Skip to main content
icon for Trump's worst state on March 19?

Trump's worst state on March 19?

icon for Trump's worst state on March 19?

Trump's worst state on March 19?

Arizona 0

Florida 0

Illinois 0

Kansas 0

Polymarket

$158,372 Vol.

Arizona 0

Florida 0

Illinois 0

Kansas 0

Polymarket

$158,372 Vol.

icon for Arizona

Arizona

$16,201 Vol.

Yes

icon for Florida

Florida

$65,404 Vol.

No

icon for Illinois

Illinois

$8,375 Vol.

No

icon for Kansas

Kansas

$16,050 Vol.

No

icon for Ohio

Ohio

$52,342 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump performs worse in the Arizona Republican primary compared to all March 19 Republican Primaries. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Trump's worst performance will be considered as either the smallest margin of victory if Trump wins all March 19 primaries, or the largest margin of defeat if Trump loses one or more primaries. The margin for this market group is defined using only votes for Trump and the highest nonTrump vote-getter: #Trump / (#Trump + # Next highest) - #Next highest / (#Trump + #Next highest). The margin for this market group doesn’t take into consideration votes for other candidates. The states participating in the March 19 Primaries are: Arizona, Florida, Illinois, Kansas, and Ohio. The resolution source for this market will be the announcement of the primary results from the participating state Republican parties.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump performs worse in the Florida Republican primary compared to all March 19 Republican Primaries. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Trump's worst performance will be considered as either the smallest margin of victory if Trump wins all March 19 primaries, or the largest margin of defeat if Trump loses one or more primaries. The margin for this market group is defined using only votes for Trump and the highest nonTrump vote-getter: #Trump / (#Trump + # Next highest) - #Next highest / (#Trump + #Next highest). The margin for this market group doesn’t take into consideration votes for other candidates. The states participating in the March 19 Primaries are: Arizona, Florida, Illinois, Kansas, and Ohio. The resolution source for this market will be the announcement of the primary results from the participating state Republican parties.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump performs worse in the Illinois Republican primary compared to all March 19 Republican Primaries. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Trump's worst performance will be considered as either the smallest margin of victory if Trump wins all March 19 primaries, or the largest margin of defeat if Trump loses one or more primaries. The margin for this market group is defined using only votes for Trump and the highest nonTrump vote-getter: #Trump / (#Trump + # Next highest) - #Next highest / (#Trump + #Next highest). The margin for this market group doesn’t take into consideration votes for other candidates. The states participating in the March 19 Primaries are: Arizona, Florida, Illinois, Kansas, and Ohio. The resolution source for this market will be the announcement of the primary results from the participating state Republican parties.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump performs worse in the Kansas Republican primary compared to all March 19 Republican Primaries. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Trump's worst performance will be considered as either the smallest margin of victory if Trump wins all March 19 primaries, or the largest margin of defeat if Trump loses one or more primaries. The margin for this market group is defined using only votes for Trump and the highest nonTrump vote-getter: #Trump / (#Trump + # Next highest) - #Next highest / (#Trump + #Next highest). The margin for this market group doesn’t take into consideration votes for other candidates. The states participating in the March 19 Primaries are: Arizona, Florida, Illinois, Kansas, and Ohio. The resolution source for this market will be the announcement of the primary results from the participating state Republican parties.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump performs worse in the Ohio Republican primary compared to all March 19 Republican Primaries. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Trump's worst performance will be considered as either the smallest margin of victory if Trump wins all March 19 primaries, or the largest margin of defeat if Trump loses one or more primaries. The margin for this market group is defined using only votes for Trump and the highest nonTrump vote-getter: #Trump / (#Trump + # Next highest) - #Next highest / (#Trump + #Next highest). The margin for this market group doesn’t take into consideration votes for other candidates. The states participating in the March 19 Primaries are: Arizona, Florida, Illinois, Kansas, and Ohio. The resolution source for this market will be the announcement of the primary results from the participating state Republican parties.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump performs worse in the Arizona Republican primary compared to all March 19 Republican Primaries. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Trump's worst performance will be considered as either the smallest margin of victory if Trump wins all March 19 primaries, or the largest margin of defeat if Trump loses one or more primaries.

The margin for this market group is defined using only votes for Trump and the highest nonTrump vote-getter: #Trump / (#Trump + # Next highest) - #Next highest / (#Trump + #Next highest). The margin for this market group doesn’t take into consideration votes for other candidates.

The states participating in the March 19 Primaries are: Arizona, Florida, Illinois, Kansas, and Ohio.

The resolution source for this market will be the announcement of the primary results from the participating state Republican parties.
Volume
$158,372
End Date
Mar 19, 2024
Market Opened
Mar 18, 2024, 4:59 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump performs worse in the Arizona Republican primary compared to all March 19 Republican Primaries. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Trump's worst performance will be considered as either the smallest margin of victory if Trump wins all March 19 primaries, or the largest margin of defeat if Trump loses one or more primaries. The margin for this market group is defined using only votes for Trump and the highest nonTrump vote-getter: #Trump / (#Trump + # Next highest) - #Next highest / (#Trump + #Next highest). The margin for this market group doesn’t take into consideration votes for other candidates. The states participating in the March 19 Primaries are: Arizona, Florida, Illinois, Kansas, and Ohio. The resolution source for this market will be the announcement of the primary results from the participating state Republican parties.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump performs worse in the Arizona Republican primary compared to all March 19 Republican Primaries. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Trump's worst performance will be considered as either the smallest margin of victory if Trump wins all March 19 primaries, or the largest margin of defeat if Trump loses one or more primaries. The margin for this market group is defined using only votes for Trump and the highest nonTrump vote-getter: #Trump / (#Trump + # Next highest) - #Next highest / (#Trump + #Next highest). The margin for this market group doesn’t take into consideration votes for other candidates. The states participating in the March 19 Primaries are: Arizona, Florida, Illinois, Kansas, and Ohio. The resolution source for this market will be the announcement of the primary results from the participating state Republican parties.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump performs worse in the Florida Republican primary compared to all March 19 Republican Primaries. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Trump's worst performance will be considered as either the smallest margin of victory if Trump wins all March 19 primaries, or the largest margin of defeat if Trump loses one or more primaries. The margin for this market group is defined using only votes for Trump and the highest nonTrump vote-getter: #Trump / (#Trump + # Next highest) - #Next highest / (#Trump + #Next highest). The margin for this market group doesn’t take into consideration votes for other candidates. The states participating in the March 19 Primaries are: Arizona, Florida, Illinois, Kansas, and Ohio. The resolution source for this market will be the announcement of the primary results from the participating state Republican parties.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump performs worse in the Illinois Republican primary compared to all March 19 Republican Primaries. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Trump's worst performance will be considered as either the smallest margin of victory if Trump wins all March 19 primaries, or the largest margin of defeat if Trump loses one or more primaries. The margin for this market group is defined using only votes for Trump and the highest nonTrump vote-getter: #Trump / (#Trump + # Next highest) - #Next highest / (#Trump + #Next highest). The margin for this market group doesn’t take into consideration votes for other candidates. The states participating in the March 19 Primaries are: Arizona, Florida, Illinois, Kansas, and Ohio. The resolution source for this market will be the announcement of the primary results from the participating state Republican parties.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump performs worse in the Kansas Republican primary compared to all March 19 Republican Primaries. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Trump's worst performance will be considered as either the smallest margin of victory if Trump wins all March 19 primaries, or the largest margin of defeat if Trump loses one or more primaries. The margin for this market group is defined using only votes for Trump and the highest nonTrump vote-getter: #Trump / (#Trump + # Next highest) - #Next highest / (#Trump + #Next highest). The margin for this market group doesn’t take into consideration votes for other candidates. The states participating in the March 19 Primaries are: Arizona, Florida, Illinois, Kansas, and Ohio. The resolution source for this market will be the announcement of the primary results from the participating state Republican parties.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump performs worse in the Ohio Republican primary compared to all March 19 Republican Primaries. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Trump's worst performance will be considered as either the smallest margin of victory if Trump wins all March 19 primaries, or the largest margin of defeat if Trump loses one or more primaries. The margin for this market group is defined using only votes for Trump and the highest nonTrump vote-getter: #Trump / (#Trump + # Next highest) - #Next highest / (#Trump + #Next highest). The margin for this market group doesn’t take into consideration votes for other candidates. The states participating in the March 19 Primaries are: Arizona, Florida, Illinois, Kansas, and Ohio. The resolution source for this market will be the announcement of the primary results from the participating state Republican parties.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump performs worse in the Arizona Republican primary compared to all March 19 Republican Primaries. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Trump's worst performance will be considered as either the smallest margin of victory if Trump wins all March 19 primaries, or the largest margin of defeat if Trump loses one or more primaries.

The margin for this market group is defined using only votes for Trump and the highest nonTrump vote-getter: #Trump / (#Trump + # Next highest) - #Next highest / (#Trump + #Next highest). The margin for this market group doesn’t take into consideration votes for other candidates.

The states participating in the March 19 Primaries are: Arizona, Florida, Illinois, Kansas, and Ohio.

The resolution source for this market will be the announcement of the primary results from the participating state Republican parties.
Volume
$158,372
End Date
Mar 19, 2024
Market Opened
Mar 18, 2024, 4:59 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump performs worse in the Arizona Republican primary compared to all March 19 Republican Primaries. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Trump's worst performance will be considered as either the smallest margin of victory if Trump wins all March 19 primaries, or the largest margin of defeat if Trump loses one or more primaries. The margin for this market group is defined using only votes for Trump and the highest nonTrump vote-getter: #Trump / (#Trump + # Next highest) - #Next highest / (#Trump + #Next highest). The margin for this market group doesn’t take into consideration votes for other candidates. The states participating in the March 19 Primaries are: Arizona, Florida, Illinois, Kansas, and Ohio. The resolution source for this market will be the announcement of the primary results from the participating state Republican parties.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Trump's worst state on March 19?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Arizona" at 100%, followed by "Florida" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Trump's worst state on March 19?" has generated $158.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 18, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Trump's worst state on March 19?," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Trump's worst state on March 19?" is "Arizona" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Florida" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Trump's worst state on March 19?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.