Nickeil Alexander-Walker's explosive 2025-26 campaign with the Atlanta Hawks—doubling his scoring from 9.4 PPG last season to 20.8 PPG on improved 45/39/90 shooting splits, plus career-highs in APG (3.7), RPG (3.5), and steals—has solidified trader consensus at 89% implied probability for Most Improved Player. His usage rate jumped from 15.5% to 23.1%, fueling the Hawks' surge to 42-33 amid a recent ladder-topping run past Jalen Duren, highlighted by 36-point outbursts and a franchise-record 241 threes. Endorsements like cousin Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's amplify buzz. Challengers like Deni Avdija (8.5%) or Duren could rally with final-week dominance or if voters split on Hawks duo Jalen Johnson, though NAW's volume leap remains unmatched.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNickeil Alexander-Walker 89%
Deni Avdija 8.5%
Jalen Duren 2.0%
Ryan Rollins <1%
$347,920 Vol.
$347,920 Vol.
Nickeil Alexander-Walker
89%
Deni Avdija
9%
Jalen Duren
2%
Ryan Rollins
1%
Jalen Johnson
<1%
Andrew Nembhard
<1%
Amen Thompson
<1%
Ausar Thompson
<1%
Michael Porter Jr.
<1%
Kevin Porter
<1%
Scoot Henderson
<1%
Jaden Ivey
<1%
Gradey Dick
<1%
Alperen Sengun
<1%
Josh Giddey
<1%
Shaedon Sharpe
<1%
Nikola Jovic
<1%
Reed Sheppard
<1%
Brandon Miller
<1%
Chet Holmgren
<1%
Trey Murphy III
<1%
Carlton Carrington
<1%
Jonathan Kuminga
<1%
Taylor Hendricks
<1%
Bennedict Mathurin
<1%
Matas Buzelis
<1%
Derrick White
<1%
Payton Pritchard
<1%
Victor Wembanyama
<1%
Cam Whitmore
<1%
Jay Huff
<1%
Kyle Filipowski
<1%
Kel'el Ware
<1%
Keyonte George
<1%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 89%
Deni Avdija 8.5%
Jalen Duren 2.0%
Ryan Rollins <1%
$347,920 Vol.
$347,920 Vol.
Nickeil Alexander-Walker
89%
Deni Avdija
9%
Jalen Duren
2%
Ryan Rollins
1%
Jalen Johnson
<1%
Andrew Nembhard
<1%
Amen Thompson
<1%
Ausar Thompson
<1%
Michael Porter Jr.
<1%
Kevin Porter
<1%
Scoot Henderson
<1%
Jaden Ivey
<1%
Gradey Dick
<1%
Alperen Sengun
<1%
Josh Giddey
<1%
Shaedon Sharpe
<1%
Nikola Jovic
<1%
Reed Sheppard
<1%
Brandon Miller
<1%
Chet Holmgren
<1%
Trey Murphy III
<1%
Carlton Carrington
<1%
Jonathan Kuminga
<1%
Taylor Hendricks
<1%
Bennedict Mathurin
<1%
Matas Buzelis
<1%
Derrick White
<1%
Payton Pritchard
<1%
Victor Wembanyama
<1%
Cam Whitmore
<1%
Jay Huff
<1%
Kyle Filipowski
<1%
Kel'el Ware
<1%
Keyonte George
<1%
If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Most Improved Player, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Oct 22, 2025, 1:35 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.nba.com/awardsResolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Most Improved Player, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution Source
https://www.nba.com/awardsResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Nickeil Alexander-Walker's explosive 2025-26 campaign with the Atlanta Hawks—doubling his scoring from 9.4 PPG last season to 20.8 PPG on improved 45/39/90 shooting splits, plus career-highs in APG (3.7), RPG (3.5), and steals—has solidified trader consensus at 89% implied probability for Most Improved Player. His usage rate jumped from 15.5% to 23.1%, fueling the Hawks' surge to 42-33 amid a recent ladder-topping run past Jalen Duren, highlighted by 36-point outbursts and a franchise-record 241 threes. Endorsements like cousin Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's amplify buzz. Challengers like Deni Avdija (8.5%) or Duren could rally with final-week dominance or if voters split on Hawks duo Jalen Johnson, though NAW's volume leap remains unmatched.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions