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icon for The Masters 2026: Second Round Leader
Sports·Golf

The Masters 2026: Second Round Leader

icon for The Masters 2026: Second Round Leader
Sports·Golf

The Masters 2026: Second Round Leader

Rory McIlroy 100.0%

Ludvig Aberg <1%

Chris Gotterup <1%

Akshay Bhatia <1%

Polymarket

$1,681 Vol.

Rory McIlroy 100.0%

Ludvig Aberg <1%

Chris Gotterup <1%

Akshay Bhatia <1%

Polymarket

$1,681 Vol.

Ludvig Aberg

$33 Vol.

No

Chris Gotterup

$0 Vol.

No

Akshay Bhatia

$0 Vol.

No

Keegan Bradley

$0 Vol.

No

Si Woo Kim

$0 Vol.

No

Jacob Bridgeman

$0 Vol.

No

Sam Burns

$200 Vol.

No

J.J. Spaun

$0 Vol.

No

Marco Penge

$0 Vol.

No

Patrick Cantlay

$0 Vol.

No

Wyndham Clark

$0 Vol.

No

Corey Conners

$0 Vol.

No

Fred Couples

$0 Vol.

No

Jason Day

$0 Vol.

No

Bryson DeChambeau

$0 Vol.

No

Sung-Jae Im

$0 Vol.

No

Harris English

$0 Vol.

No

Gary Woodland

$0 Vol.

No

Matt Fitzpatrick

$0 Vol.

No

Tommy Fleetwood

$0 Vol.

No

Daniel Berger

$0 Vol.

No

Sergio Garcia

$0 Vol.

No

Ben Griffin

$0 Vol.

No

Kurt Kitayama

$0 Vol.

No

Ryan Fox

$4 Vol.

No

Casey Jarvis

$0 Vol.

No

Max Greyserman

$0 Vol.

No

Brian Harman

$0 Vol.

No

Tyrrell Hatton

$0 Vol.

No

Russell Henley

$0 Vol.

No

Nick Taylor

$0 Vol.

No

Nicolai Hojgaard

$0 Vol.

No

Rasmus Hojgaard

$0 Vol.

No

Aldrich Potgieter

$0 Vol.

No

Max Homa

$0 Vol.

No

Viktor Hovland

$0 Vol.

No

Nicolas Echavarria

$0 Vol.

No

Matt McCarty

$0 Vol.

No

Ryan Gerard

$0 Vol.

No

Dustin Johnson

$0 Vol.

No

Zach Johnson

$0 Vol.

No

Sam Stevens

$0 Vol.

No

Harry Hall

$0 Vol.

No

Tom McKibbin

$0 Vol.

No

Hao-Tong Li

$0 Vol.

No

Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen

$0 Vol.

No

Johnny Keefer

$0 Vol.

No

Brooks Koepka

$0 Vol.

No

Michael Kim

$0 Vol.

No

Min Woo Lee

$0 Vol.

No

Andrew Novak

$0 Vol.

No

Shane Lowry

$0 Vol.

No

Robert MacIntyre

$0 Vol.

No

Hideki Matsuyama

$0 Vol.

No

Michael Brennan

$0 Vol.

No

Rory McIlroy

$1,305 Vol.

Yes

Kristoffer Reitan

$0 Vol.

No

Maverick McNealy

$0 Vol.

No

Collin Morikawa

$0 Vol.

No

Davis Riley

$0 Vol.

No

Alexander Noren

$0 Vol.

No

Brian Campbell

$0 Vol.

No

Ethan Fang

$0 Vol.

No

Pongsapak Laopakdee

$0 Vol.

No

Naoyuki Kataoka

$0 Vol.

No

Mason Howell

$0 Vol.

No

Mateo Pulcini

$0 Vol.

No

Jon Rahm

$0 Vol.

No

Aaron Rai

$0 Vol.

No

Patrick Reed

$100 Vol.

No

Jackson Herrington

$0 Vol.

No

Angel Cabrera

$0 Vol.

No

Justin Rose

$19 Vol.

No

Xander Schauffele

$0 Vol.

No

Scottie Scheffler

$2 Vol.

No

Charl Schwartzel

$0 Vol.

No

Adam Scott

$0 Vol.

No

Carlos Ortiz

$19 Vol.

No

Cameron Smith

$0 Vol.

No

Jake Knapp

$0 Vol.

No

Jordan Spieth

$0 Vol.

No

Brandon Holtz

$0 Vol.

No

Sepp Straka

$0 Vol.

No

Mike Weir

$0 Vol.

No

Justin Thomas

$0 Vol.

No

Vijay Singh

$0 Vol.

No

Bubba Watson

$0 Vol.

No

Jose Maria Olazabal

$0 Vol.

No

Danny Willett

$0 Vol.

No

Sami Valimaki

$0 Vol.

No

Cameron Young

$0 Vol.

No

Player I

$0 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 2 of the main tournament at the 2026 Masters Tournament at Augusta National with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists,this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Masters Tournament at Augusta National is cancelled, postponed after April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 2 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the Masters website (https://www.masters.com/leaderboard).Defending champion Rory McIlroy's bogey-free 5-under 67 to co-lead after round 1 at Augusta National, followed by birdies early in round 2 to reach 7-under through eight holes, drives his 56% implied probability as trader consensus second-round leader, reflecting his strong ball-striking and putting on the fast greens. Nicolas Echavarria's 42.5% stems from recent momentum including a Par 3 Contest win last year, despite a tough opening 79, as traders weigh potential bounce-back in favorable early tee time. Dustin Johnson's steady 1-over 73 round 1 and two-time major winner pedigree support 40%, while U.S. Amateur champion Mason Howell's 37.5% highlights debut upside amid field positioning. Patrick Reed's climb to 5-under through 10 in round 2 bolsters his 27.5%, with others at 25% like Tommy Fleetwood (-4 through 10) showing competitive leaderboard proximity amid ongoing play.

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 2 of the main tournament at the 2026 Masters Tournament at Augusta National with the lowest cumulative score to par.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists,this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 Masters Tournament at Augusta National is cancelled, postponed after April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 2 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the Masters website (https://www.masters.com/leaderboard).This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 2 of the main tournament at the 2026 Masters Tournament at Augusta National with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists,this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Masters Tournament at Augusta National is cancelled, postponed after April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 2 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the Masters website (https://www.masters.com/leaderboard).
Volume
$1,681
End Date
Apr 4, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 7, 2026, 2:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 2 of the main tournament at the 2026 Masters Tournament at Augusta National with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists,this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Masters Tournament at Augusta National is cancelled, postponed after April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 2 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the Masters website (https://www.masters.com/leaderboard).Defending champion Rory McIlroy's bogey-free 5-under 67 to co-lead after round 1 at Augusta National, followed by birdies early in round 2 to reach 7-under through eight holes, drives his 56% implied probability as trader consensus second-round leader, reflecting his strong ball-striking and putting on the fast greens. Nicolas Echavarria's 42.5% stems from recent momentum including a Par 3 Contest win last year, despite a tough opening 79, as traders weigh potential bounce-back in favorable early tee time. Dustin Johnson's steady 1-over 73 round 1 and two-time major winner pedigree support 40%, while U.S. Amateur champion Mason Howell's 37.5% highlights debut upside amid field positioning. Patrick Reed's climb to 5-under through 10 in round 2 bolsters his 27.5%, with others at 25% like Tommy Fleetwood (-4 through 10) showing competitive leaderboard proximity amid ongoing play.

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 2 of the main tournament at the 2026 Masters Tournament at Augusta National with the lowest cumulative score to par.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists,this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 Masters Tournament at Augusta National is cancelled, postponed after April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 2 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the Masters website (https://www.masters.com/leaderboard).This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 2 of the main tournament at the 2026 Masters Tournament at Augusta National with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists,this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Masters Tournament at Augusta National is cancelled, postponed after April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 2 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the Masters website (https://www.masters.com/leaderboard).
Volume
$1,681
End Date
Apr 4, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 7, 2026, 2:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"The Masters 2026: Second Round Leader" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 92+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Rory McIlroy" at 100%, followed by "Ludvig Aberg" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"The Masters 2026: Second Round Leader" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 7, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "The Masters 2026: Second Round Leader," browse the 92+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "The Masters 2026: Second Round Leader" is "Rory McIlroy" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ludvig Aberg" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "The Masters 2026: Second Round Leader" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.