Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Note: As with all markets currently displayed on Polymarket, there are no fees on this market.

Market icon

Next US strike on Syria on...?

$128,644 Vol.

No US strike on Syria in 2025 71%

December 17 4.3%

December 18 4.2%

December 16 3.7%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next date (ET) the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Syrian soil or any official Syrian embassy or consulate by the listed date (ET).

For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Syrian ground territory or any official Syrian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Syrian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").

Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Syrian territory or cause damage.

Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$128,644
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Created At
Dec 13, 2025, 9:25 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.

Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Note: As with all markets currently displayed on Polymarket, there are no fees on this market.

$128,644 Vol.

Market icon

Next US strike on Syria on...?

No US strike on Syria in 2025 71%

December 17 4.3%

December 18 4.2%

December 16 3.7%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

December 14

$13,528 Vol.

2%

December 15

$6,122 Vol.

3%

December 16

$5,754 Vol.

4%

December 17

$4,130 Vol.

4%

December 18

$3,859 Vol.

4%

December 19

$3,707 Vol.

4%

December 20

$1,616 Vol.

1%

December 21

$1,854 Vol.

1%

December 22

$1,468 Vol.

1%

December 23

$1,526 Vol.

1%

December 24

$1,696 Vol.

1%

December 25

$1,575 Vol.

1%

December 26

$1,418 Vol.

1%

December 27

$1,457 Vol.

1%

December 28

$1,461 Vol.

1%

December 29

$1,599 Vol.

1%

December 30

$1,517 Vol.

1%

December 31

$1,940 Vol.

1%

No US strike on Syria in 2025

$7,052 Vol.

71%

About

Volume
$128,644
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Created At
Dec 13, 2025, 9:25 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.