Market icon

Who will be the next speaker?

Market icon

Who will be the next speaker?

$552,837 Vol.

Jun 30, 2024
Polymarket

$552,837 Vol.

Polymarket
Market icon

Mike Johnson

$65,265 Vol.

Yes

Market icon

Tom Emmer

$36,652 Vol.

No

Market icon

Byron Donalds

$14,210 Vol.

No

Market icon

Jim Jordan

$159,904 Vol.

No

Market icon

Hakeem Jeffries

$3,511 Vol.

No

Market icon

Patrick McHenry

$25,295 Vol.

No

Market icon

Kevin Hern

$26,155 Vol.

No

Market icon

Kevin McCarthy

$72,276 Vol.

No

Market icon

Steve Scalise

$31,706 Vol.

No

Market icon

Donald Trump

$78,865 Vol.

No

Market icon

Kari Lake

$39,000 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson is elected to be the next US Speaker of the House after Kevin McCarthy's ousting on October 3, 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of resolving this market, unelected or temporary Speakers will not count toward a "Yes" resolution (e.g. Speaker Pro Tempore).

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

If a new US Speaker of the House is not elected by June 30, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
Volume
$552,837
End Date
Jun 30, 2024
Market Opened
Oct 3, 2023, 6:16 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson is elected to be the next US Speaker of the House after Kevin McCarthy's ousting on October 3, 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, unelected or temporary Speakers will not count toward a "Yes" resolution (e.g. Speaker Pro Tempore). The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. If a new US Speaker of the House is not elected by June 30, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Related

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will be the next speaker?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Mike Johnson" at 100%, followed by "Tom Emmer" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will be the next speaker?" has generated $552.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 3, 2023. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will be the next speaker?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will be the next speaker?" is "Mike Johnson" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Tom Emmer" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will be the next speaker?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.