How many viewers will the debate get?
$458,945 Vol.
65-70m 100.0%
<50m <1%
50-55m <1%
55-60m <1%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
RESULT
<50m
$79,948 Vol.
No
<50m
$79,948 Vol.
No
50-55m
$71,090 Vol.
No
50-55m
$71,090 Vol.
No
55-60m
$90,725 Vol.
No
55-60m
$90,725 Vol.
No
60-65m
$53,422 Vol.
No
60-65m
$53,422 Vol.
No
65-70m
$71,077 Vol.
Yes
65-70m
$71,077 Vol.
Yes
70-75m
$29,960 Vol.
No
70-75m
$29,960 Vol.
No
75m+
$62,722 Vol.
No
75m+
$62,722 Vol.
No
Rules
This market refers to the first presidential debate between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump during the 2024 election cycle.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first presidential debate between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump, currently scheduled for September 10, 2024 has fewer than 50,000,000 viewers according to Nielsen. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no in-person debate happens before election day, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic. If a debate takes place, and Nielsen does not provide viewership information for the debate within 10 days, another credible source may be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first presidential debate between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump, currently scheduled for September 10, 2024 has fewer than 50,000,000 viewers according to Nielsen. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no in-person debate happens before election day, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic. If a debate takes place, and Nielsen does not provide viewership information for the debate within 10 days, another credible source may be chosen.
Created At: Sep 4, 2024, 10:59 PM
Volume
$458,945End Date
Sep 10, 2024Created At
Sep 4, 2024, 10:59 PMResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
$458,945 Vol.
How many viewers will the debate get?
65-70m 100.0%
<50m <1%
50-55m <1%
55-60m <1%
<50m
$79,948 Vol.
No
50-55m
$71,090 Vol.
No
55-60m
$90,725 Vol.
No
60-65m
$53,422 Vol.
No
65-70m
$71,077 Vol.
Yes
70-75m
$29,960 Vol.
No
75m+
$62,722 Vol.
No
About
Volume
$458,945End Date
Sep 10, 2024Created At
Sep 4, 2024, 10:59 PMResolver
0x2F5e3684c...
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.