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Nuclear weapon detonation by...?

$46,188 Vol.

Jun 30, 2025

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a nuclear weapon is detonated anywhere in the world between Dec 1, 2024 and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market's resolution, any detonation of a nuclear weapon anywhere on the planet Earth will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution. This includes offensive usages, nuclear tests, and accidental detonations.

Use/launch of a nuclear weapon that fails to detonate, a fake weapon that never detonates, or a dirty bomb that distributes radioactive material by means of a conventional explosion are not sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution of this market. Only a successful nuclear detonation will result in a "Yes" resolution.

This market may resolve to "Yes" as soon as a nuclear detonation is confirmed by a preponderance of credible reporting.

For the purpose of this market's resolution, determination as to whether a detonation was nuclear will be made by a preponderance of credible reporting.

Volume

$46,188

End Date

Jun 30, 2025

Comments (14)
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March 31

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Outcome
Yes 16¢
No 87¢
Amount

Avg price

Shares

0.00

Potential return

$0.00 (0.00%)