Inter Miami CF holds the top implied probability at 18.5% largely due to Lionel Messi's continued scoring impact and a potent attack that has kept the club near the top of the Eastern Conference standings midway through the 2026 regular season. Vancouver Whitecaps FC sits second in market pricing at 11.7% on the strength of a strong Western Conference record and defensive organization, while Nashville SC follows closely behind amid its own conference-leading points haul. The field remains tightly bunched because no single club has separated itself after roughly 15 matches, with solid form from several contenders, balanced conference races, and the long path through the remainder of the regular season and MLS Cup playoffs leaving ample room for shifts in momentum or injuries to alter trajectories.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedInter Miami CF 30%
Vancouver Whitecaps FC 14.8%
Los Angeles FC 13%
Nashville SC 8.9%
$19,542,228 Vol.
$19,542,228 Vol.
Inter Miami CF
30%
Vancouver Whitecaps FC
15%
Los Angeles FC
13%
Nashville SC
9%
Chicago Fire FC
6%
FC Cincinnati
4%
Seattle Sounders FC
4%
San Jose Earthquakes
3%
Orlando City SC
3%
New York City FC
2%
Houston Dynamo FC
2%
New York Red Bulls
2%
Real Salt Lake
2%
San Diego FC
2%
Charlotte FC
1%
Columbus Crew
1%
New England Revolution
1%
LA Galaxy
1%
St. Louis City SC
1%
Minnesota United FC
1%
FC Dallas
1%
D.C. United
1%
Toronto FC
1%
Portland Timbers
<1%
Atlanta United FC
<1%
Sporting Kansas City
<1%
Austin FC
<1%
Colorado Rapids
<1%
CF Montréal
<1%
Philadelphia Union
<1%
Inter Miami CF 30%
Vancouver Whitecaps FC 14.8%
Los Angeles FC 13%
Nashville SC 8.9%
$19,542,228 Vol.
$19,542,228 Vol.
Inter Miami CF
30%
Vancouver Whitecaps FC
15%
Los Angeles FC
13%
Nashville SC
9%
Chicago Fire FC
6%
FC Cincinnati
4%
Seattle Sounders FC
4%
San Jose Earthquakes
3%
Orlando City SC
3%
New York City FC
2%
Houston Dynamo FC
2%
New York Red Bulls
2%
Real Salt Lake
2%
San Diego FC
2%
Charlotte FC
1%
Columbus Crew
1%
New England Revolution
1%
LA Galaxy
1%
St. Louis City SC
1%
Minnesota United FC
1%
FC Dallas
1%
D.C. United
1%
Toronto FC
1%
Portland Timbers
<1%
Atlanta United FC
<1%
Sporting Kansas City
<1%
Austin FC
<1%
Colorado Rapids
<1%
CF Montréal
<1%
Philadelphia Union
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 17, 2026, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Inter Miami CF holds the top implied probability at 18.5% largely due to Lionel Messi's continued scoring impact and a potent attack that has kept the club near the top of the Eastern Conference standings midway through the 2026 regular season. Vancouver Whitecaps FC sits second in market pricing at 11.7% on the strength of a strong Western Conference record and defensive organization, while Nashville SC follows closely behind amid its own conference-leading points haul. The field remains tightly bunched because no single club has separated itself after roughly 15 matches, with solid form from several contenders, balanced conference races, and the long path through the remainder of the regular season and MLS Cup playoffs leaving ample room for shifts in momentum or injuries to alter trajectories.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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