The SAVE Act, requiring documentary proof of citizenship for federal voter registration along with photo ID provisions, cleared the House multiple times in 2025-2026 but remains stalled in the Senate. Trader odds stay low due to the 60-vote cloture threshold, unified Democratic opposition, and repeated defections by Republican senators including Collins, Murkowski, McConnell, and Tillis on reconciliation and amendment votes. House leadership has repeatedly attempted to attach the measure to must-pass vehicles such as the NDAA and appropriations bills, yet Senate leadership has declined to advance it amid procedural resistance. No viable path has emerged to overcome the filibuster or secure final passage before the end of the 119th Congress, consistent with the market's assessment of limited near-term enactment prospects.