Market icon
Sports·MLB

MLB Home Run Leader

Market icon
Sports·MLB

MLB Home Run Leader

Cal Raleigh 100.0%

Aaron Judge <1%

Freddie Freeman <1%

J.T. Realmuto <1%

Polymarket

$309,226 Vol.

Cal Raleigh 100.0%

Aaron Judge <1%

Freddie Freeman <1%

J.T. Realmuto <1%

Polymarket

$309,226 Vol.

Aaron Judge

$229,626 Vol.

No

Freddie Freeman

$3,868 Vol.

No

Cal Raleigh

$11,782 Vol.

Yes

J.T. Realmuto

$3,220 Vol.

No

Will Smith

$2,374 Vol.

No

Rafael Devers

$3,183 Vol.

No

Cody Bellinger

$2,858 Vol.

No

Bryce Harper

$3,076 Vol.

No

Shohei Ohtani

$15,217 Vol.

No

Kyle Schwarber

$17,027 Vol.

No

Juan Soto

$1,833 Vol.

No

Pete Alonso

$1,931 Vol.

No

Matt Olson

$3,592 Vol.

No

Eugenio Suárez

$9,639 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Aaron Judge hits the greatest number of home runs of any player in the 2025 MLB Regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this player and another player(s) for the most home runs hit in the MLB Regular Season, this market will resolve in favor of the player who played the higher number of games. If there is still a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically (i.e. in the case of a tie, Alonso would resolve to “Yes”, Soto would resolve to “No”). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Freddie Freeman hits the greatest number of home runs of any player in the 2025 MLB Regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this player and another player(s) for the most home runs hit in the MLB Regular Season, this market will resolve in favor of the player who played the higher number of games. If there is still a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically (i.e. in the case of a tie, Alonso would resolve to “Yes”, Soto would resolve to “No”). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Player A hits the greatest number of home runs of any player in the 2025 MLB Regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this player and another player(s) for the most home runs hit in the MLB Regular Season, this market will resolve in favor of the player who played the higher number of games. If there is still a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically (i.e. in the case of a tie, Alonso would resolve to “Yes”, Soto would resolve to “No”). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if J.T. Realmuto hits the greatest number of home runs of any player in the 2025 MLB Regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this player and another player(s) for the most home runs hit in the MLB Regular Season, this market will resolve in favor of the player who played the higher number of games. If there is still a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically (i.e. in the case of a tie, Alonso would resolve to “Yes”, Soto would resolve to “No”). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Will Smith hits the greatest number of home runs of any player in the 2025 MLB Regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this player and another player(s) for the most home runs hit in the MLB Regular Season, this market will resolve in favor of the player who played the higher number of games. If there is still a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically (i.e. in the case of a tie, Alonso would resolve to “Yes”, Soto would resolve to “No”). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rafael Devers hits the greatest number of home runs of any player in the 2025 MLB Regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this player and another player(s) for the most home runs hit in the MLB Regular Season, this market will resolve in favor of the player who played the higher number of games. If there is still a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically (i.e. in the case of a tie, Alonso would resolve to “Yes”, Soto would resolve to “No”). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cody Bellinger hits the greatest number of home runs of any player in the 2025 MLB Regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this player and another player(s) for the most home runs hit in the MLB Regular Season, this market will resolve in favor of the player who played the higher number of games. If there is still a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically (i.e. in the case of a tie, Alonso would resolve to “Yes”, Soto would resolve to “No”). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bryce Harper hits the greatest number of home runs of any player in the 2025 MLB Regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this player and another player(s) for the most home runs hit in the MLB Regular Season, this market will resolve in favor of the player who played the higher number of games. If there is still a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically (i.e. in the case of a tie, Alonso would resolve to “Yes”, Soto would resolve to “No”). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Shohei Ohtani hits the greatest number of home runs of any player in the 2025 MLB Regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this player and another player(s) for the most home runs hit in the MLB Regular Season, this market will resolve in favor of the player who played the higher number of games. If there is still a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically (i.e. in the case of a tie, Alonso would resolve to “Yes”, Soto would resolve to “No”). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kyle Schwarber hits the greatest number of home runs of any player in the 2025 MLB Regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this player and another player(s) for the most home runs hit in the MLB Regular Season, this market will resolve in favor of the player who played the higher number of games. If there is still a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically (i.e. in the case of a tie, Alonso would resolve to “Yes”, Soto would resolve to “No”). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Juan Soto hits the greatest number of home runs of any player in the 2025 MLB Regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this player and another player(s) for the most home runs hit in the MLB Regular Season, this market will resolve in favor of the player who played the higher number of games. If there is still a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically (i.e. in the case of a tie, Alonso would resolve to “Yes”, Soto would resolve to “No”). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pete Alonso hits the greatest number of home runs of any player in the 2025 MLB Regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this player and another player(s) for the most home runs hit in the MLB Regular Season, this market will resolve in favor of the player who played the higher number of games. If there is still a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically (i.e. in the case of a tie, Alonso would resolve to “Yes”, Soto would resolve to “No”). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Matt Olson hits the greatest number of home runs of any player in the 2025 MLB Regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this player and another player(s) for the most home runs hit in the MLB Regular Season, this market will resolve in favor of the player who played the higher number of games. If there is still a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically (i.e. in the case of a tie, Alonso would resolve to “Yes”, Soto would resolve to “No”). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eugenio Suárez hits the greatest number of home runs of any player in the 2025 MLB Regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this player and another player(s) for the most home runs hit in the MLB Regular Season, this market will resolve in favor of the player who played the higher number of games. If there is still a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically (i.e. in the case of a tie, Alonso would resolve to “Yes”, Soto would resolve to “No”). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Aaron Judge hits the greatest number of home runs of any player in the 2025 MLB Regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

In the case of a tie between this player and another player(s) for the most home runs hit in the MLB Regular Season, this market will resolve in favor of the player who played the higher number of games. If there is still a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically (i.e. in the case of a tie, Alonso would resolve to “Yes”, Soto would resolve to “No”).

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$309,226
End Date
Sep 29, 2025
Market Opened
Mar 27, 2025, 1:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Aaron Judge hits the greatest number of home runs of any player in the 2025 MLB Regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this player and another player(s) for the most home runs hit in the MLB Regular Season, this market will resolve in favor of the player who played the higher number of games. If there is still a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically (i.e. in the case of a tie, Alonso would resolve to “Yes”, Soto would resolve to “No”). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Aaron Judge hits the greatest number of home runs of any player in the 2025 MLB Regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this player and another player(s) for the most home runs hit in the MLB Regular Season, this market will resolve in favor of the player who played the higher number of games. If there is still a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically (i.e. in the case of a tie, Alonso would resolve to “Yes”, Soto would resolve to “No”). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Freddie Freeman hits the greatest number of home runs of any player in the 2025 MLB Regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this player and another player(s) for the most home runs hit in the MLB Regular Season, this market will resolve in favor of the player who played the higher number of games. If there is still a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically (i.e. in the case of a tie, Alonso would resolve to “Yes”, Soto would resolve to “No”). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Player A hits the greatest number of home runs of any player in the 2025 MLB Regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this player and another player(s) for the most home runs hit in the MLB Regular Season, this market will resolve in favor of the player who played the higher number of games. If there is still a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically (i.e. in the case of a tie, Alonso would resolve to “Yes”, Soto would resolve to “No”). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if J.T. Realmuto hits the greatest number of home runs of any player in the 2025 MLB Regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this player and another player(s) for the most home runs hit in the MLB Regular Season, this market will resolve in favor of the player who played the higher number of games. If there is still a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically (i.e. in the case of a tie, Alonso would resolve to “Yes”, Soto would resolve to “No”). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Will Smith hits the greatest number of home runs of any player in the 2025 MLB Regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this player and another player(s) for the most home runs hit in the MLB Regular Season, this market will resolve in favor of the player who played the higher number of games. If there is still a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically (i.e. in the case of a tie, Alonso would resolve to “Yes”, Soto would resolve to “No”). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rafael Devers hits the greatest number of home runs of any player in the 2025 MLB Regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this player and another player(s) for the most home runs hit in the MLB Regular Season, this market will resolve in favor of the player who played the higher number of games. If there is still a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically (i.e. in the case of a tie, Alonso would resolve to “Yes”, Soto would resolve to “No”). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cody Bellinger hits the greatest number of home runs of any player in the 2025 MLB Regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this player and another player(s) for the most home runs hit in the MLB Regular Season, this market will resolve in favor of the player who played the higher number of games. If there is still a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically (i.e. in the case of a tie, Alonso would resolve to “Yes”, Soto would resolve to “No”). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bryce Harper hits the greatest number of home runs of any player in the 2025 MLB Regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this player and another player(s) for the most home runs hit in the MLB Regular Season, this market will resolve in favor of the player who played the higher number of games. If there is still a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically (i.e. in the case of a tie, Alonso would resolve to “Yes”, Soto would resolve to “No”). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Shohei Ohtani hits the greatest number of home runs of any player in the 2025 MLB Regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this player and another player(s) for the most home runs hit in the MLB Regular Season, this market will resolve in favor of the player who played the higher number of games. If there is still a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically (i.e. in the case of a tie, Alonso would resolve to “Yes”, Soto would resolve to “No”). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kyle Schwarber hits the greatest number of home runs of any player in the 2025 MLB Regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this player and another player(s) for the most home runs hit in the MLB Regular Season, this market will resolve in favor of the player who played the higher number of games. If there is still a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically (i.e. in the case of a tie, Alonso would resolve to “Yes”, Soto would resolve to “No”). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Juan Soto hits the greatest number of home runs of any player in the 2025 MLB Regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this player and another player(s) for the most home runs hit in the MLB Regular Season, this market will resolve in favor of the player who played the higher number of games. If there is still a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically (i.e. in the case of a tie, Alonso would resolve to “Yes”, Soto would resolve to “No”). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pete Alonso hits the greatest number of home runs of any player in the 2025 MLB Regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this player and another player(s) for the most home runs hit in the MLB Regular Season, this market will resolve in favor of the player who played the higher number of games. If there is still a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically (i.e. in the case of a tie, Alonso would resolve to “Yes”, Soto would resolve to “No”). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Matt Olson hits the greatest number of home runs of any player in the 2025 MLB Regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this player and another player(s) for the most home runs hit in the MLB Regular Season, this market will resolve in favor of the player who played the higher number of games. If there is still a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically (i.e. in the case of a tie, Alonso would resolve to “Yes”, Soto would resolve to “No”). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eugenio Suárez hits the greatest number of home runs of any player in the 2025 MLB Regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this player and another player(s) for the most home runs hit in the MLB Regular Season, this market will resolve in favor of the player who played the higher number of games. If there is still a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically (i.e. in the case of a tie, Alonso would resolve to “Yes”, Soto would resolve to “No”). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Aaron Judge hits the greatest number of home runs of any player in the 2025 MLB Regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

In the case of a tie between this player and another player(s) for the most home runs hit in the MLB Regular Season, this market will resolve in favor of the player who played the higher number of games. If there is still a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically (i.e. in the case of a tie, Alonso would resolve to “Yes”, Soto would resolve to “No”).

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$309,226
End Date
Sep 29, 2025
Market Opened
Mar 27, 2025, 1:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Aaron Judge hits the greatest number of home runs of any player in the 2025 MLB Regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this player and another player(s) for the most home runs hit in the MLB Regular Season, this market will resolve in favor of the player who played the higher number of games. If there is still a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically (i.e. in the case of a tie, Alonso would resolve to “Yes”, Soto would resolve to “No”). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Related

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Will Aaron Judge win the 2026 American League MVP Award?

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Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?

45%
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Will Eugenio Suarez win the 2026 Edgar Martinez Outstanding Designated Hitter Award?

45%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB Home Run Leader" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Cal Raleigh" at 100%, followed by "Aaron Judge" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLB Home Run Leader" has generated $309.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 27, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLB Home Run Leader," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB Home Run Leader" is "Cal Raleigh" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Aaron Judge" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB Home Run Leader" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.