Skip to main content

To trade in the US, go to polymarket.us

icon for KOSPI all-time high before 2028?
Finance·Stocks

KOSPI all-time high before 2028?

icon for KOSPI all-time high before 2028?
Finance·Stocks

KOSPI all-time high before 2028?

56% chance
Polymarket

$27,866 Vol.

56% chance
Polymarket

$27,866 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the KOSPI (Korea Composite Stock Price Index) records an intraday or close value above 9,385.59 — its official all-time intraday high as published by the Korea Exchange, set on June 19, 2026 — at any point between the creation of this market and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM KST. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only index values recorded during the regular trading session of the Korea Exchange will be considered. Values implied by futures, ETFs, options, or other derivative instruments will not qualify. Index values will be used exactly as published, without rounding. The primary resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EKS11/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.KOSPI's market-implied odds of 56.5% for a new all-time high before 2028 reflect the index's sharp 2026 rally on semiconductor export surges and AI demand for Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix, which drove the benchmark above 9,000 in June before a correction to around 7,018 as of September 22. Strong year-to-date gains near 70% and forward EPS upgrades support retesting peaks, yet recent foreign outflows, National Pension Service rebalancing, elevated oil prices near $100 per barrel, and Bank of Korea rate hikes to 3.00% introduce volatility. Traders weigh these earnings tailwinds against macro risks ahead of upcoming quarterly results and trade negotiations.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the KOSPI (Korea Composite Stock Price Index) records an intraday or close value above 9,385.59 — its official all-time intraday high as published by the Korea Exchange, set on June 19, 2026 — at any point between the creation of this market and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM KST. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only index values recorded during the regular trading session of the Korea Exchange will be considered. Values implied by futures, ETFs, options, or other derivative instruments will not qualify.

Index values will be used exactly as published, without rounding.

The primary resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EKS11/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the KOSPI (Korea Composite Stock Price Index) records an intraday or close value above 9,385.59 — its official all-time intraday high as published by the Korea Exchange, set on June 19, 2026 — at any point between the creation of this market and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM KST. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only index values recorded during the regular trading session of the Korea Exchange will be considered. Values implied by futures, ETFs, options, or other derivative instruments will not qualify. Index values will be used exactly as published, without rounding. The primary resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EKS11/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$27,866
End Date
Dec 31, 2027
Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 3:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the KOSPI (Korea Composite Stock Price Index) records an intraday or close value above 9,385.59 — its official all-time intraday high as published by the Korea Exchange, set on June 19, 2026 — at any point between the creation of this market and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM KST. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only index values recorded during the regular trading session of the Korea Exchange will be considered. Values implied by futures, ETFs, options, or other derivative instruments will not qualify. Index values will be used exactly as published, without rounding. The primary resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EKS11/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.KOSPI's market-implied odds of 56.5% for a new all-time high before 2028 reflect the index's sharp 2026 rally on semiconductor export surges and AI demand for Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix, which drove the benchmark above 9,000 in June before a correction to around 7,018 as of September 22. Strong year-to-date gains near 70% and forward EPS upgrades support retesting peaks, yet recent foreign outflows, National Pension Service rebalancing, elevated oil prices near $100 per barrel, and Bank of Korea rate hikes to 3.00% introduce volatility. Traders weigh these earnings tailwinds against macro risks ahead of upcoming quarterly results and trade negotiations.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the KOSPI (Korea Composite Stock Price Index) records an intraday or close value above 9,385.59 — its official all-time intraday high as published by the Korea Exchange, set on June 19, 2026 — at any point between the creation of this market and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM KST. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only index values recorded during the regular trading session of the Korea Exchange will be considered. Values implied by futures, ETFs, options, or other derivative instruments will not qualify.

Index values will be used exactly as published, without rounding.

The primary resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EKS11/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the KOSPI (Korea Composite Stock Price Index) records an intraday or close value above 9,385.59 — its official all-time intraday high as published by the Korea Exchange, set on June 19, 2026 — at any point between the creation of this market and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM KST. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only index values recorded during the regular trading session of the Korea Exchange will be considered. Values implied by futures, ETFs, options, or other derivative instruments will not qualify. Index values will be used exactly as published, without rounding. The primary resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EKS11/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$27,866
End Date
Jan 1, 2028
Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 3:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Related

icon for Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.0%?

Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.0%?

30%
icon for EWY Up or Down

EWY Up or Down

48%
Up
icon for Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

55%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"KOSPI all-time high before 2028?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 56% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 56¢, the market collectively assigns a 56% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "KOSPI all-time high before 2028?" has generated $27.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 7, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "KOSPI all-time high before 2028?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "KOSPI all-time high before 2028?" is 56% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 56% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "KOSPI all-time high before 2028?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.