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icon for Most popular boy name 2025

Most popular boy name 2025

icon for Most popular boy name 2025

Most popular boy name 2025

Liam 100.0%

Noah <1%

Oliver <1%

Theodore <1%

Polymarket

$922,040 Vol.

Liam 100.0%

Noah <1%

Oliver <1%

Theodore <1%

Polymarket

$922,040 Vol.

Liam

$195,440 Vol.

Yes

Noah

$205,718 Vol.

No

Oliver

$48,594 Vol.

No

Theodore

$41,598 Vol.

No

James

$220,900 Vol.

No

Henry

$39,472 Vol.

No

Mateo

$46,243 Vol.

No

Elijah

$68,330 Vol.

No

Lucas

$28,511 Vol.

No

William

$27,234 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the male name ranked #1 in the U.S. Social Security Administration’s (SSA) official list of popular baby names for 2025, published on the SSA website: https://www.ssa.gov/oact/babynames/. The authoritative source is the SSA’s “Popular Names by Birth Year” tool. To view the relevant "Male name" list, set the Birth Year to 2025. This market may resolve as soon as the SSA releases its 2025 name data for the specified year. If none of the listed options is ranked #1 or if the SSA does not release the 2025 rankings by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”Liam's 100% implied probability on Polymarket reflects the Social Security Administration's (SSA) official release today, May 8, 2026, confirming it as America's most popular boy name for 2025 births—marking its ninth consecutive year at #1 ahead of Noah and Oliver. This dominant positioning stems from Liam's sustained cultural resonance, fueled by celebrity baby announcements, streaming show influences, and broad parental appeal transcending trends seen in preliminary trackers like BabyCenter, which briefly favored Noah in November 2025 data. Trader consensus, backed by over $800K in volume, aligns with SSA's authoritative birth certificate metrics. Realistic upsets would require an unprecedented data revision or tiebreaker dispute, though historical precedent shows such challenges resolve firmly in favor of the leader.

This market will resolve according to the male name ranked #1 in the U.S. Social Security Administration’s (SSA) official list of popular baby names for 2025, published on the SSA website: https://www.ssa.gov/oact/babynames/.

The authoritative source is the SSA’s “Popular Names by Birth Year” tool. To view the relevant "Male name" list, set the Birth Year to 2025.

This market may resolve as soon as the SSA releases its 2025 name data for the specified year. If none of the listed options is ranked #1 or if the SSA does not release the 2025 rankings by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Volume
$922,040
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Market Opened
Oct 27, 2025, 1:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the male name ranked #1 in the U.S. Social Security Administration’s (SSA) official list of popular baby names for 2025, published on the SSA website: https://www.ssa.gov/oact/babynames/. The authoritative source is the SSA’s “Popular Names by Birth Year” tool. To view the relevant "Male name" list, set the Birth Year to 2025. This market may resolve as soon as the SSA releases its 2025 name data for the specified year. If none of the listed options is ranked #1 or if the SSA does not release the 2025 rankings by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

This market will resolve according to the male name ranked #1 in the U.S. Social Security Administration’s (SSA) official list of popular baby names for 2025, published on the SSA website: https://www.ssa.gov/oact/babynames/. The authoritative source is the SSA’s “Popular Names by Birth Year” tool. To view the relevant "Male name" list, set the Birth Year to 2025. This market may resolve as soon as the SSA releases its 2025 name data for the specified year. If none of the listed options is ranked #1 or if the SSA does not release the 2025 rankings by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”Liam's 100% implied probability on Polymarket reflects the Social Security Administration's (SSA) official release today, May 8, 2026, confirming it as America's most popular boy name for 2025 births—marking its ninth consecutive year at #1 ahead of Noah and Oliver. This dominant positioning stems from Liam's sustained cultural resonance, fueled by celebrity baby announcements, streaming show influences, and broad parental appeal transcending trends seen in preliminary trackers like BabyCenter, which briefly favored Noah in November 2025 data. Trader consensus, backed by over $800K in volume, aligns with SSA's authoritative birth certificate metrics. Realistic upsets would require an unprecedented data revision or tiebreaker dispute, though historical precedent shows such challenges resolve firmly in favor of the leader.

This market will resolve according to the male name ranked #1 in the U.S. Social Security Administration’s (SSA) official list of popular baby names for 2025, published on the SSA website: https://www.ssa.gov/oact/babynames/.

The authoritative source is the SSA’s “Popular Names by Birth Year” tool. To view the relevant "Male name" list, set the Birth Year to 2025.

This market may resolve as soon as the SSA releases its 2025 name data for the specified year. If none of the listed options is ranked #1 or if the SSA does not release the 2025 rankings by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Volume
$922,040
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Market Opened
Oct 27, 2025, 1:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the male name ranked #1 in the U.S. Social Security Administration’s (SSA) official list of popular baby names for 2025, published on the SSA website: https://www.ssa.gov/oact/babynames/. The authoritative source is the SSA’s “Popular Names by Birth Year” tool. To view the relevant "Male name" list, set the Birth Year to 2025. This market may resolve as soon as the SSA releases its 2025 name data for the specified year. If none of the listed options is ranked #1 or if the SSA does not release the 2025 rankings by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Most popular boy name 2025" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Liam" at 100%, followed by "Noah" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Most popular boy name 2025" has generated $922K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 27, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Most popular boy name 2025," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Most popular boy name 2025" is "Liam" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Noah" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Most popular boy name 2025" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.