The recent coalition agreement between PP and UPN, ratified by UPN's council with 93.5% support in mid-October, has consolidated the center-right vote in Navarre ahead of the November 29 general election. This alliance, branded as "Unión del Pueblo Navarro en coalición con el Partido Popular," addresses the 2023 split that previously fragmented support and enabled PSOE and EH Bildu to secure three of five congressional seats. Traders assign PP an 82% implied probability of winning the Navarre constituency as a result, while lower odds for PSOE, EH Bildu, Vox, and others reflect the unified right-wing bloc's stronger position under d'Hondt allocation for the five seats. National polling trends favoring PP further reinforce this market consensus.