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Oscars 2026: Best Supporting Actor Nominations

$655,684 Vol.

Jan 22, 2026
Polymarket

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 98th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$655,684
End Date
Jan 22, 2026
Created At
Sep 26, 2025, 5:15 PM ET
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 98th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Oscars 2026: Best Supporting Actor Nominations" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 20 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Stellan Skarsgård" at 100%, followed by "Sean Penn" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Oscars 2026: Best Supporting Actor Nominations" has generated $655.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 26, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Oscars 2026: Best Supporting Actor Nominations," browse the 20 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Oscars 2026: Best Supporting Actor Nominations" is "Stellan Skarsgård" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Sean Penn" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Oscars 2026: Best Supporting Actor Nominations" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
Market icon

Oscars 2026: Best Supporting Actor Nominations

$655,684 Vol.

Polymarket

Stellan Skarsgård

$39,615 Vol.

Yes

Sean Penn

$24,917 Vol.

Yes

Jeremy Strong

$28,033 Vol.

No

Paul Mescal

$78,872 Vol.

No

Adam Sandler

$98,212 Vol.

No

Delroy Lindo

$30,272 Vol.

Yes

Sean Bean

$4,117 Vol.

No

Miles Caton

$13,067 Vol.

No

Andrew Scott

$13,932 Vol.

No

Stephen Graham

$20,569 Vol.

No

Akira Emoto

$24,229 Vol.

No

Takehiro Hira

$5,464 Vol.

No

Jacob Elordi

$94,986 Vol.

Yes

Mark Hamill

$38,170 Vol.

No

Oscar Isaac

$21,558 Vol.

No

Andrew Garfield

$37,535 Vol.

No

Paul Dano

$20,255 Vol.

No

Jude Law

$24,985 Vol.

No

Kevin O'Leary

$16,043 Vol.

No

Benicio Del Toro

$20,852 Vol.

Yes

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Oscars 2026: Best Supporting Actor Nominations" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 20 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Stellan Skarsgård" at 100%, followed by "Sean Penn" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Oscars 2026: Best Supporting Actor Nominations" has generated $655.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 26, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Oscars 2026: Best Supporting Actor Nominations," browse the 20 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Oscars 2026: Best Supporting Actor Nominations" is "Stellan Skarsgård" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Sean Penn" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Oscars 2026: Best Supporting Actor Nominations" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.