afpost/status/1895160342495301692?s=46
Mr.TestoBread
1mo ago
amen
Treedud25
1mo ago
LONG LIVE POPE FRANCIS!!!!!
bankroll
1mo ago
People saying No being aligned to him dying is wrong are idiots. Did Roosevelt resign?
RickyRat
1mo ago
People are buying yes? If he dies, he goes to no.

FreeLunchExists
1mo ago
https://www.avvenire.it/chiesa/pagine/il-papa-colpito-da-una-crisi-respiratoria-ha-avuto-bisogno-di-ossigeno-e-di-sangue

-nothingburger-
1mo ago
BREAKING NEWS: Pope Francis is getting better with the new treatments

XiJing
1mo ago
https://www.yahoo.com/news/vatican-says-pope-francis-critical-181308633.html
titimiquito
1mo ago
I was going to bet on his death but it is NO, makes no sense the bet of the death be aligned with the NO side so im out.

Axiswest
1mo ago
lol he dying resolves to "No" ? Makes sense

HerbertAndHarry
1mo ago
Is he more a Pope Benedict or Ruth Bader Ginsburg. My guess is the latter.

Car
1mo ago
Yay death market
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