Name: Top Spotify Album 2025
Start: 2025-10-03T14:55:47.521009Z
End: 2025-12-31T00:00:00Z

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Spotify releases an annual report of its most-streamed albums (see: https://newsroom.spotify.com/2024-12-04/top-songs-artists-podcasts-audiobooks-albums-trends-2024/).

This market will resolve according to the most-streamed Spotify album for 2025.

If Spotify does not release its top album for 2025 by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify, typically released as part of Spotify Wrapped.

DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS by Bad Bunny

Mayhem by Lady Gaga

Man's Best Friend by Sabrina Carpenter

The Life of a Showgirl by Taylor Swift

Hurry Up Tomorrow by The Weeknd

I'm The Problem by Morgan Wallen

GNX by Kendrick Lamar

Music by Playboi Carti

SOS by SZA

KPop Demon Hunters by Soundtrack

Top Spotify Album 2025

Spotify releases an annual report of its most-streamed songs (see: https://newsroom.spotify.com/2024-12-04/top-songs-artists-podcasts-audiobooks-albums-trends-2024/).

This market will resolve according to the most-streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025.

If Spotify does not release its top song for 2025 by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify, typically released as part of Spotify Wrapped.

Will Die With a Smile by Lady Gaga and Bruno Mars be the most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025?

Spotify releases an annual report of its most-streamed artists (see: https://newsroom.spotify.com/2024-12-04/top-songs-artists-podcasts-audiobooks-albums-trends-2024/).

This market will resolve according to the second most-streamed Spotify artist for 2025.

If Spotify does not release its second most-streamed artist for 2025 by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify, typically released as part of Spotify Wrapped.

Will Taylor Swift be the second most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?

Spotify releases an annual report of its most-streamed artists (see: https://newsroom.spotify.com/2024-12-04/top-songs-artists-podcasts-audiobooks-albums-trends-2024/).

This market will resolve according to the third most-streamed Spotify artist for 2025.

If Spotify does not release its third most-streamed artist for 2025 by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify, typically released as part of Spotify Wrapped.

Will Drake be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?

Spotify releases an annual report of its most-streamed songs (see: https://newsroom.spotify.com/2024-12-04/top-songs-artists-podcasts-audiobooks-albums-trends-2024/).

This market will resolve according to the second most-streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025.

If Spotify does not release its second most-streamed song for 2025 by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify, typically released as part of Spotify Wrapped.

Will BIRDS OF A FEATHER by Billie Eilish be the 2nd most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025?

Spotify releases an annual report of its most-streamed songs (see: https://newsroom.spotify.com/2024-12-04/top-songs-artists-podcasts-audiobooks-albums-trends-2024/).

This market will resolve according to the third most-streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025.

If Spotify does not release its third most-streamed song for 2025 by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify, typically released as part of Spotify Wrapped.

Will DtMF by Bad Bunny be the 3rd most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025?

Spotify curates a playlist of the most streamed songs globally and updates it on Fridays to reflect streaming data for the previous week, beginning on the preceding Friday and ending on Thursday.

This market will resolve according to the most-streamed song globally on Spotify for the week labeled November 20.

If Spotify does not release its top song for the week labeled November 20 by November 21, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify. The weekly top songs chart can be found on open.spotify.com under the "Charts" heading. 

Will The Fate of Ophelia by Taylor Swift be the #1 song on Spotify this week?

Spotify releases an annual report of its most streamed artist (see: https://newsroom.spotify.com/2024-12-04/top-songs-artists-podcasts-audiobooks-albums-trends-2024/). This market refers to the most streamed Spotify artist for 2025. 

If the above-listed artists are the most streamed Spotify artist for 2025, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Spotify does not release who their top artist for 2025 is by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". 

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify, typically released as part of Spotify Wrapped. 

Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?

This market will resolve according to the name of the album occupying the #1 spot on Rolling Stone magazine's 100 Best Albums of 2025 list.

If no such list is published by January 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the case of a tie for the #1 position, this market will resolve in favor of the album whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source for this market will be Rolling Stone magazine or the Rolling Stone website (see: https://www.rollingstone.com/music/)

Will DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS (Bad Bunny) be the #1 album on Rolling Stone's 100 Best Albums of 2025 list?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed artist officially releases a new album between April 8 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.

Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release.

The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.

Will Kanye West release an album in 2025?

This market will resolve according to the song ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search list for 2025, published on Google’s Year in Search hub.

The authoritative location is trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search (navigate: Global → Entertainment → Songs), where the 2025 page will appear once released (as the 2024 page currently shows the Global “Songs” ranking).

This market may resolve as soon as the official 2025 data is released for the specified timeframe. If none of the listed options is ranked #1 in the respective list or if Google does not release the 2025 Year in Search by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

Will Not Like Us by Kendrick Lamar be the #1 searched song on Google this year?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if BTS (방탄소년단) releases any new music track credited to the group between June 3 and December 31, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The track must be publicly released through major music platforms (e.g., Spotify, Apple Music, or YouTube) and must be announced via official BTS or BigHit Music channels. The release must include new musical content; re-releases, remasters, or compilations of previously released songs do not count unless they contain newly recorded material.

Tracks released by individual members, sub-units, or under any designation other than "BTS" as a group will not count toward resolution.

The resolution source will be any official BTS streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.


Will BTS release any tracks in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Drake’s next officially released album debuts at No. 1 on the Billboard 200 albums chart for its first charted week following release. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Drake does not release a new album by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market may resolve as soon as Billboard publishes the first chart week in which the album appears.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Billboard (https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/).

Will Drake's next album debut No.1 on Billboard 200?

The winners of the Steam Award for 2025 will be chosen by community vote. Results will be announced on December 31, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the game which wins Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards.

If for any reason no winner is declared by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the game whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Steam, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Blackpink (블랙핑크, BLɅϽKPIИK) officially releases a new album between June 3 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.

The resolution source will be any official Blackpink streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.

Will BLɅϽKPIИK release an album before 2026?

This market will resolve according to the movie ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search list for 2025, published on Google’s Year in Search hub.

The authoritative location is trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search (navigate: Global → Entertainment → Movies), where the 2025 page will appear once released (as the 2024 page currently shows the Global “Movies” ranking).

If a search term clearly refers to the term listed by Google (for example, abbreviations, alternate spellings, or closely related phrasing), it will count toward that listed term.

This market may resolve as soon as the official 2025 data is released for the specified timeframe. If none of the listed options is ranked #1 in the respective list or if Google does not release the 2025 Year in Search by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

Will KPop Demon Hunters be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?

This market will resolve according to the game ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search list for 2025, published on Google’s Year in Search hub.

The authoritative location is trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ (navigate: Global → Lifestyle and gaming → Games), where the 2025 page will appear once released (as the 2024 page currently shows the Global “Games” ranking).

This market may resolve as soon as the official 2025 data is released for the specified timeframe. If none of the listed options is ranked #1 in the respective list or if Google does not release the 2025 Year in Search by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

Will Hollow Knight: Silksong be the #1 searched game on Google this year?

This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search list for 2025, published on Google’s Year in Search hub.

The authoritative location is trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/
 (navigate: Global → Trending → People), where the 2025 page will appear once released (as the 2024 page currently shows the Global “People” ranking).

This market may resolve as soon as the official 2025 data is released for the specified timeframe. If none of the listed options is ranked #1 in the respective list or if Google does not release the 2025 Year in Search by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

This market will resolve according to the Game that wins Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards scheduled for December 11, 2025.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". 

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from thegameawards.com; however, a consensus of credible information will also be used.

Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?

This market will resolve to the movie with the second highest 2025 gross once data for December 31 is made available.

Data from the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2025/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses will be used to resolve this market.

Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2025 - dates outside of 2025 will not count toward this movie's gross.

In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.

If there is no final data available by January 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Will A Minecraft Movie be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?

This market will resolve to the movie with the third highest 2025 gross once data for December 31 is made available.

Data from the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2025/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses will be used to resolve this market.

Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2025 - dates outside of 2025 will not count toward this movie's gross.

In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.

If there is no final data available by January 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Will Lilo and Stitch be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?

This market will resolve according to the news topic ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search list for 2025, published on Google’s Year in Search hub.

The authoritative location is trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search (navigate: Global → Trending → News), where the 2025 page will appear once released (the 2024 page currently shows the Global “News” ranking).

If the listed market topic and Google’s #1 topic are reasonably closely related in ordinary usage, i.e., one is an umbrella for the other, one is a specific sub-event of the other, or they are clear synonyms/aliases (including abbreviations, misspellings, or equivalent phrasing), then it counts for resolution. For example, “Rafah offensive” counts for “Gaza–Israel conflict,” and “U.S. strikes on Iran” counts for “Israel–Iran conflict.” By contrast, distinct contemporaneous topics that merely influence one another do not count for each other unless Google itself lists them as a single combined topic (e.g., “NVIDIA stock plunge” does not count for “DeepSeek R1 launch”).

This market may resolve as soon as the official 2025 data is released for the specified timeframe. If none of the listed options is ranked #1 in the respective list, or if Google does not release the 2025 Year in Search by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

Will the assassination of Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched news on Google this year?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.

If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

The GRAMMY Awards are presented annually by the Recording Academy. For the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards, nominations are scheduled for November 7, 2025, and the ceremony for February 1, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed album that wins Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed album that comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the awards and the Grammy website (https://www.grammy.com/); however, other credible reporting may be used.

Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

This market will resolve according to the television show ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search list for 2025, published on Google’s Year in Search hub.

The authoritative location is trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search (navigate: Global → Entertainment → TV Shows), where the 2025 page will appear once released (as the 2024 page currently shows the Global “TV Shows” ranking).

If a search term clearly refers to the term listed by Google (for example, through season specification), it will count toward that listed term.

This market may resolve as soon as the official 2025 data is released for the specified timeframe. If none of the listed options is ranked #1 in the respective list or if Google does not release the 2025 Year in Search by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

Will Squid Game be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?

This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #2 in Google’s official Year in Search list for 2025, published on Google’s Year in Search hub.

The authoritative location is trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/
 (navigate: Global → Trending → People), where the 2025 page will appear once released (as the 2024 page currently shows the Global “People” ranking).

This market may resolve as soon as the official 2025 data is released for the specified timeframe. If none of the listed options is ranked #2 in the respective list or if Google does not release the 2025 Year in Search by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

Will Pope Leo XIV be the #2 searched person on Google this year?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is ranked in the Top 5 of Google’s official Year in Search “People” list for 2025, published on Google’s Year in Search hub. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. 

The authoritative location is trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ (navigate: Global → Trending → People), where the 2025 page will appear once released (as the 2024 page currently shows the Global “People” ranking).

This market may resolve as soon as the official 2025 data is released for the specified timeframe. If none of the listed options ranks within the Top 5 of the respective list, or if Google does not release the 2025 Year in Search by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

This market will resolve according to the female name ranked #1 in the U.S. Social Security Administration’s (SSA) official list of popular baby names for 2025, published on the SSA website: https://www.ssa.gov/oact/babynames/.

The authoritative source is the SSA’s “Popular Names by Birth Year” tool. To view the relevant "Female name" list, set the Birth Year to 2025.

This market may resolve as soon as the SSA releases its 2025 name data for the specified year. If none of the listed options is ranked #1 or if the SSA does not release the 2025 rankings by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

Will Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

This market will resolve according to the athlete ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search list for 2025, published on Google’s Year in Search hub.

The authoritative location is trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search (navigate: Global → Sports → Athletes), where the 2025 page will appear once released (as the 2024 page currently shows the Global “Athletes” ranking).

If a search term clearly refers to the term listed by Google (for example, nicknames or alternate spellings), it will count toward that listed term.

This market may resolve as soon as the official 2025 data is released for the specified timeframe. If none of the listed options is ranked #1 in the respective list or if Google does not release the 2025 Year in Search by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

Will Terence Crawford be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?

This market will resolve according to the actor ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search list for 2025, published on Google’s Year in Search hub.

The authoritative location is trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ (navigate: Global → Entertainment → Actors), where the 2025 page will appear once released (as the 2024 page currently shows the Global “Actors” ranking).

This market may resolve as soon as the official 2025 data is released for the specified timeframe. If none of the listed options is ranked #1 in the respective list or if Google does not release the 2025 Year in Search by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

Will Dharmendra be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, November 25, 2025, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie.

The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only).

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by November 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Will "Frankenstein" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (November 25 2025)

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Blackpink (블랙핑크, BLɅϽKPIИK) officially releases a new album by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.

The resolution source will be any official Blackpink streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.

Will BLɅϽKPIИK release an album by February 28?

The CMA Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association. For the 59th Annual CMA Awards, the ceremony is scheduled for November 19, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the listed album that wins Album of the Year at the 59th Annual CMA Awards.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed album that comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the awards and the CMA Awards website (https://cmaawards.com/); however, other credible reporting may be used.

Will Whirlwind by Lainey Wilson be the Album of the Year at the 59th annual CMA Awards?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song released by GELO after March 31 is on the Billboard Hot 100 chart at any point between April 1, and December 31, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Billboard (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/).

Will GELO drop another Billboard top 100 hit in 2025?

This market will resolve according to the deceased person ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search list for 2025, published on Google’s Year in Search hub.

The authoritative location is trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ (navigate: Global → Trending → Passings), where the 2025 page will appear once released (as the 2024 page currently shows the Global “Passings” ranking).

This market may resolve as soon as the official 2025 data is released for the specified timeframe. If none of the listed options is ranked #1 in the respective list or if Google does not release the 2025 Year in Search for "Passings" or an equivalent category by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

Will Charlie Kirk be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?

This market will resolve according to the male name ranked #1 in the U.S. Social Security Administration’s (SSA) official list of popular baby names for 2025, published on the SSA website: https://www.ssa.gov/oact/babynames/.

The authoritative source is the SSA’s “Popular Names by Birth Year” tool. To view the relevant "Male name" list, set the Birth Year to 2025.

This market may resolve as soon as the SSA releases its 2025 name data for the specified year. If none of the listed options is ranked #1 or if the SSA does not release the 2025 rankings by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a Justin Bieber song reaches #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 between September 4 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source will be Billboard.com.

Will a Justin Bieber song reach #1 this year?

In November, a song reported to be the product of an AI-generated artist reached the top of the Billboard's Country Digital Song Sales chart. (see: https://www.barrons.com/news/ai-country-song-rollicks-to-the-top-of-us-sales-chart-7fe99e8a)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song widely reported to be entirely AI-generated reaches number 1 on any Billboard chart between November 13, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A song will be considered fully AI-generated if all vocals, musical composition, and production elements are created primarily by AI. Human actions such as prompting, mixing, and editing will not disqualify a song provided all audio content originates from AI.

Songs reported to have used AI-generated lyrics but not AI-generated voices, AI-assisted human vocals or instruments, or remixes, mash-ups, or covers using human-performed components will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Will another AI-generated song reach number 1 on any Billboard chart by June 30?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:

- Charlie Kirk is ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search 'Passings' list for 2025
- Pope Leo XIV is ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search 'People' list for 2025
- Sydney Sweeney is ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search 'Actors' list for 2025

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The authoritative location is trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/, where the 2025 page will appear once released.

This market may resolve as soon as the official 2025 data is released for the specified timeframe. If Google does not release the 2025 Year in Search by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”

Google Trends Parlay

This market will resolve to the company which owns the model that has the top LiveBench “coding average” score, as based off the LiveBench AI model leaderboard (https://livebench.ai/#/), on December 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. 

If two models are tied for the top LiveBench coding average score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary source of resolution for this market will be LiveBench’s AI leaderboard, specifically the “coding average” category, found at livebench.ai. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?

The GRAMMY Awards are presented annually by the Recording Academy. For the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards, nominations are scheduled for November 7, 2025, and the ceremony for February 1, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed track that wins Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed track that comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the awards and the Grammy website (https://www.grammy.com/); however, other credible reporting may be used.

Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

This market will resolve according to the number of consecutive weeks that The Life of a Showgirl holds the #1 spot on the Billboard 200.

If the album does not debut as #1 or is otherwise not released by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to the lowest bracket (0).

Consecutive weeks are counted based on Billboard’s official weekly Billboard 200 chart publications. 

The resolution source will be based on Billboard’s official Billboard 200 chart.

Will 'The Life of a Showgirl' be #1 for 7 straight weeks?

This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for November 2025 versus the data points available for all other Novembers on record.

Note: If November 2025 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Nov" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for November 2025 is provided by NASA by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.

Will November 2025 be the 3rd hottest on record?

The GRAMMY Awards are presented annually by the Recording Academy. For the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards, nominations are scheduled for November 7, 2025, and the ceremony for February 1, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed song that wins Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed song that comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the awards and the Grammy website (https://www.grammy.com/); however, other credible reporting may be used.

Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

This is a market to predict which player will win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player is officially named the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the award is not announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com).

Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for 2025 shows an increase greater than that of any previously recorded year when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An anomaly greater than that of any previously recorded year for 2025 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for 2024 and/or 2025 is later revised.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "Land-Ocean Temperature Index (C)" under the column "No_Smoothing" in the row "2025" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/graph_data/Global_Mean_Estimates_based_on_Land_and_Ocean_Data/graph.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for 2025 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.

Top Spotify Album 2025

DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS by Bad Bunny
$55,706 Vol.
96%
0123456789
%

The Life of a Showgirl by Taylor Swift
$51,996 Vol.
3%
0123456789
%

KPop Demon Hunters by Soundtrack
$335,427 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Man's Best Friend by Sabrina Carpenter
$92,766 Vol.
<1%

Mayhem by Lady Gaga
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$636,007 Vol.
<1%

I'm The Problem by Morgan Wallen
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<1%

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$218,662 Vol.
<1%

SOS by SZA
$528,489 Vol.
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GNX by Kendrick Lamar
$291,341 Vol.
<1%

Market Context

Top Spotify Album 2025

Rules

Top Spotify Album 2025

Market Context

Top Spotify Album 2025

About

Related

Top Spotify Album 2025

DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS by Bad Bunny$55,706 Vol.96%0123456789%buy Yes96.8¢buy No3.2¢

The Life of a Showgirl by Taylor Swift$51,996 Vol.3%0123456789%buy Yes3.9¢buy No96.1¢

KPop Demon Hunters by Soundtrack$335,427 Vol.1%0123456789%buy Yes0.6¢buy No99.4¢

Man's Best Friend by Sabrina Carpenter$92,766 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.3¢buy No99.7¢

Mayhem by Lady Gaga$380,831 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.2¢buy No99.8¢

Hurry Up Tomorrow by The Weeknd$636,007 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.2¢buy No99.8¢

I'm The Problem by Morgan Wallen$48,495 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.2¢buy No99.8¢

Music by Playboi Carti$218,662 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.2¢buy No99.8¢

SOS by SZA$528,489 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.2¢buy No99.8¢

GNX by Kendrick Lamar$291,341 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.1¢buy No100¢

Market Context

Top Spotify Album 2025

Rules

Top Spotify Album 2025

Market Context

Top Spotify Album 2025

About

Related

DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS by Bad Bunny
$55,706 Vol.
96%
0123456789
%

The Life of a Showgirl by Taylor Swift
$51,996 Vol.
3%
0123456789
%

KPop Demon Hunters by Soundtrack
$335,427 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Man's Best Friend by Sabrina Carpenter
$92,766 Vol.
<1%

Mayhem by Lady Gaga
$380,831 Vol.
<1%

Hurry Up Tomorrow by The Weeknd
$636,007 Vol.
<1%

I'm The Problem by Morgan Wallen
$48,495 Vol.
<1%

Music by Playboi Carti
$218,662 Vol.
<1%

SOS by SZA
$528,489 Vol.
<1%

GNX by Kendrick Lamar
$291,341 Vol.
<1%