Name: Will Lebron play again by Christmas?
Start: 2024-12-13T17:19:10.454314Z
End: 2024-12-25T12:00:00Z

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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Lebron James plays in an NBA game between December 13, 2024, 1 PM ET, and December 25, 2024 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Playing is defined as James entering any NBA game from Dec 11-25 for at least a second. 

The resolution source will be the NBA, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


Will Lebron play again by Christmas?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if LeBron James retires from the NBA before the start of the 2026-2027 NBA season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An official announcement from James that he is retiring will qualify even if his official retirement has not yet occurred, as long as the announced retirement is stated to take effect before the start of the 2026-2027 NBA season. Announcements that he will retire after the start of the 2026-2027 NBA season will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from LeBron James, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jayson Tatum plays in any regular season or postseason NBA game during the 2025-2026 NBA season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

"Playing" is defined as Jayson Tatum playing any amount of time in a game. Merely being on the active roster will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com/).

Will Jayson Tatum play a game this season?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed NBA player is traded from their current team to another NBA team before the 2025-2026 NBA trade deadline. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The NBA trade deadline for the 2025-2026 season is scheduled for February 5, 2026.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Jonathan Kuminga be traded this season?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team makes the 2025-26 NBA Playoffs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Note: reaching the Play-In Tournament will not qualify as making the Playoffs. To make the NBA Playoffs, a team must earn one of the 16 spots in the postseason bracket.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to make the Playoffs based on the rules of the NBA (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated from reaching the Play-In), this market will resolve immediately to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA.

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder make the NBA Playoffs?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ja Morant of the Memphis Grizzlies is traded to another NBA team before December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. 

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


Will Ja Morant be traded in 2025?

This is a market to predict which player will win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player is officially named the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the award is not announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com).

Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?

This market will resolve according to the team that finishes the 2025-2026 NBA Regular Season with the best record in the league.

This market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for this team to finish the regular Season with the best record.

If multiple teams are tied for most wins in the 2025-26 NBA Regular Season, this market will resolve in favor of the team who receives home court advantage for the 2026 NBA playoffs. A list of the NBA’s Tiebreak Procedures can be found here: https://ak-static-int.nba.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2017/06/NBA_Tiebreaker_Procedures.pdf

The resolution source for this market will be information from the NBA.

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder finish with the best record in the NBA?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team wins more than their listed projected number of regular-season games. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the team becomes mathematically unable to exceed their projected win total before the season ends, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary source of resolution will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will the Miami Heat win more than 37.5 regular season games in 2025–26?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Stephen Curry and/or Ayesha Curry announce their intention to divorce by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement by December 31, 2025, of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.

The resolution source will be statements from Stephen Curry and/or Ayesha Curry, and their representatives; however, a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.

Steph Curry divorce by December 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Powerball jackpot is equal to or greater than $2 billion on any drawing between December 18 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve once any Powerball jackpot reaches or exceeds the value specified in the title, or once the estimated jackpot on December 31, 2025, is finalized and no jackpot within the specified timeframe has been equal to or greater than that value.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Powerball (https://www.powerball.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will the Powerball jackpot hit $2 billion by December 31?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team makes the 2025-26 NFL Playoffs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No".

If the listed team qualifies for the playoffs early, the market will resolve to "Yes". 
If the listed team is eliminated based on the rules of the competition, the market will resolve to "No". 

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. 

Will the Houston Texans make the playoffs?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if The Second Coming of Jesus Christ occurs by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.

Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?

This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025–26 NBA Clutch Player of the Year.

If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Clutch Player of the Year, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if The Second Coming of Jesus Christ occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Half-Life 3 or a differently titled game continuing the Half-Life series is officially released in the US by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.

The resolution source will be official information from Valve Corporation.

Half-Life 3 released in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that Leonardo DiCaprio is engaged to be married by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If it is announced that Leonardo DiCaprio has married, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. 

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Leonardo DiCaprio or one of his representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


Leonardo DiCaprio engaged in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Britney Spears announces a new tour between December 29, 2024, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement that Britney Spears will go on tour within the stated timeframe will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when she actually does so.

The resolution source will be an announcement from Britney Spears or her official representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting.

Britney Spears tour in 2025?

This market will resolve according to the team that finishes with the best regular-season record in the 2025–2026 NBA Eastern Conference standings.

This market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for this team to finish the 2025–26 NBA Regular Season with the best Regular Season record in the Eastern Conference.

If multiple teams are tied for most wins in the 2025–26 NBA Regular Season in the Eastern Conference, this market will resolve in favor of the team that receives the number 1 seed for the 2026 NBA Playoffs. A list of the NBA’s Tiebreak Procedures can be found here: https://ak-static-int.nba.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2017/06/NBA_Tiebreaker_Procedures.pdf.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the NBA.

Will the Boston Celtics finish as the #1 seed in the 2025–2026 NBA Eastern Conference?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the listed division for the 2025–2026 NBA Eastern Conference Finals. 

If it becomes impossible for this team to win based on the rules of the NBA this market will resolve to “No”. 

If multiple teams share the same record, official NBA tie breaking rules will be used to determine the outcome.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the NBA.

Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025–2026 NBA Central Division?

This polymarket will resolve to "Yes" if Lionel Messi officially announces his retirement from club soccer by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

To resolve "Yes", the announcement must clearly state that Messi is retiring from club-level professional soccer. The announcement must come from Messi himself or his official representatives.

Retirement from international soccer alone will not qualify. 

The retirement must be intended to take effect immediately or prior to the start of the next club season following the announcement.

The primary resolution source will be official statements from Lionel Messi. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2025?

Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?

On January 16, it was reported that Maverick Carter is seeking $5 billion to start a professional basketball league intended to compete with the NBA. You can read more about it here: https://sg.news.yahoo.com/investors-seek-5-billion-to-form-basketball-league-to-rival-nba-051441296.html

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-based professional basketball league or organization seeking to directly compete with the NBA raises more than $3 billion USD in funding by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, minor leagues, regional leagues, or leagues that explicitly act as feeder leagues to the NBA will not qualify as competitors.

The primary resolution source will be official announcements from a qualifying organization, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will NBA competitor raise >$3b in 2025?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Oklahoma City Thunder win 74 or more games during the 2025-2026 NBA regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The primary source of resolution for this market will be information from the NBA (NBA.com).


Will Lebron play again by Christmas?

Market Context

Will Lebron play again by Christmas?

Rules

Will Lebron play again by Christmas?

Market Context

Will Lebron play again by Christmas?

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