The Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) holds a near-certain position for second place due to its entrenched strength in Montreal-area and non-francophone ridings, where it consistently outperformed rivals in late-campaign polling. The Coalition Avenir Québec's sharp collapse from governing status left the PLQ as the clearest beneficiary for official opposition, while the Parti conservateur du Québec's regional gains fell short of overtaking Liberal seat totals. Recent surveys through early October showed the PLQ holding or extending a narrow edge for second behind the leading Parti Québécois, with limited volatility from Québec solidaire or other contenders. This trader consensus aligns with the electoral system's emphasis on riding-level results rather than raw vote share. A late surge by the PCQ in specific regions or unexpected PLQ weakness in its core districts represent the main scenarios that could have altered the outcome.