June 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC)
$419,398 Vol.
1.00-1.04 100.0%
<0.95 <1%
0.95-0.99 <1%
1.05-1.09 <1%
OUTCOMERESULT
<0.95
$39,645 Vol.
No
<0.95
$39,645 Vol.
No
0.95-0.99
$69,316 Vol.
No
0.95-0.99
$69,316 Vol.
No
1.00-1.04
$71,669 Vol.
Yes
1.00-1.04
$71,669 Vol.
Yes
1.05-1.09
$64,691 Vol.
No
1.05-1.09
$64,691 Vol.
No
1.10-1.14
$89,998 Vol.
No
1.10-1.14
$89,998 Vol.
No
>1.14
$84,080 Vol.
No
>1.14
$84,080 Vol.
No
Rules
This market will resolve to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for June 2025 when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An anomaly of a named bracket for June 2025 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for June 2025 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jun" in the row "2025" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for June 2025 is provided by NASA by September 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Yes".
An anomaly of a named bracket for June 2025 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for June 2025 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jun" in the row "2025" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for June 2025 is provided by NASA by September 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Yes".
Created At: Jun 10, 2025, 8:00 PM UTC
Volume
$419,398End Date
Jun 30, 2025Created At
Jun 10, 2025, 8:00 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
$419,398 Vol.
June 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC)
1.00-1.04 100.0%
<0.95 <1%
0.95-0.99 <1%
1.05-1.09 <1%
<0.95
$39,645 Vol.
No
0.95-0.99
$69,316 Vol.
No
1.00-1.04
$71,669 Vol.
Yes
1.05-1.09
$64,691 Vol.
No
1.10-1.14
$89,998 Vol.
No
>1.14
$84,080 Vol.
No
About
Volume
$419,398End Date
Jun 30, 2025Created At
Jun 10, 2025, 8:00 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Beware of external links.
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