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Will Caroline testify?

Market icon

Will Caroline testify?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$0 Vol.

>99% chance
Polymarket

$0 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Caroline Ellison testifies at Sam Bankman-Fried's (SBF) ongoing (as of Oct 3, 2023) trial by 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market's resolution will be based exclusively on SBF's ongoing trial.

If SBF's ongoing trial ends (e.g. mistrial) at any point without Caroline Ellison testifying, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be official information from the US court system, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$0
End Date
Jun 30, 2024
Created At
Oct 4, 2023, 12:32 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Caroline Ellison testifies at Sam Bankman-Fried's (SBF) ongoing (as of Oct 3, 2023) trial by 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based exclusively on SBF's ongoing trial. If SBF's ongoing trial ends (e.g. mistrial) at any point without Caroline Ellison testifying, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from the US court system, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Caroline Ellison testifies at Sam Bankman-Fried's (SBF) ongoing (as of Oct 3, 2023) trial by 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market's resolution will be based exclusively on SBF's ongoing trial.

If SBF's ongoing trial ends (e.g. mistrial) at any point without Caroline Ellison testifying, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be official information from the US court system, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$0
End Date
Jun 30, 2024
Created At
Oct 4, 2023, 12:32 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Caroline Ellison testifies at Sam Bankman-Fried's (SBF) ongoing (as of Oct 3, 2023) trial by 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based exclusively on SBF's ongoing trial. If SBF's ongoing trial ends (e.g. mistrial) at any point without Caroline Ellison testifying, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from the US court system, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Caroline testify?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Will Caroline testify?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Oct 4, 2023. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Will Caroline testify?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This market was recently created and has not yet received its first trade. Be the first to set the opening odds by placing a trade, or bookmark this page to check back as the market develops.

The resolution rules for "Will Caroline testify?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.