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US Open Winner (M)

Market icon

US Open Winner (M)

Jannik Sinner 98.6%

Francis Tiafoe <1%

Novak Djokovic <1%

Other <1%

Polymarket

$1,116,352 Vol.

Jannik Sinner 98.6%

Francis Tiafoe <1%

Novak Djokovic <1%

Other <1%

Polymarket

$1,116,352 Vol.

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Other

$67,822 Vol.

No

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Jannik Sinner

$351,621 Vol.

Yes

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Andrey Rublev

$41,350 Vol.

No

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Alexander Zverev

$81,527 Vol.

No

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Novak Djokovic

$82,805 Vol.

No

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Carlos Alcaraz

$42,889 Vol.

No

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Daniil Medvedev

$80,793 Vol.

No

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Matteo Berrettini

$7,844 Vol.

No

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Taylor Frtiz

$140,687 Vol.

No

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Stefanos Tsitsipas

$25,536 Vol.

No

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Ben Shelton

$52,218 Vol.

No

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Francis Tiafoe

$99,565 Vol.

No

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Tommy Paul

$41,695 Vol.

No

The market will resolve to “Yes” if any player other than Carlos Alcaraz, Jannik Sinner, Novak Djokovic, Daniil Medvedev, Alexander Zverev, Matteo Berrettini, Taylor Fritz, Stefanos Tsitsipas, Ben Shelton, Frances Tiafoe, Andrey Rublev or Tommy Paul wins the 2024 US Open Men’s Singles tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If for any reason the tournament is canceled or rescheduled to a date after October 1, 2024, this market will resolve to “Yes”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The US Open, including footage of the tournament; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The market will resolve to “Yes” if Jannik Sinner wins the 2024 US Open Men’s Singles tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to win the US Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the US Open, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the US Open (https://www.usopen.org), however credible reporting may also be used.The market will resolve to “Yes” if Andrey Rublev wins the 2024 US Open Men’s Singles tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to win the US Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the US Open, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the US Open (https://www.usopen.org), however credible reporting may also be used.The market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexander Zverev wins the 2024 US Open Men’s Singles tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to win the US Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the US Open, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the US Open (https://www.usopen.org), however credible reporting may also be used.The market will resolve to “Yes” if Novak Djokovic wins the 2024 US Open Men’s Singles tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to win the US Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the US Open, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the US Open (https://www.usopen.org), however credible reporting may also be used.The market will resolve to “Yes” if Carlos Alcaraz wins the 2024 US Open Men’s Singles tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to win the US Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the US Open, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the US Open (https://www.usopen.org), however credible reporting may also be used.The market will resolve to “Yes” if Daniil Medvedev wins the 2024 US Open Men’s Singles tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to win the US Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the US Open, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the US Open (https://www.usopen.org), however credible reporting may also be used.The market will resolve to “Yes” if Matteo Berrettini wins the 2024 US Open Men’s Singles tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to win the US Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the US Open, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the US Open (https://www.usopen.org), however credible reporting may also be used.The market will resolve to “Yes” if Taylor Fritz wins the 2024 US Open Men’s Singles tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to win the US Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the US Open, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the US Open (https://www.usopen.org), however credible reporting may also be used.The market will resolve to “Yes” if Stefanos Tsitsipas wins the 2024 US Open Men’s Singles tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to win the US Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the US Open, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the US Open (https://www.usopen.org), however credible reporting may also be used.The market will resolve to “Yes” if Ben Shelton wins the 2024 US Open Men’s Singles tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to win the US Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the US Open, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the US Open (https://www.usopen.org), however credible reporting may also be used.The market will resolve to “Yes” if Frances Tiafoe wins the 2024 US Open Men’s Singles tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to win the US Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the US Open, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the US Open (https://www.usopen.org), however credible reporting may also be used.The market will resolve to “Yes” if Tommy Paul wins the 2024 US Open Men’s Singles tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to win the US Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the US Open, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the US Open (https://www.usopen.org), however credible reporting may also be used.

The market will resolve to “Yes” if Carlos Alcaraz wins the 2024 US Open Men’s Singles tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to win the US Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the US Open, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the US Open (https://www.usopen.org), however credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,116,352
End Date
Sep 8, 2024
Market Opened
Aug 23, 2024, 1:19 AM ET
The market will resolve to “Yes” if Carlos Alcaraz wins the 2024 US Open Men’s Singles tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to win the US Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the US Open, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the US Open (https://www.usopen.org), however credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

The market will resolve to “Yes” if any player other than Carlos Alcaraz, Jannik Sinner, Novak Djokovic, Daniil Medvedev, Alexander Zverev, Matteo Berrettini, Taylor Fritz, Stefanos Tsitsipas, Ben Shelton, Frances Tiafoe, Andrey Rublev or Tommy Paul wins the 2024 US Open Men’s Singles tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If for any reason the tournament is canceled or rescheduled to a date after October 1, 2024, this market will resolve to “Yes”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The US Open, including footage of the tournament; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The market will resolve to “Yes” if Jannik Sinner wins the 2024 US Open Men’s Singles tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to win the US Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the US Open, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the US Open (https://www.usopen.org), however credible reporting may also be used.The market will resolve to “Yes” if Andrey Rublev wins the 2024 US Open Men’s Singles tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to win the US Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the US Open, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the US Open (https://www.usopen.org), however credible reporting may also be used.The market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexander Zverev wins the 2024 US Open Men’s Singles tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to win the US Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the US Open, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the US Open (https://www.usopen.org), however credible reporting may also be used.The market will resolve to “Yes” if Novak Djokovic wins the 2024 US Open Men’s Singles tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to win the US Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the US Open, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the US Open (https://www.usopen.org), however credible reporting may also be used.The market will resolve to “Yes” if Carlos Alcaraz wins the 2024 US Open Men’s Singles tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to win the US Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the US Open, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the US Open (https://www.usopen.org), however credible reporting may also be used.The market will resolve to “Yes” if Daniil Medvedev wins the 2024 US Open Men’s Singles tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to win the US Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the US Open, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the US Open (https://www.usopen.org), however credible reporting may also be used.The market will resolve to “Yes” if Matteo Berrettini wins the 2024 US Open Men’s Singles tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to win the US Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the US Open, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the US Open (https://www.usopen.org), however credible reporting may also be used.The market will resolve to “Yes” if Taylor Fritz wins the 2024 US Open Men’s Singles tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to win the US Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the US Open, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the US Open (https://www.usopen.org), however credible reporting may also be used.The market will resolve to “Yes” if Stefanos Tsitsipas wins the 2024 US Open Men’s Singles tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to win the US Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the US Open, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the US Open (https://www.usopen.org), however credible reporting may also be used.The market will resolve to “Yes” if Ben Shelton wins the 2024 US Open Men’s Singles tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to win the US Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the US Open, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the US Open (https://www.usopen.org), however credible reporting may also be used.The market will resolve to “Yes” if Frances Tiafoe wins the 2024 US Open Men’s Singles tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to win the US Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the US Open, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the US Open (https://www.usopen.org), however credible reporting may also be used.The market will resolve to “Yes” if Tommy Paul wins the 2024 US Open Men’s Singles tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to win the US Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the US Open, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the US Open (https://www.usopen.org), however credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"US Open Winner (M)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jannik Sinner" at 100%, followed by "Other" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "US Open Winner (M)" has generated $1.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 23, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "US Open Winner (M)," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "US Open Winner (M)" is "Jannik Sinner" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Other" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "US Open Winner (M)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.