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Spain power outage caused by hack?

Market icon

Spain power outage caused by hack?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$222,932 Vol.

<1% chance
Polymarket

$222,932 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is discovered that the April 28, 2025 power outage affecting Spain and Portugal was caused by a hack by May 5, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

"A hack" encompasses intentional, malicious activity which caused the power outage.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the governments of Spain or Portugal, or from relevant national grid operators (e.g., Red Eléctrica de España, E-Redes). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$222,932
End Date
May 5, 2025
Created At
Apr 28, 2025, 11:22 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is discovered that the April 28, 2025 power outage affecting Spain and Portugal was caused by a hack by May 5, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. "A hack" encompasses intentional, malicious activity which caused the power outage. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the governments of Spain or Portugal, or from relevant national grid operators (e.g., Red Eléctrica de España, E-Redes). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is discovered that the April 28, 2025 power outage affecting Spain and Portugal was caused by a hack by May 5, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

"A hack" encompasses intentional, malicious activity which caused the power outage.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the governments of Spain or Portugal, or from relevant national grid operators (e.g., Red Eléctrica de España, E-Redes). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$222,932
End Date
May 5, 2025
Created At
Apr 28, 2025, 11:22 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is discovered that the April 28, 2025 power outage affecting Spain and Portugal was caused by a hack by May 5, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. "A hack" encompasses intentional, malicious activity which caused the power outage. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the governments of Spain or Portugal, or from relevant national grid operators (e.g., Red Eléctrica de España, E-Redes). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Spain power outage caused by hack?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Spain power outage caused by hack?" has generated $222.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 28, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Spain power outage caused by hack?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Spain power outage caused by hack?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Spain power outage caused by hack?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.