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Guam Governor Democratic Primary Winner

icon for Guam Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Guam Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Therese Terlaje 75%

Josh Tenorio 18%

Joe S. San Agustin 8.2%

Polymarket

$17,326 Vol.

Therese Terlaje 75%

Josh Tenorio 18%

Joe S. San Agustin 8.2%

Polymarket

$17,326 Vol.

Therese Terlaje

$5,573 Vol.

75%

Josh Tenorio

$9,199 Vol.

18%

Joe S. San Agustin

$2,554 Vol.

8%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Guam, scheduled to take place on August 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Guam Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Guam Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Therese Terlaje holds a commanding lead in the Democratic primary for Guam governor ahead of the August 1 vote, reflecting her established profile as a longtime territorial senator and former speaker of the legislature. Recent candidate filings completed in late April and early May finalized a three-way contest that also features current Lieutenant Governor Josh Tenorio paired with Senator Tina Muña Barnes and Senator Joe S. San Agustin running with former Senator Dwayne San Nicolas. Traders appear to weigh Terlaje’s legislative record and the visibility gained from her timely filing alongside Sabina Perez more heavily than Tenorio’s incumbency advantage or San Agustin’s earlier entry. With the filing deadline now passed and no further major developments reported, the market continues to price the race according to name recognition and team strength within Guam’s Democratic electorate.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Guam, scheduled to take place on August 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Guam Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Guam Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$17,326
End Date
Aug 1, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Guam, scheduled to take place on August 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Guam Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Guam Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Guam, scheduled to take place on August 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Guam Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Guam Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Therese Terlaje holds a commanding lead in the Democratic primary for Guam governor ahead of the August 1 vote, reflecting her established profile as a longtime territorial senator and former speaker of the legislature. Recent candidate filings completed in late April and early May finalized a three-way contest that also features current Lieutenant Governor Josh Tenorio paired with Senator Tina Muña Barnes and Senator Joe S. San Agustin running with former Senator Dwayne San Nicolas. Traders appear to weigh Terlaje’s legislative record and the visibility gained from her timely filing alongside Sabina Perez more heavily than Tenorio’s incumbency advantage or San Agustin’s earlier entry. With the filing deadline now passed and no further major developments reported, the market continues to price the race according to name recognition and team strength within Guam’s Democratic electorate.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Guam, scheduled to take place on August 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Guam Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Guam Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$17,326
End Date
Aug 1, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Guam, scheduled to take place on August 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Guam Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Guam Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Guam Governor Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Therese Terlaje" at 75%, followed by "Josh Tenorio" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 75¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 75% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Guam Governor Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $17.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Guam Governor Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Guam Governor Democratic Primary Winner" is "Therese Terlaje" at 75%, meaning the market assigns a 75% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Josh Tenorio" at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Guam Governor Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.