Name: Will Barney cry?
Start: 2024-04-11T22:10:08.652387Z
End: 2024-04-19T12:00:00Z

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Ansem (@blknoiz06) is scheduled to fight Barney (@barneytheboi) on April 19, 2024 in Dubai. You can view this post to learn more: https://twitter.com/RookieXBT/status/1765082785126219980

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Barney (@barneytheboi) cries at any point while on camera while at the venue of his fight with Ansem scheduled for April 19, 2024 in Dubai. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, 'crying' is defined as the visible shedding of tears that can be clearly observed on Barney's face. The 'crying' can take place at any time Barney is on camera and present at the fight venue even if the fight isn't ongoing.

This market will resolve to "No" if barney has left the venue after the fight and did not end up crying.

The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the fight, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.



Ansem (@blknoiz06) is scheduled to fight Barney (@barneytheboi) on April 19, 2024 in Dubai. You can view this post to learn more: https://twitter.com/RookieXBT/status/1765082785126219980

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Barney (@barneytheboi) cries at any point while on camera while at the venue of his fight with Ansem scheduled for April 19, 2024 in Dubai. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, 'crying' is defined as the visible shedding of tears that can be clearly observed on Barney's face. The 'crying' can take place at any time Barney is on camera and present at the fight venue even if the fight isn't ongoing.

This market will resolve to "No" if barney has left the venue after the fight and did not end up crying. 

The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the fight, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Barney cry?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk attends any official UFC match between August 15 and December 31, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Attending the event is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the event.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Will Elon Musk attend a UFC event by December 31?

This market refers to the bout between Harlem Eubank and Josh Wagner, scheduled for November 21, 2025.

This market will resolve to "Eubank" if Harlem Eubank is declared the winner of this match.

This market will resolve to "Wagner" if Josh Wagner is declared the winner of this match.

If the fight is declared a draw or if for any reason the match is not scored, postponed after November 28, 2025, or cancelled, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be the official results of the competition.

Harlem Eubank vs Josh Wagner Nov 21, 2025

This market refers to the bout between David Benavidez and Anthony Yarde, scheduled for November 22, 2025.

This market will resolve to "Benavidez" if David Benavidez is declared the winner of this match.

This market will resolve to "Yarde" if Anthony Yarde is declared the winner of this match.

If the fight is declared a draw or if for any reason the match is not scored, postponed after November 29, 2025, or cancelled, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be the official results of the competition.

David Benavidez vs Anthony Yarde Nov 22, 2025

This is a polymarket on whether Andrew Tate or Chase Demoor will win their upcoming boxing match, scheduled for December 20, 2025.

This market will resolve to "Tate" if Andrew Tate is declared the winner of this match.
This market will resolve to "Demoor" if Chase Demoor is declared the winner of this match.

If the fight is declared a draw or if for any reason the match is not scored, postponed after January 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, or cancelled, this market will resolve 50–50.

The primary resolution source will be the official event broadcast and result. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor

This market refers to the bout between Lindolfo Delgado and Gabriel Valenzuela, scheduled for November 15, 2025.

This market will resolve to "Delgado" if Lindolfo Delgado is declared the winner of this match.

This market will resolve to "Valenzuela" if Gabriel Valenzuela is declared the winner of this match.

If the fight is declared a draw or if for any reason the match is not scored, postponed after November 22, 2025, or cancelled, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be the official results of the competition.

Lindolfo Delgado vs Gabriel Valenzuela Nov 15, 2025

This is a market to predict which athlete will win the 2025 ESPYS award for Best UFC Fighter.

If the listed fighter wins the 2025 ESPYS award for Best UFC Fighter, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2025 ESPYS are cancelled or postponed past August 16, 2025, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be ESPN (https://www.espn.com/espys/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Merab Dvalishvili win the 2025 ESPYS award for Best UFC Fighter?

This market refers to the bout between Francisco Veron and Roiman Villa, scheduled for November 21, 2025.

This market will resolve to "Veron" if Francisco Veron is declared the winner of this match.

This market will resolve to "Villa" if Roiman Villa is declared the winner of this match.

If the fight is declared a draw or if for any reason the match is not scored, postponed after November 28, 2025, or cancelled, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be the official results of the competition.

Francisco Veron vs Roiman Villa Nov 21, 2025

This market refers to the bout between Constantin Ursu and Ryan Amos, scheduled for November 30, 2025.

This market will resolve to "Ursu" if Constantin Ursu is declared the winner of this match.

This market will resolve to "Amos" if Ryan Amos is declared the winner of this match.

If the fight is declared a draw or if for any reason the match is not scored, postponed after December 7, 2025, or cancelled, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be the official results of the competition.

Ursu vs Amos

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jake Paul and Anthony Joshua fight each other in a publicly scheduled bout before December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Sanctioned bouts and publicly promoted exhibition bouts will both count. Private matches or sparring not intended for public viewing, however, will not count.

Only the actual occurrence of the fight counts; an announcement or scheduled bout without the fight taking place will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be publicly available broadcast or video of the event.

Will Jake Paul fight Anthony Joshua in 2025?

This market refers to the bout between Gradus Kraus and Rostam Ibrahim, scheduled for November 29, 2025.

This market will resolve to "Kraus" if Gradus Kraus is declared the winner of this match.

This market will resolve to "Ibrahim" if Rostam Ibrahim is declared the winner of this match.

If the fight is declared a draw or if for any reason the match is not scored, postponed after December 6, 2025, or cancelled, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be the official results of the competition.

Kraus vs Ibrahim

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rabby officially launches a token by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Rabby, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


Will Rabby launch a token in 2025?

This market refers to the bout between Damien Davila and Gabriel Mendez, scheduled for November 21, 2025.

This market will resolve to "Davila" if Damien Davila is declared the winner of this match.

This market will resolve to "Mendez" if Gabriel Mendez is declared the winner of this match.

If the fight is declared a draw or if for any reason the match is not scored, postponed after November 28, 2025, or cancelled, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be the official results of the competition.

Davila vs Mendez

This market refers to the bout between Luka Plantic and Shadiri Bwogi, scheduled for November 23, 2025.

This market will resolve to "Plantic" if Luka Plantic is declared the winner of this match.

This market will resolve to "Bwogi" if Shadiri Bwogi is declared the winner of this match.

If the fight is declared a draw or if for any reason the match is not scored, postponed after November 30, 2025, or cancelled, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be the official results of the competition.

Plantic vs Bwogi

This market refers to the bout between Freddy Kiwitt and Suleiman Jafaru, scheduled for November 22, 2025.

This market will resolve to "Kiwitt" if Freddy Kiwitt is declared the winner of this match.

This market will resolve to "Jafaru" if Suleiman Jafaru is declared the winner of this match.

If the fight is declared a draw or if for any reason the match is not scored, postponed after November 29, 2025, or cancelled, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be the official results of the competition.

Kiwitt vs Jafaru

Bill Ackman is scheduled to participate in a Space on X.com about Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac on November 18, 2025, 10:30 AM (ET https://x.com/BillAckman/status/1989004405392240688).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bill Ackman says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

This market is explicitly about the scheduled Space event featuring Bill Ackman on X.com on November 18, 2025 (https://x.com/BillAckman/status/1989004405392240688). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by November 18, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be audio of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Will Bill Ackman say "House" or "Housing" during the X Space event on November 18?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if owner of Barstool Sports David Scott Portnoy, serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between February 17, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Dave Portnoy in jail in 2025?

This market refers to the bout between Erik Badillo and Elwin Soto, scheduled for November 29, 2025.

This market will resolve to "Badillo" if Erik Badillo is declared the winner of this match.

This market will resolve to "Soto" if Elwin Soto is declared the winner of this match.

If the fight is declared a draw or if for any reason the match is not scored, postponed after December 6, 2025, or cancelled, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be the official results of the competition.

Erik Badillo vs Elwin Soto Nov 29, 2025

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new episode of the Up Only podcast is publicly released to the general public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Released previews of the interview won't count - the full interview must be released by the resolution date for this market to resolve to "Yes."

The resolution source for this market will be footage of the interview and/or a consensus of credible reporting.


Up Only podcast released by December 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, sports event contracts listed by a CFTC-regulated Designated Contract Market (DCM), whether accessed directly or through a Futures Commission Merchant (FCM), are legally prohibited or blocked for users in at least one U.S. state or nationwide. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

A qualifying ban must have gone into effect during the market window and may occur through any of the following:

CFTC Action: A final order, rule, or directive under Regulation 40.11 or other CFTC authority that results in the removal or suspension of sports event contracts, either nationally or within one or more states.

Court Order or Judgment: A temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, permanent injunction, or final judgment issued by a U.S. federal or state court that has the effect of suspending or terminating user access to sports event contracts in one or more states or nationwide. This includes situations where a court denies an exchange’s claim of federal preemption and thereby allows a state to enforce its gambling laws against sports event contracts while adjudication is pending, leading to blocked access in that state.

State Enforcement Upheld by Courts: If a state action (such as a cease-and-desist order or regulatory enforcement) is challenged on preemption grounds and the court declines to enjoin the state, resulting in blocked access to sports event contracts in that state, this will qualify.

To resolve “Yes,” the block or ban must actually take effect (users lose access or ability to trade/maintain positions). Mere announcements, proposed rules, or pending litigation without effect do not qualify.

Voluntary pauses or withdrawals by a DCM or FCM, absent legal compulsion, do not qualify.

If a qualifying block takes effect and is implemented the market will still resolve “Yes” regardless if it is later stayed, reversed, or vacated. 

Actions ordered before the deadline but which take effect only after, will not qulaify. 

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. 

Will sports prediction markets be banned in any U.S. state in 2025?

On October 9, Israel and Hamas signed a deal implementing a ceasefire: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israel-hamas-agree-gaza-ceasefire-return-hostages-2025-10-09/

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a either Israel or Hamas announce the cancellation of the ongoing ceasefire, or if a consensus of credible reporting confirms that the ceasefire is no longer in effect, by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

Announcements that one side or another violated the ongoing ceasefire will not be enough to resolve this market to "Yes"; only a definitive announcement by Israel or Hamas, or otherwise a wide consensus of credible reporting that that the ceasefire has been ended, will qualify to resolve this market to "Yes".

The primary solution resolution source will be official information from Hamas or the government of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by March 31, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chungin (Roy) Lee serves any time in custody in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between June 9 (inclusive) and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cluely CEO Roy Lee in jail in 2025

This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Walmart currently scheduled to take place on November 20, 2025 at 8:00 AM EST.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

A Q&A event will count toward the resolution of this market.

If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be audio of the event.

Will Walmart say "Tariff" during earnings call?

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between September 10, 2025, 6 PM ET, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET:

- MrBeast hits 500 million subscribers
- Trump meets MrBeast in 2025
- Another MrBeast video gets 55m+ day 1 views 

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/mrbeast.png

Nothing Ever Happens: MrBeast Edition

This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Dell currently scheduled to take place on November 25, 2025 at 4:00 PM EST.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

A Q&A event will count toward the resolution of this market.

If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be audio of the event.

Will Dell say "EPS Growth" during earnings call?

Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a Saudi Investment Forum event on November 19, 2025 (https://www.cbsnews.com/news/saudi-investment-summit-d-c-bin-salman-trump-visit/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

This market is explicitly about Donald Trump's scheduled appearance at the US-Saudi Investment Forum event on November 19, 2025. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by November 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 2+ times during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Barack Obama serves any time in custody in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between July 22 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Obama in jail in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cluely announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.

An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs.

The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents Cluely.

A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Cluely declare bankruptcy in 2025?

This market refers to the bout between Mikito Nakano and Raesse Aleem, scheduled for November 24, 2025.

This market will resolve to "Nakano" if Mikito Nakano is declared the winner of this match.

This market will resolve to "Aleem" if Raesse Aleem is declared the winner of this match.

If the fight is declared a draw or if for any reason the match is not scored, postponed after December 1, 2025, or cancelled, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be the official results of the competition.

Mikito Nakano vs Raesse Aleem Nov 24, 2025

This market refers to the bout between Mizuki Hiruta and Gloria Gallardo, scheduled for November 22, 2025.

This market will resolve to "Hiruta" if Mizuki Hiruta is declared the winner of this match.

This market will resolve to "Gallardo" if Gloria Gallardo is declared the winner of this match.

If the fight is declared a draw or if for any reason the match is not scored, postponed after November 29, 2025, or cancelled, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be the official results of the competition.

Hiruta vs Gallardo

This market will resolve according to the candidate Bernie Sanders announces that he will vote for or endorses for the listed election.

If Bernie Sanders does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Bernie Sanders or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Bernie Sanders' endorsement.

Will Bernie endorse Antonio Delgado for NY-Gov by Nov 2 2026 ET?

This market refers to the bout between Francis Lafreniere and Francy Ntetu, scheduled for November 29, 2025.

This market will resolve to "Lafreniere" if Francis Lafreniere is declared the winner of this match.

This market will resolve to "Ntetu" if Francy Ntetu is declared the winner of this match.

If the fight is declared a draw or if for any reason the match is not scored, postponed after December 6, 2025, or cancelled, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be the official results of the competition.

Francis Lafreniere vs Francy Ntetu Nov 29, 2025

Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a bilateral meeting with Prime Minister Mohammed bin Salman on November 18, 2025 (see https://www.reuters.com/world/us/saudi-crown-prince-bin-salman-will-visit-trump-november-18-white-house-official-2025-11-03/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at events featuring the Prime Minister of Saudi Arabia on November 18, 2025. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

This market is explicitly about scheduled events featuring both Donald Trump and the Prime Minister of Saudi Arabia (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). All such scheduled events featuring both on this date count. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of named, scheduled events, or which feature one named individual but not the other, will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the events contain a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by November 18, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Will Trump say "Abraham Accords" during Saudi PM events on November 18?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if official information released by Bybit, official representatives of Bybit (e.g. lawyers, spokespeople, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting announces by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET that Bybit is insolvent or is filing/has filed for any variety of bankruptcy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Bybit insolvent in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if @TheRoaringKitty posts between July 23, 10:40 AM ET, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, all quote and reply posts count toward a "Yes" resolution, but reposts will not count.

The resolution source for this market will be Roaring Kitty's verified X account: https://x.com/TheRoaringKitty.

Please note, only the @TheRoaringKitty verified X account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Roaring Kitty posts from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.

Will Roaring Kitty tweet again by December 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ari Weinstein ceases any employment or formal contractual involvement with OpenAI, for any length of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This includes any termination, suspension, or withdrawal of his contractual or partnership obligations with OpenAI.

An official announcement of Ari’s departure from OpenAI (e.g., a statement from OpenAI or Ari indicating he will no longer be engaged with OpenAI) will qualify, regardless of when the announced departure takes effect.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?

BitBoy was recently arrested due to a warrant issued for threatening communications he sent to a Judge. You can read more about that here: https://www.binance.com/en/square/post/22059661159362

This market will resolve to "Yes" if BitBoy (Ben Armstrong) is convicted of any charges related to the emails he sent to Judge Kimberly Childs, by March 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Convictions must be for criminal charges.

If the case is completely dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation occurs in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".

Once an individual is convicted it qualifies for an immediate "Yes" resolution, regardless of later appeals, etc. This market will resolve based on the first conviction in a qualifying case.

The primary resolution source will be official court records, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

BitBoy convicted?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Han Duck-soo spends any time in custody in a jail or prison between August 19 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Han Duck-soo spends time in custody in a jail or prison. Temporary holding at a facility such as the Seoul Detention Center while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant does not qualify. However, non-temporary detention initiated by a court ordered warrant will count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Han Duck-soo in jail by December 31?

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between September 19, 2025, 6 PM ET, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET:

- Artificial Intelligence is named TIME's Person of 2025
- GPT-5 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam
- AI wins IMO gold medal
- AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark
- AI scores ≥85% on ARC-AGI-2

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.

If resolution-relevant information regarding the events mentioned above is not available by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If by that date there is still no clear information indicating that one of the listed events has occurred,  this market will resolve to “Yes”.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/AI.png
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/AI2.png

Nothing Ever Happens: AI Edition

This market refers to the bout between Ben Whittaker and Benjamin Gavazi, scheduled for November 29, 2025.

This market will resolve to "Whittaker" if Ben Whittaker is declared the winner of this match.

This market will resolve to "Gavazi" if Benjamin Gavazi is declared the winner of this match.

If the fight is declared a draw or if for any reason the match is not scored, postponed after December 6, 2025, or cancelled, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be the official results of the competition.

Ben Whittaker vs Benjamin Gavazi Nov 29, 2025

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Beyoncé and/or Jay-Z announce their intention to divorce between January 1 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement by December 31 of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.

The resolution source will be statements from Beyoncé and/or Jay-Z, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.

Jay-Z & Beyoncé divorce in 2025?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast) hits the specified number of subscribers by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.  Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast) or a consensus of credible reporting.

Will MrBeast hit 460 Million subscribers by December 31?

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed movie is nominated for the 98th Academy Award for Best Animated Feature Film. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Animated Feature Film when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will KPop Demon Hunters be nominated for Best Animated Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that Elon Musk, either personally or through an entity led by him, enters into an agreement to buy OpenAI (or the nonprofit that controls OpenAI) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announced agreement between Elon Musk and OpenAI will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.

An agreement to merge with an entity led by Elon Musk will count toward "Yes" resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Elon Musk, Sam Altman, and/or OpenAI however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Barney cry?

Market Context

Will Barney cry?

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Will Barney cry?

Market Context

Will Barney cry?

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