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Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty?

$1,062,662 Vol.

<1% chance

Rules

On December 9, 2024, police detained Luigi Mangione in Altoona, Pennsylvania, in connection with the incident involving UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mangione pleads guilty to any charges stemming from the attack on UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve based on his first pleas at the arraignment - subsequent pleas will not be considered. If the arraignment has not occurred by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No".

Only guilty pleas to charges directly stemming from the attack on UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson will qualify (e.g. a guilty plea to charges for possession of a Fake ID will NOT qualify).

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,062,662
End Date
May 31, 2025
Created At
Dec 9, 2024, 9:35 PM

Outcome proposed: No

Disputed

Outcome proposed: No

Disputed

Final outcome: No

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$1,062,662 Vol.

Market icon

Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty?

<1% chance

About

On December 9, 2024, police detained Luigi Mangione in Altoona, Pennsylvania, in connection with the incident involving UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mangione pleads guilty to any charges stemming from the attack on UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve based on his first pleas at the arraignment - subsequent pleas will not be considered. If the arraignment has not occurred by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No".

Only guilty pleas to charges directly stemming from the attack on UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson will qualify (e.g. a guilty plea to charges for possession of a Fake ID will NOT qualify).

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,062,662
End Date
May 31, 2025
Created At
Dec 9, 2024, 9:35 PM

Outcome proposed: No

Disputed

Outcome proposed: No

Disputed

Final outcome: No