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Sports·The Masters

The Masters 2026: First Round Leader

Market icon
Sports·The Masters

The Masters 2026: First Round Leader

Sam Burns 100.0%

Keegan Bradley <1%

Gary Woodland <1%

Tommy Fleetwood <1%

Polymarket

$113,248 Vol.

Sam Burns 100.0%

Keegan Bradley <1%

Gary Woodland <1%

Tommy Fleetwood <1%

Polymarket

$113,248 Vol.

Keegan Bradley

$178 Vol.

No

Sam Burns

$5,651 Vol.

Yes

Gary Woodland

$206 Vol.

No

Tommy Fleetwood

$14 Vol.

No

Sergio Garcia

$33 Vol.

No

Russell Henley

$216 Vol.

No

Rasmus Hojgaard

$78 Vol.

No

Max Homa

$178 Vol.

No

Nicolas Echavarria

$28 Vol.

No

Ryan Gerard

$178 Vol.

No

Dustin Johnson

$28 Vol.

No

Brooks Koepka

$206 Vol.

No

Robert MacIntyre

$38 Vol.

No

Maverick McNealy

$40,192 Vol.

No

Brian Campbell

$211 Vol.

No

Naoyuki Kataoka

$28 Vol.

No

Mason Howell

$28 Vol.

No

Jon Rahm

$61 Vol.

No

Angel Cabrera

$28 Vol.

No

Adam Scott

$206 Vol.

No

Jose Maria Olazabal

$28 Vol.

No

Sami Valimaki

$28 Vol.

No

Cameron Young

$340 Vol.

No

Ludvig Aberg

$264 Vol.

No

Akshay Bhatia

$219 Vol.

No

Jacob Bridgeman

$275 Vol.

No

Fred Couples

$91 Vol.

No

Sung-Jae Im

$192 Vol.

No

Kurt Kitayama

$192 Vol.

No

Aldrich Potgieter

$289 Vol.

No

Viktor Hovland

$28 Vol.

No

Zach Johnson

$260 Vol.

No

Sam Stevens

$206 Vol.

No

Harry Hall

$164 Vol.

No

Tom McKibbin

$164 Vol.

No

Hao-Tong Li

$1,764 Vol.

No

Johnny Keefer

$178 Vol.

No

Andrew Novak

$150 Vol.

No

Kristoffer Reitan

$178 Vol.

No

Pongsapak Laopakdee

$150 Vol.

No

Patrick Reed

$197 Vol.

No

Jackson Herrington

$28 Vol.

No

Justin Rose

$499 Vol.

No

Xander Schauffele

$28 Vol.

No

Scottie Scheffler

$281 Vol.

No

Carlos Ortiz

$178 Vol.

No

Cameron Smith

$105 Vol.

No

Jake Knapp

$91 Vol.

No

Brandon Holtz

$28 Vol.

No

J.J. Spaun

$52 Vol.

No

Matt Fitzpatrick

$28 Vol.

No

Daniel Berger

$198 Vol.

No

Max Greyserman

$178 Vol.

No

Brian Harman

$192 Vol.

No

Tyrrell Hatton

$164 Vol.

No

Nicolai Hojgaard

$400 Vol.

No

Matt McCarty

$178 Vol.

No

Michael Kim

$197 Vol.

No

Shane Lowry

$164 Vol.

No

Michael Brennan

$178 Vol.

No

Rory McIlroy

$21,615 Vol.

No

Charl Schwartzel

$178 Vol.

No

Jordan Spieth

$56 Vol.

No

Sepp Straka

$56 Vol.

No

Mike Weir

$42 Vol.

No

Justin Thomas

$56 Vol.

No

Vijay Singh

$28 Vol.

No

Danny Willett

$188 Vol.

No

Chris Gotterup

$192 Vol.

No

Si Woo Kim

$206 Vol.

No

Marco Penge

$449 Vol.

No

Patrick Cantlay

$216 Vol.

No

Wyndham Clark

$206 Vol.

No

Corey Conners

$56 Vol.

No

Jason Day

$280 Vol.

No

Bryson DeChambeau

$98 Vol.

No

Harris English

$192 Vol.

No

Ben Griffin

$30,269 Vol.

No

Ryan Fox

$289 Vol.

No

Casey Jarvis

$178 Vol.

No

Nick Taylor

$164 Vol.

No

Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen

$178 Vol.

No

Min Woo Lee

$397 Vol.

No

Hideki Matsuyama

$151 Vol.

No

Collin Morikawa

$192 Vol.

No

Davis Riley

$206 Vol.

No

Alexander Noren

$192 Vol.

No

Ethan Fang

$207 Vol.

No

Mateo Pulcini

$202 Vol.

No

Aaron Rai

$169 Vol.

No

Bubba Watson

$28 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 Masters Tournament at Augusta National with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Masters Tournament at Augusta National is cancelled, postponed after April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the Masters website (https://www.masters.com/leaderboard).Sam Burns' explosive first-round 67 (-5) at Augusta National, highlighted by an eagle on the par-5 second hole, four birdies, and just one bogey, has driven Polymarket traders to price him as a virtual lock at 100% implied probability for first-round leader. His elite ball-striking and hot putting amid favorable morning conditions allowed him to seize the clubhouse lead early, building on strong recent form including top-10s in prior PGA Tour starts. While tied with Rory McIlroy's matching score, market consensus favors Burns via potential tiebreakers like finish time or alphabetical order. Realistic challenges include official co-leader declaration or scorecard corrections, though round completion minimizes upset risk.

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 Masters Tournament at Augusta National with the lowest cumulative score to par.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 Masters Tournament at Augusta National is cancelled, postponed after April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the Masters website (https://www.masters.com/leaderboard).
Volume
$113,248
End Date
Apr 3, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 7, 2026, 2:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 Masters Tournament at Augusta National with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Masters Tournament at Augusta National is cancelled, postponed after April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the Masters website (https://www.masters.com/leaderboard).

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 Masters Tournament at Augusta National with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Masters Tournament at Augusta National is cancelled, postponed after April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the Masters website (https://www.masters.com/leaderboard).Sam Burns' explosive first-round 67 (-5) at Augusta National, highlighted by an eagle on the par-5 second hole, four birdies, and just one bogey, has driven Polymarket traders to price him as a virtual lock at 100% implied probability for first-round leader. His elite ball-striking and hot putting amid favorable morning conditions allowed him to seize the clubhouse lead early, building on strong recent form including top-10s in prior PGA Tour starts. While tied with Rory McIlroy's matching score, market consensus favors Burns via potential tiebreakers like finish time or alphabetical order. Realistic challenges include official co-leader declaration or scorecard corrections, though round completion minimizes upset risk.

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 Masters Tournament at Augusta National with the lowest cumulative score to par.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 Masters Tournament at Augusta National is cancelled, postponed after April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the Masters website (https://www.masters.com/leaderboard).
Volume
$113,248
End Date
Apr 3, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 7, 2026, 2:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 Masters Tournament at Augusta National with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Masters Tournament at Augusta National is cancelled, postponed after April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the Masters website (https://www.masters.com/leaderboard).

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Related

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Will Cameron Young be the best overall player from the PGA Tour in the 2026 Masters main tournament?

63%
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Will Rory McIlroy shoot the lowest round at the 2026 Masters?

62%
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Will Tyrrell Hatton be the best overall player from LIV in the 2026 Masters main tournament?

87%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"The Masters 2026: First Round Leader" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 91+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Sam Burns" at 100%, followed by "Keegan Bradley" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "The Masters 2026: First Round Leader" has generated $113.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 7, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "The Masters 2026: First Round Leader," browse the 91+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "The Masters 2026: First Round Leader" is "Sam Burns" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Keegan Bradley" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "The Masters 2026: First Round Leader" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.