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Sports·NBA

NBA Most Improved Player Winner

icon for NBA Most Improved Player Winner
Sports·NBA

NBA Most Improved Player Winner

Nickeil Alexander-Walker 100.0%

Amen Thompson <1%

Andrew Nembhard <1%

Deni Avdija <1%

Polymarket

$705,711 Vol.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker 100.0%

Amen Thompson <1%

Andrew Nembhard <1%

Deni Avdija <1%

Polymarket

$705,711 Vol.

Amen Thompson

$0 Vol.

No

Andrew Nembhard

$30,875 Vol.

No

Deni Avdija

$407,584 Vol.

No

Ausar Thompson

$10,330 Vol.

No

Michael Porter Jr.

$14,059 Vol.

No

Kevin Porter

$6,969 Vol.

No

Scoot Henderson

$0 Vol.

No

Jaden Ivey

$0 Vol.

No

Gradey Dick

$0 Vol.

No

Alperen Sengun

$9,753 Vol.

No

Josh Giddey

$0 Vol.

No

Shaedon Sharpe

$7,397 Vol.

No

Nikola Jovic

$9,066 Vol.

No

Reed Sheppard

$11,045 Vol.

No

Brandon Miller

$0 Vol.

No

Chet Holmgren

$0 Vol.

No

Trey Murphy III

$0 Vol.

No

Carlton Carrington

$0 Vol.

No

Jonathan Kuminga

$0 Vol.

No

Taylor Hendricks

$8,626 Vol.

No

Bennedict Mathurin

$10,395 Vol.

No

Matas Buzelis

$0 Vol.

No

Derrick White

$6,187 Vol.

No

Payton Pritchard

$7,013 Vol.

No

Victor Wembanyama

$25,870 Vol.

No

Cam Whitmore

$6,529 Vol.

No

Jay Huff

$0 Vol.

No

Jalen Johnson

$21,316 Vol.

No

Kyle Filipowski

$4,069 Vol.

No

Kel'el Ware

$0 Vol.

No

Jalen Duren

$46,394 Vol.

No

Ryan Rollins

$19,339 Vol.

No

Keyonte George

$0 Vol.

No

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

$42,895 Vol.

Yes

This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025–26 NBA Most Improved Player. If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Most Improved Player, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Atlanta Hawks guard Nickeil Alexander-Walker was officially named the 2025-26 Kia NBA Most Improved Player yesterday during NBA on Prime pregame coverage, vaulting his Polymarket probability to 100% as traders align with the league's announcement. His breakout campaign—jumping from 9.4 PPG, 43.8% FG, and 1.7 3PM in 2024-25 to 20.8 PPG and 1.3 SPG this season—highlighted consistent all-around growth, durability over 8 more games played, and defensive impact, outpacing finalists Deni Avdija (Portland Trail Blazers) and Jalen Duren (Detroit Pistons) in voting. Barring an unprecedented recount or eligibility dispute, resolution is locked, reflecting the wisdom of crowds on the irreversible official outcome.

This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025–26 NBA Most Improved Player.

If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Most Improved Player, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$705,711
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Oct 22, 2025, 1:35 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.nba.com/awards

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025–26 NBA Most Improved Player. If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Most Improved Player, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025–26 NBA Most Improved Player. If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Most Improved Player, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Atlanta Hawks guard Nickeil Alexander-Walker was officially named the 2025-26 Kia NBA Most Improved Player yesterday during NBA on Prime pregame coverage, vaulting his Polymarket probability to 100% as traders align with the league's announcement. His breakout campaign—jumping from 9.4 PPG, 43.8% FG, and 1.7 3PM in 2024-25 to 20.8 PPG and 1.3 SPG this season—highlighted consistent all-around growth, durability over 8 more games played, and defensive impact, outpacing finalists Deni Avdija (Portland Trail Blazers) and Jalen Duren (Detroit Pistons) in voting. Barring an unprecedented recount or eligibility dispute, resolution is locked, reflecting the wisdom of crowds on the irreversible official outcome.

This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025–26 NBA Most Improved Player.

If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Most Improved Player, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$705,711
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Oct 22, 2025, 1:35 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.nba.com/awards

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025–26 NBA Most Improved Player. If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Most Improved Player, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"NBA Most Improved Player Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 34 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Nickeil Alexander-Walker" at 100%, followed by "Amen Thompson" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "NBA Most Improved Player Winner" has generated $705.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 22, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "NBA Most Improved Player Winner," browse the 34 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NBA Most Improved Player Winner" is "Nickeil Alexander-Walker" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Amen Thompson" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NBA Most Improved Player Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.