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Sports·IEM Rio 2026

IEM Rio 2026: Winner

Market icon
Sports·IEM Rio 2026

IEM Rio 2026: Winner

Vitality 62%

FURIA 12%

MOUZ 7%

Natus Vincere 7%

Polymarket
NEW

Vitality 62%

FURIA 12%

MOUZ 7%

Natus Vincere 7%

Polymarket
NEW
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Vitality

$210 Vol.

62%

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FURIA

$154 Vol.

12%

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MOUZ

$93 Vol.

7%

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Natus Vincere

$183 Vol.

7%

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Falcons

$92 Vol.

6%

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Team Spirit

$98 Vol.

6%

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Legacy

$178 Vol.

6%

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3DMAX

$634 Vol.

5%

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G2

$957 Vol.

4%

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Aurora

$98 Vol.

4%

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Passion UA

$752 Vol.

3%

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Team Liquid

$600 Vol.

2%

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RED Canids

$200 Vol.

1%

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Gentle Mates

$519 Vol.

1%

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B8

$462 Vol.

1%

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HOTU

$190 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the IEM Rio 2026 tournament, currently scheduled for April 13th - April 19th, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, ESL (https://pro.eslgaming.com/). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/counterstrike/Intel_Extreme_Masters/2026/Rio) may also be used.Vitality leads trader consensus at 58% implied probability for IEM Rio 2026 victory, fueled by their unmatched dominance including recent IEM Kraków 2026 and PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026 titles, a 31-match playoff streak, and top HLTV ranking as of late March. ZywOo and crew's consistent grand final appearances underscore their firepower in group stage and playoffs at Farmasi Arena. RED Canids (17.5%) and FURIA (11.5%) gain from home-crowd boost as Brazilian squads, with FURIA's #2 HLTV spot and Kraków runner-up finish, plus RED's reNTU academy promotion adding depth. MOUZ, Natus Vincere, Falcons, and Team Spirit trail amid tougher group draws, reflecting recent losses to Vitality like NaVi's BLAST Rotterdam final defeat. Groups locked heighten matchup intrigue ahead of April 13-19.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the IEM Rio 2026 tournament, currently scheduled for April 13th - April 19th, 2026.

If this tournament is postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, ESL (https://pro.eslgaming.com/). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/counterstrike/Intel_Extreme_Masters/2026/Rio) may also be used.
Volume
$5,422
End Date
Apr 19, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 6, 2026, 3:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the IEM Rio 2026 tournament, currently scheduled for April 13th - April 19th, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, ESL (https://pro.eslgaming.com/). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/counterstrike/Intel_Extreme_Masters/2026/Rio) may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the IEM Rio 2026 tournament, currently scheduled for April 13th - April 19th, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, ESL (https://pro.eslgaming.com/). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/counterstrike/Intel_Extreme_Masters/2026/Rio) may also be used.Vitality leads trader consensus at 58% implied probability for IEM Rio 2026 victory, fueled by their unmatched dominance including recent IEM Kraków 2026 and PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026 titles, a 31-match playoff streak, and top HLTV ranking as of late March. ZywOo and crew's consistent grand final appearances underscore their firepower in group stage and playoffs at Farmasi Arena. RED Canids (17.5%) and FURIA (11.5%) gain from home-crowd boost as Brazilian squads, with FURIA's #2 HLTV spot and Kraków runner-up finish, plus RED's reNTU academy promotion adding depth. MOUZ, Natus Vincere, Falcons, and Team Spirit trail amid tougher group draws, reflecting recent losses to Vitality like NaVi's BLAST Rotterdam final defeat. Groups locked heighten matchup intrigue ahead of April 13-19.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the IEM Rio 2026 tournament, currently scheduled for April 13th - April 19th, 2026.

If this tournament is postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, ESL (https://pro.eslgaming.com/). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/counterstrike/Intel_Extreme_Masters/2026/Rio) may also be used.
Volume
$5,422
End Date
Apr 19, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 6, 2026, 3:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the IEM Rio 2026 tournament, currently scheduled for April 13th - April 19th, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, ESL (https://pro.eslgaming.com/). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/counterstrike/Intel_Extreme_Masters/2026/Rio) may also be used.

Related

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Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

54%
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Will Vitality win the ESL Grand Slam at IEM Rio?

62%
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Will PARIVISION win PGL Bucharest 2026?

27%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"IEM Rio 2026: Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 16 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Vitality" at 62%, followed by "RED Canids" at 17%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 62¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 62% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"IEM Rio 2026: Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 6, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "IEM Rio 2026: Winner," browse the 16 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "IEM Rio 2026: Winner" is "Vitality" at 62%, meaning the market assigns a 62% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "RED Canids" at 17%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "IEM Rio 2026: Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.