The recent announcement of Conor McGregor's return after a five-year layoff has intensified focus on this welterweight rematch at UFC 329, with trader consensus reflecting Holloway's advantages in recent activity and durability. McGregor, moving up from lightweight and featherweight roots, faces questions around ring rust following his 2021 leg injury, while Holloway brings strong momentum from consistent featherweight performances and a history of absorbing pressure in high-stakes bouts. Their 2013 encounter, won by McGregor via decision, adds historical context, but the long hiatus and weight class shift tilt implied probabilities toward Holloway's experience at close range and volume striking. Upcoming factors like training camp reports and weigh-in results could influence sentiment ahead of the July 11 main event in Las Vegas.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedThis market will resolve to "Max Holloway" if Max Holloway is officially declared the winner of the fight against Conor McGregor at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026.
It will resolve to "Conor McGregor" if Conor McGregor is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Max Holloway and Conor McGregor at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Max Holloway and Conor McGregor at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Max Holloway defeats Conor McGregor at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Conor McGregor defeats Max Holloway at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Max Holloway and Conor McGregor at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Max Holloway and Conor McGregor at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Max Holloway and Conor McGregor at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
“Over 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1.
“Under 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 1 for a 0.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.”
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond July 25, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Max Holloway and Conor McGregor at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Max Holloway and Conor McGregor at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
“Over 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2.
“Under 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 2 for a 1.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.”
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond July 25, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Max Holloway and Conor McGregor at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Max Holloway and Conor McGregor at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
“Over 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3.
“Under 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 3 for a 2.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.”
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond July 25, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Max Holloway and Conor McGregor at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Max Holloway and Conor McGregor at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
“Over 3.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 4.
“Under 3.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 4.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 4 for a 3.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.”
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond July 25, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Max Holloway and Conor McGregor at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Max Holloway and Conor McGregor at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
“Over 4.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 5.
“Under 4.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 5.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 5 for a 4.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.”
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond July 25, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.The recent announcement of Conor McGregor's return after a five-year layoff has intensified focus on this welterweight rematch at UFC 329, with trader consensus reflecting Holloway's advantages in recent activity and durability. McGregor, moving up from lightweight and featherweight roots, faces questions around ring rust following his 2021 leg injury, while Holloway brings strong momentum from consistent featherweight performances and a history of absorbing pressure in high-stakes bouts. Their 2013 encounter, won by McGregor via decision, adds historical context, but the long hiatus and weight class shift tilt implied probabilities toward Holloway's experience at close range and volume striking. Upcoming factors like training camp reports and weigh-in results could influence sentiment ahead of the July 11 main event in Las Vegas.
This market will resolve to "Max Holloway" if Max Holloway is officially declared the winner of the fight against Conor McGregor at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026.
It will resolve to "Conor McGregor" if Conor McGregor is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
It will resolve to "Conor McGregor" if Conor McGregor is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Market Opened: May 17, 2026, 11:31 PM ET
Volume
$1,726End Date
Jul 12, 2026Market Opened
May 17, 2026, 11:31 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.ufc.com/eventsResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Max Holloway" if Max Holloway is officially declared the winner of the fight against Conor McGregor at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026.
It will resolve to "Conor McGregor" if Conor McGregor is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Max Holloway and Conor McGregor at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Max Holloway and Conor McGregor at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Max Holloway defeats Conor McGregor at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Conor McGregor defeats Max Holloway at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Max Holloway and Conor McGregor at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Max Holloway and Conor McGregor at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Max Holloway and Conor McGregor at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
“Over 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1.
“Under 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 1 for a 0.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.”
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond July 25, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Max Holloway and Conor McGregor at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Max Holloway and Conor McGregor at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
“Over 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2.
“Under 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 2 for a 1.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.”
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond July 25, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Max Holloway and Conor McGregor at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Max Holloway and Conor McGregor at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
“Over 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3.
“Under 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 3 for a 2.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.”
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond July 25, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Max Holloway and Conor McGregor at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Max Holloway and Conor McGregor at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
“Over 3.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 4.
“Under 3.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 4.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 4 for a 3.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.”
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond July 25, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Max Holloway and Conor McGregor at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Max Holloway and Conor McGregor at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
“Over 4.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 5.
“Under 4.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 5.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 5 for a 4.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.”
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond July 25, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.The recent announcement of Conor McGregor's return after a five-year layoff has intensified focus on this welterweight rematch at UFC 329, with trader consensus reflecting Holloway's advantages in recent activity and durability. McGregor, moving up from lightweight and featherweight roots, faces questions around ring rust following his 2021 leg injury, while Holloway brings strong momentum from consistent featherweight performances and a history of absorbing pressure in high-stakes bouts. Their 2013 encounter, won by McGregor via decision, adds historical context, but the long hiatus and weight class shift tilt implied probabilities toward Holloway's experience at close range and volume striking. Upcoming factors like training camp reports and weigh-in results could influence sentiment ahead of the July 11 main event in Las Vegas.
This market will resolve to "Max Holloway" if Max Holloway is officially declared the winner of the fight against Conor McGregor at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026.
It will resolve to "Conor McGregor" if Conor McGregor is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
It will resolve to "Conor McGregor" if Conor McGregor is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Market Opened: May 17, 2026, 11:31 PM ET
Volume
$1,726End Date
Jul 12, 2026Market Opened
May 17, 2026, 11:31 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.ufc.com/eventsResolver
0x65070BE91...The recent announcement of Conor McGregor's return after a five-year layoff has intensified focus on this welterweight rematch at UFC 329, with trader consensus reflecting Holloway's advantages in recent activity and durability. McGregor, moving up from lightweight and featherweight roots, faces questions around ring rust following his 2021 leg injury, while Holloway brings strong momentum from consistent featherweight performances and a history of absorbing pressure in high-stakes bouts. Their 2013 encounter, won by McGregor via decision, adds historical context, but the long hiatus and weight class shift tilt implied probabilities toward Holloway's experience at close range and volume striking. Upcoming factors like training camp reports and weigh-in results could influence sentiment ahead of the July 11 main event in Las Vegas.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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Frequently Asked Questions