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icon for RNC Debate: Mention markets

RNC Debate: Mention markets

icon for RNC Debate: Mention markets

RNC Debate: Mention markets

$45,276 Vol.

Aug 17, 2023
Polymarket

$45,276 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Trump said by every candidate

Trump said by every candidate

$2,348 Vol.

No

icon for Biden said by every candidate

Biden said by every candidate

$5,479 Vol.

No

icon for January 6

January 6

$1,994 Vol.

Yes

icon for Bidenomics

Bidenomics

$3,160 Vol.

Yes

icon for Hunter Biden

Hunter Biden

$2,907 Vol.

Yes

icon for Alien

Alien

$10,003 Vol.

No

icon for Ukraine 10 or more times

Ukraine 10 or more times

$10,053 Vol.

Yes

icon for Bitcoin

Bitcoin

$2,960 Vol.

No

icon for Clinton

Clinton

$2,207 Vol.

No

icon for Artificial Intelligence

Artificial Intelligence

$4,163 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Trump" or "trump" is said at least once by every participating candidate during the RNC primary debate scheduled for August 23, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Mentions of the word trump need not specifically refer to any individual. For example if a candidate says "My policies trump his!" it will count. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond September 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Biden" is said at least once by every participating candidate during the RNC primary debate scheduled for August 23, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond September 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate says "Jan 6", "January 6" or "January 6th" during the RNC primary debate scheduled for August 23, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Pluralization/possessive of the words will count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond September 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate says "Bidenomics" during the RNC primary debate scheduled for August 23, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond September 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate says "Hunter Biden", "Hunter" or "hunter" during the RNC primary debate scheduled for August 23, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." For example if a candidate says "I am a hunter. I am a gatherer" the market will resolve to "Yes." The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond September 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate says "Alien" during the RNC primary debate scheduled for August 23, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond September 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Ukraine" is said 10 or more times by the candidates (in total) during the RNC primary debate scheduled for August 23, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Forms such as "Ukrainian" will not count. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond September 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate says "Bitcoin" during the RNC primary debate scheduled for August 23, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond September 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate says "Clinton" during the RNC primary debate scheduled for August 23, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond September 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate says "AI" or "artificial intelligence" during the RNC primary debate scheduled for August 23, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Pluralization/possessive of the words will count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond September 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Trump" or "trump" is said at least once by every participating candidate during the RNC primary debate scheduled for August 23, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market.

Mentions of the word trump need not specifically refer to any individual. For example if a candidate says "My policies trump his!" it will count.

The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered.

If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond September 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Trump" or "trump" is said at least once by every participating candidate during the RNC primary debate scheduled for August 23, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Mentions of the word trump need not specifically refer to any individual. For example if a candidate says "My policies trump his!" it will count. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond September 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Volume
$45,276
End Date
Aug 23, 2023
Market Opened
Aug 21, 2023, 5:16 PM ET

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Trump" or "trump" is said at least once by every participating candidate during the RNC primary debate scheduled for August 23, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Mentions of the word trump need not specifically refer to any individual. For example if a candidate says "My policies trump his!" it will count. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond September 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Biden" is said at least once by every participating candidate during the RNC primary debate scheduled for August 23, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond September 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate says "Jan 6", "January 6" or "January 6th" during the RNC primary debate scheduled for August 23, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Pluralization/possessive of the words will count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond September 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate says "Bidenomics" during the RNC primary debate scheduled for August 23, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond September 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate says "Hunter Biden", "Hunter" or "hunter" during the RNC primary debate scheduled for August 23, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." For example if a candidate says "I am a hunter. I am a gatherer" the market will resolve to "Yes." The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond September 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate says "Alien" during the RNC primary debate scheduled for August 23, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond September 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Ukraine" is said 10 or more times by the candidates (in total) during the RNC primary debate scheduled for August 23, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Forms such as "Ukrainian" will not count. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond September 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate says "Bitcoin" during the RNC primary debate scheduled for August 23, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond September 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate says "Clinton" during the RNC primary debate scheduled for August 23, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond September 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate says "AI" or "artificial intelligence" during the RNC primary debate scheduled for August 23, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Pluralization/possessive of the words will count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond September 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Trump" or "trump" is said at least once by every participating candidate during the RNC primary debate scheduled for August 23, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market.

Mentions of the word trump need not specifically refer to any individual. For example if a candidate says "My policies trump his!" it will count.

The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered.

If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond September 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Trump" or "trump" is said at least once by every participating candidate during the RNC primary debate scheduled for August 23, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Mentions of the word trump need not specifically refer to any individual. For example if a candidate says "My policies trump his!" it will count. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond September 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Volume
$45,276
End Date
Aug 23, 2023
Market Opened
Aug 21, 2023, 5:16 PM ET

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Related

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Frequently Asked Questions

"RNC Debate: Mention markets" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "January 6" at 100%, followed by "Bidenomics" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "RNC Debate: Mention markets" has generated $45.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 21, 2023. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "RNC Debate: Mention markets," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "RNC Debate: Mention markets" is "January 6" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Bidenomics" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "RNC Debate: Mention markets" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.