Jacob Misiorowski leads the 2026 MLB strikeout race with 236 Ks through 161.1 innings and a 13.2 K/9 rate, well ahead of Dylan Cease’s 227 strikeouts and 12.7 K/9 in matching innings. Traders have priced Misiorowski as the clear favorite at 62% implied probability because of his dominant fastball-driven whiff rate, sub-2.00 ERA, and consistent workload as the Milwaukee starter. Cease, now with Toronto, sits at 37% after closing a midseason gap but trails in both total strikeouts and per-inning dominance. Lower-priced names such as Jesús Luzardo, Cam Schlittler, and Cristopher Sánchez remain long shots due to lower K/9 marks and fewer remaining starts in the final weeks of the regular season.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedJacob Misiorowski 61.6%
Dylan Cease 30.0%
Jesús Luzardo 7.6%
Cam Schlittler 4.0%
$2,987,619 Vol.
$2,987,619 Vol.
Jacob Misiorowski
62%
Dylan Cease
36%
Jesús Luzardo
8%
Cam Schlittler
4%
Cristopher Sánchez
4%
Logan Webb
3%
Max Fried
3%
Sonny Gray
2%
Kevin Gausman
1%
Carlos Rodón
1%
Reid Detmers
1%
Tarik Skubal
1%
Paul Skenes
1%
Logan Gilbert
<1%
Garrett Crochet
<1%
Hunter Brown
<1%
Freddy Peralta
<1%
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
<1%
Bryan Woo
<1%
Zack Wheeler
<1%
Joe Ryan
<1%
Shota Imanaga
<1%
Taj Bradley
<1%
José Soriano
<1%
Nolan McLean
<1%
Emerson Hancock
<1%
Hunter Greene
<1%
Shohei Ohtani
<1%
Jacob Misiorowski 61.6%
Dylan Cease 30.0%
Jesús Luzardo 7.6%
Cam Schlittler 4.0%
$2,987,619 Vol.
$2,987,619 Vol.
Jacob Misiorowski
62%
Dylan Cease
36%
Jesús Luzardo
8%
Cam Schlittler
4%
Cristopher Sánchez
4%
Logan Webb
3%
Max Fried
3%
Sonny Gray
2%
Kevin Gausman
1%
Carlos Rodón
1%
Reid Detmers
1%
Tarik Skubal
1%
Paul Skenes
1%
Logan Gilbert
<1%
Garrett Crochet
<1%
Hunter Brown
<1%
Freddy Peralta
<1%
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
<1%
Bryan Woo
<1%
Zack Wheeler
<1%
Joe Ryan
<1%
Shota Imanaga
<1%
Taj Bradley
<1%
José Soriano
<1%
Nolan McLean
<1%
Emerson Hancock
<1%
Hunter Greene
<1%
Shohei Ohtani
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the pitcher that records fewer innings pitched during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that records the lower ERA during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that walked fewer batters during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the pitcher whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 22, 2026, 4:16 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the pitcher that records fewer innings pitched during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that records the lower ERA during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that walked fewer batters during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the pitcher whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Jacob Misiorowski leads the 2026 MLB strikeout race with 236 Ks through 161.1 innings and a 13.2 K/9 rate, well ahead of Dylan Cease’s 227 strikeouts and 12.7 K/9 in matching innings. Traders have priced Misiorowski as the clear favorite at 62% implied probability because of his dominant fastball-driven whiff rate, sub-2.00 ERA, and consistent workload as the Milwaukee starter. Cease, now with Toronto, sits at 37% after closing a midseason gap but trails in both total strikeouts and per-inning dominance. Lower-priced names such as Jesús Luzardo, Cam Schlittler, and Cristopher Sánchez remain long shots due to lower K/9 marks and fewer remaining starts in the final weeks of the regular season.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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