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Record low border encounters in June?

Market icon

Record low border encounters in June?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$34,015 Vol.

>99% chance
Polymarket

$34,015 Vol.

In February 2025 (FYTD) there were 28,654 border encounters, the lowest on record (see: https://www.cbp.gov/newsroom/stats/nationwide-encounters) This market will resolve to "Yes" if there are less than 28,654 for June 2025 (FYTD). Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the first report of data for June 2025, regardless of future revisions. If no data is posted for June 2025 (FYTD) by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source is United States Customs and Border Protection (see: https://www.cbp.gov/newsroom/stats/nationwide-encounters)

In February 2025 (FYTD) there were 28,654 border encounters, the lowest on record (see: https://www.cbp.gov/newsroom/stats/nationwide-encounters)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there are less than 28,654 for June 2025 (FYTD). Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the first report of data for June 2025, regardless of future revisions. If no data is posted for June 2025 (FYTD) by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source is United States Customs and Border Protection (see: https://www.cbp.gov/newsroom/stats/nationwide-encounters)
Volume
$34,015
End Date
Sep 30, 2025
Market Opened
Jun 19, 2025, 1:49 PM ET
In February 2025 (FYTD) there were 28,654 border encounters, the lowest on record (see: https://www.cbp.gov/newsroom/stats/nationwide-encounters) This market will resolve to "Yes" if there are less than 28,654 for June 2025 (FYTD). Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the first report of data for June 2025, regardless of future revisions. If no data is posted for June 2025 (FYTD) by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source is United States Customs and Border Protection (see: https://www.cbp.gov/newsroom/stats/nationwide-encounters)

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

In February 2025 (FYTD) there were 28,654 border encounters, the lowest on record (see: https://www.cbp.gov/newsroom/stats/nationwide-encounters) This market will resolve to "Yes" if there are less than 28,654 for June 2025 (FYTD). Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the first report of data for June 2025, regardless of future revisions. If no data is posted for June 2025 (FYTD) by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source is United States Customs and Border Protection (see: https://www.cbp.gov/newsroom/stats/nationwide-encounters)

In February 2025 (FYTD) there were 28,654 border encounters, the lowest on record (see: https://www.cbp.gov/newsroom/stats/nationwide-encounters)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there are less than 28,654 for June 2025 (FYTD). Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the first report of data for June 2025, regardless of future revisions. If no data is posted for June 2025 (FYTD) by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source is United States Customs and Border Protection (see: https://www.cbp.gov/newsroom/stats/nationwide-encounters)
Volume
$34,015
End Date
Sep 30, 2025
Market Opened
Jun 19, 2025, 1:49 PM ET
In February 2025 (FYTD) there were 28,654 border encounters, the lowest on record (see: https://www.cbp.gov/newsroom/stats/nationwide-encounters) This market will resolve to "Yes" if there are less than 28,654 for June 2025 (FYTD). Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the first report of data for June 2025, regardless of future revisions. If no data is posted for June 2025 (FYTD) by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source is United States Customs and Border Protection (see: https://www.cbp.gov/newsroom/stats/nationwide-encounters)

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Record low border encounters in June?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Record low border encounters in June?" has generated $34K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 19, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Record low border encounters in June?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Record low border encounters in June?" is 100% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Record low border encounters in June?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.