Market icon

SAG Award: Best Supporting Actor

Market icon

SAG Award: Best Supporting Actor

Kieran Culkin - "A Real Pain" 100.0%

Jonathan Bailey - "Wicked" <1%

Yura Borisov - "Anora" <1%

Jeremy Strong - "The Apprentice" <1%

Polymarket

$28,654 Vol.

Kieran Culkin - "A Real Pain" 100.0%

Jonathan Bailey - "Wicked" <1%

Yura Borisov - "Anora" <1%

Jeremy Strong - "The Apprentice" <1%

Polymarket

$28,654 Vol.

Jonathan Bailey - "Wicked"

$1,719 Vol.

No

Yura Borisov - "Anora"

$2,144 Vol.

No

Jeremy Strong - "The Apprentice"

$3,521 Vol.

No

Edward Norton - "A Complete Unknown"

$9,336 Vol.

No

Kieran Culkin - "A Real Pain"

$11,933 Vol.

Yes

The 31st Annual Screen Actors Guild Awards, honoring the best achievements in film and television performances for the year 2024, will be presented on February 23, 2025, at the Shrine Auditorium in Los Angeles, California, United States. This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the Screen Actors Guild Award for Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Supporting Role. If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Screen Actors Guild, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.sagawards.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

The 31st Annual Screen Actors Guild Awards, honoring the best achievements in film and television performances for the year 2024, will be presented on February 23, 2025, at the Shrine Auditorium in Los Angeles, California, United States.

This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the Screen Actors Guild Award for Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Supporting Role.

If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Screen Actors Guild, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.sagawards.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$28,654
End Date
Feb 23, 2025
Market Opened
Feb 11, 2025, 5:12 PM ET
The 31st Annual Screen Actors Guild Awards, honoring the best achievements in film and television performances for the year 2024, will be presented on February 23, 2025, at the Shrine Auditorium in Los Angeles, California, United States. This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the Screen Actors Guild Award for Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Supporting Role. If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Screen Actors Guild, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.sagawards.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

The 31st Annual Screen Actors Guild Awards, honoring the best achievements in film and television performances for the year 2024, will be presented on February 23, 2025, at the Shrine Auditorium in Los Angeles, California, United States. This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the Screen Actors Guild Award for Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Supporting Role. If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Screen Actors Guild, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.sagawards.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

The 31st Annual Screen Actors Guild Awards, honoring the best achievements in film and television performances for the year 2024, will be presented on February 23, 2025, at the Shrine Auditorium in Los Angeles, California, United States.

This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the Screen Actors Guild Award for Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Supporting Role.

If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Screen Actors Guild, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.sagawards.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$28,654
End Date
Feb 23, 2025
Market Opened
Feb 11, 2025, 5:12 PM ET
The 31st Annual Screen Actors Guild Awards, honoring the best achievements in film and television performances for the year 2024, will be presented on February 23, 2025, at the Shrine Auditorium in Los Angeles, California, United States. This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the Screen Actors Guild Award for Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Supporting Role. If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Screen Actors Guild, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.sagawards.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"SAG Award: Best Supporting Actor" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Kieran Culkin - "A Real Pain"" at 100%, followed by "Jonathan Bailey - "Wicked"" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "SAG Award: Best Supporting Actor" has generated $28.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "SAG Award: Best Supporting Actor," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "SAG Award: Best Supporting Actor" is "Kieran Culkin - "A Real Pain"" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jonathan Bailey - "Wicked"" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "SAG Award: Best Supporting Actor" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.