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icon for Trump negative approval before March?

Trump negative approval before March?

icon for Trump negative approval before March?

Trump negative approval before March?

<1% 概率
Polymarket

$299,683 交易量

<1% 概率
Polymarket

$299,683 交易量

This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Donald Trump’s disapproval rating on FiveThirtyEight is higher than his approval rating for any date between February 5 and February 28, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Trump’s disapproval rating must be higher than his approval rating, ties will not qualify. The approval/disapproval ratings for each date will be considered finalized once the next data point is available. If data for any date remains unavailable, the nearest previous approval/disapproval figures will be used. The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/, specifically the disapproval rating indicated by the purple "disapprove", and the green “approve” trend line for the resolution date. The box that 538 uses to calculate the difference using different precision is not relevant for this market - only the difference between approval and disapproval ratings that they report up to one decimal point is considered. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the disapproval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. This market may only resolve to "No" once the first data point after February 28, 2025 is published. If the first data point after February 28, 2025 is published, and there is still no data point for February 28, this market will resolve according to all prior data points. Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Donald Trump’s disapproval rating on FiveThirtyEight is higher than his approval rating for any date between February 5 and February 28, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Trump’s disapproval rating must be higher than his approval rating, ties will not qualify.

The approval/disapproval ratings for each date will be considered finalized once the next data point is available. If data for any date remains unavailable, the nearest previous approval/disapproval figures will be used.

The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/, specifically the disapproval rating indicated by the purple "disapprove", and the green “approve” trend line for the resolution date. The box that 538 uses to calculate the difference using different precision is not relevant for this market - only the difference between approval and disapproval ratings that they report up to one decimal point is considered.

Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the disapproval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

This market may only resolve to "No" once the first data point after February 28, 2025 is published. If the first data point after February 28, 2025 is published, and there is still no data point for February 28, this market will resolve according to all prior data points.

Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
交易量
$299,683
结束日期
2025-02-28
市场开放时间
Feb 6, 2025, 12:41 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Donald Trump’s disapproval rating on FiveThirtyEight is higher than his approval rating for any date between February 5 and February 28, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Trump’s disapproval rating must be higher than his approval rating, ties will not qualify. The approval/disapproval ratings for each date will be considered finalized once the next data point is available. If data for any date remains unavailable, the nearest previous approval/disapproval figures will be used. The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/, specifically the disapproval rating indicated by the purple "disapprove", and the green “approve” trend line for the resolution date. The box that 538 uses to calculate the difference using different precision is not relevant for this market - only the difference between approval and disapproval ratings that they report up to one decimal point is considered. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the disapproval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. This market may only resolve to "No" once the first data point after February 28, 2025 is published. If the first data point after February 28, 2025 is published, and there is still no data point for February 28, this market will resolve according to all prior data points. Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Donald Trump’s disapproval rating on FiveThirtyEight is higher than his approval rating for any date between February 5 and February 28, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Trump’s disapproval rating must be higher than his approval rating, ties will not qualify. The approval/disapproval ratings for each date will be considered finalized once the next data point is available. If data for any date remains unavailable, the nearest previous approval/disapproval figures will be used. The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/, specifically the disapproval rating indicated by the purple "disapprove", and the green “approve” trend line for the resolution date. The box that 538 uses to calculate the difference using different precision is not relevant for this market - only the difference between approval and disapproval ratings that they report up to one decimal point is considered. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the disapproval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. This market may only resolve to "No" once the first data point after February 28, 2025 is published. If the first data point after February 28, 2025 is published, and there is still no data point for February 28, this market will resolve according to all prior data points. Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Donald Trump’s disapproval rating on FiveThirtyEight is higher than his approval rating for any date between February 5 and February 28, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Trump’s disapproval rating must be higher than his approval rating, ties will not qualify.

The approval/disapproval ratings for each date will be considered finalized once the next data point is available. If data for any date remains unavailable, the nearest previous approval/disapproval figures will be used.

The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/, specifically the disapproval rating indicated by the purple "disapprove", and the green “approve” trend line for the resolution date. The box that 538 uses to calculate the difference using different precision is not relevant for this market - only the difference between approval and disapproval ratings that they report up to one decimal point is considered.

Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the disapproval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

This market may only resolve to "No" once the first data point after February 28, 2025 is published. If the first data point after February 28, 2025 is published, and there is still no data point for February 28, this market will resolve according to all prior data points.

Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
交易量
$299,683
结束日期
2025-02-28
市场开放时间
Feb 6, 2025, 12:41 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Donald Trump’s disapproval rating on FiveThirtyEight is higher than his approval rating for any date between February 5 and February 28, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Trump’s disapproval rating must be higher than his approval rating, ties will not qualify. The approval/disapproval ratings for each date will be considered finalized once the next data point is available. If data for any date remains unavailable, the nearest previous approval/disapproval figures will be used. The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/, specifically the disapproval rating indicated by the purple "disapprove", and the green “approve” trend line for the resolution date. The box that 538 uses to calculate the difference using different precision is not relevant for this market - only the difference between approval and disapproval ratings that they report up to one decimal point is considered. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the disapproval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. This market may only resolve to "No" once the first data point after February 28, 2025 is published. If the first data point after February 28, 2025 is published, and there is still no data point for February 28, this market will resolve according to all prior data points. Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Trump negative approval before March?"是 Polymarket 上的一个预测市场,交易者根据自己对事件是否会发生的判断买卖"是"或"否"的份额。当前社区预测的概率为 0%("Yes")。例如,如果"是"的价格为 0¢,则市场集体认为该事件发生的概率为 0%。这些赔率会随着交易者对新动态和信息的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"Trump negative approval before March?"已产生 $299.7K 的总交易量(自Feb 6, 2025市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Trump negative approval before March?"上交易,只需选择你认为答案是"是"还是"否"。每一方都有一个反映市场隐含概率的当前价格。输入你的金额并点击"交易"。如果你买入"是"的份额且结果为"是",每份支付 $1。如果结果为"否",你的"是"份额支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额以锁定利润或止损。

"Trump negative approval before March?"的当前概率为 0%("Yes")。这意味着 Polymarket 社区目前认为该事件发生的概率为 0%。这些赔率基于实际交易实时更新,持续提供市场预期信号。

"Trump negative approval before March?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。