Name: First Pump.fun coin to 1b?
Start: 2024-09-26T20:52:46.365291Z
End: 2025-03-31T12:00:00Z

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This is a market on which Pump.fun coin will first reach a market capitalization of 1 billion dollars.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if BILLY (https://dexscreener.com/solana/9uww4c36hictgr6pzw9vfhr9vdxktz8na8jvnzqu35pj) reaches $1b FDV before all other pump.fun coins. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."

The market start date is September 26, 2024, 3:00 PM ET.

The resolution source will be dexscreener, specifically the candlestick high prices multiplied by the coin's supply.

If no pump.fun coin reaches $1b between September 26 and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No".

Note: Coins which show a hyper-inflated FDV due to extremely low liquidity will not count for this market group.

$BILLY

This market will resolve to "Yes" if michi (https://dexscreener.com/solana/gh8ers4yzkr3ukdvgvu8cqjfgzu4cu62mteg9bcj7ug6) reaches $1b FDV before all other pump.fun coins. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."

The market start date is September 26, 2024, 3:00 PM ET.

The resolution source will be dexscreener, specifically the candlestick high prices multiplied by the coin's supply.

If no pump.fun coin reaches $1b between September 26 and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No".

Note: Coins which show a hyper-inflated FDV due to extremely low liquidity will not count for this market group.

$michi

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moo Deng (https://dexscreener.com/solana/22wrmytj8x2trvqen3fxxi2r4rn6jdhwomtpssmn8rud) reaches $1b FDV before all other pump.fun coins. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."

The market start date is September 26, 2024, 3:00 PM ET.

The resolution source will be dexscreener, specifically the candlestick high prices multiplied by the coin's supply.

If no pump.fun coin reaches $1b between September 26 and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No".

Note: Coins which show a hyper-inflated FDV due to extremely low liquidity will not count for this market group.

$MOODENG

This market will resolve to "Yes" if MOTHER (https://dexscreener.com/solana/hcpgh6b2yhnvt6jsemkrhyt8pvhu9xiaoxm4mmn2ibww) reaches $1b FDV before all other pump.fun coins. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."

The market start date is September 26, 2024, 3:00 PM ET.

The resolution source will be dexscreener, specifically the candlestick high prices multiplied by the coin's supply.

If no pump.fun coin reaches $1b between September 26 and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No".

Note: Coins which show a hyper-inflated FDV due to extremely low liquidity will not count for this market group.

$MOTHER

This market will resolve to "Yes" if DADDY (https://dexscreener.com/solana/zcdaw3jpcqey8jyvxnvmqs2cu35cyddy4ot7v8ednhz) reaches $1b FDV before all other pump.fun coins. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."

The market start date is September 26, 2024, 3:00 PM ET.

The resolution source will be dexscreener, specifically the candlestick high prices multiplied by the coin's supply.

If no pump.fun coin reaches $1b between September 26 and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No".

Note: Coins which show a hyper-inflated FDV due to extremely low liquidity will not count for this market group.

$DADDY

This market will resolve to "Yes" if FWOG (https://dexscreener.com/solana/ab1eu2l1jr3nfeft85aud2zgksubam1kr8mr3um2sjwt) reaches $1b FDV before all other pump.fun coins. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."

The market start date is September 26, 2024, 3:00 PM ET.

The resolution source will be dexscreener, specifically the candlestick high prices multiplied by the coin's supply.

If no pump.fun coin reaches $1b between September 26 and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No".

Note: Coins which show a hyper-inflated FDV due to extremely low liquidity will not count for this market group.

$FWOG

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Pump.fun coin other than michi, Moo Deng, MOTHER, DADDY, FWOG, or BILLY reaches $1b before they do. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The market start date is September 26, 2024, 3:00 PM ET.

The resolution source will be dexscreener, specifically the candlestick high prices multiplied by the coin's supply.

If no pump.fun coin reaches $1b between September 26 and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "Yes", and all other markets in the group will resolve to "No."

Note: Coins which show a hyper-inflated FDV due to extremely low liquidity will not count for this market group.

Other/None before April 2025

First Pump.fun coin to 1b?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pump.fun launches a token and performs an airdrop by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Airdrops of NFTs will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from Pump.fun, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by March 31? 

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for PUMP/USDT between September 18, 2025, 08:00 and December 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price of $0.01 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the PUMP/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/PUMP_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.

Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance PUMP/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Will Pump.fun hit $0.01 in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for PUMP/USDT between 3  October '25 11:00 and 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's "High" price on any prior date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the PUMP/USDT "High" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/PUMP_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance PUMP/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Pump.fun all time high by December 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Football.Fun's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.

"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Football.Fun doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Football.Fun FDV above $70M one day after launch?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Lighter's token is greater than $1,000,000,000 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch.

"1 day after launch" is defined as 24 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Lighter doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for FARTCOINUSDT between October 15, 2025, 10:00 and December 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price of $0.7 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the FARTCOINUSDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/futures/fartcoinusdt, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.

Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance FARTCOINUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Will Fartcoin hit $0.7 by December 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Makina's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.

The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.

"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Makina doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Makina FDV above $80M one day after launch?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI completes an initial public offering (IPO) valued at $1 trillion USD or higher at the time of the IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

An “initial public offering (IPO)” refers to the first sale of OpenAI’s equity securities to the public through a regulated stock exchange.

OpenAI will be considered to have achieved a $1 trillion valuation if the market capitalization implied by the IPO offering price multiplied by the total number of outstanding shares equals or exceeds $1 trillion USD.

Announcements, filings, or planned IPOs that do not result in public trading by that time will not qualify. Private funding rounds, secondary share sales, or employee-share transactions will not be considered. A direct listing or merger via SPAC will qualify only if it results in OpenAI’s common shares becoming publicly traded for the first time on a major exchange.

If OpenAI’s IPO is priced before the resolution deadline but public trading has not yet commenced, the market may remain open for up to 30 calendar days to determine whether the IPO is completed.

If OpenAI is acquired, dissolved, or merged into another entity before an IPO occurs, this market will resolve to “No.” In the event of a restructuring, the market will resolve based on the entity legally recognized as OpenAI’s successor will 

The resolution source will be a consensus for credible reporting.

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pengu's Market Cap exceeds Shiba Inu’s at any point by December 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on CoinGecko's "historical data" section for each coin, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/pudgy-penguins/historical_data and https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/shiba-inu/historical_data respectively, specifically the daily "Market Cap" data.

The daily market cap data for any given date will be considered finalized once data for the following calendar day is published on CoinGecko’s “Historical Data” page for both Pengu and Shiba Inu.

This market will resolve based on the specified CoinGecko data, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Will Pengu flip Shiba Inu by December 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the crypto token Hyperliquid ($HYPE) is listed for spot purchase on Coinbase by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be Coinbase, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Hyperliquid listed on Coinbase in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Based's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.

"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Based (https://x.com/BasedOneX) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Felix's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.

The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.

"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Felix Protocol doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Infinex's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.

"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Infinex (https://infinex.xyz/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Infinex FDV above $200M one day after launch?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of USD.AI's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.

The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.

"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If USD.AI (https://usd.ai/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of MegaETH's token is greater than $1,000,000,000 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch.

"1 day after launch" is defined as 24 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If MegaETH doesn't launch a token by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Sentient's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.

The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.

"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Sentient doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Sentient FDV above $200M one day after launch?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between June 22 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. 

The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Rainbow's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.

"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Rainbow (https://rainbow.me/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Rainbow FDV above $200M one day after launch?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Extended's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.

The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.

"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Extended (https://x.com/extendedapp) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Paradex's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.

"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Paradex (https://x.com/paradex) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Paradex FDV above $300M one day after launch?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ink's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.

"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ink (http://inkonchain.com/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ostium's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.

The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.

"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ostium doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Ostium FDV above $700M one day after launch?

This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Fogo's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.

The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.

"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Fogo (https://x.com/fogo/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?

This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for HYPEUSDT between 3  October '25 11:00 and 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's "High" price on any prior date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the HYPEUSDT "High" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/futures/HYPEUSDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance HYPEUSDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Hyperliquid all time high by December 31?

This market will resolve to the lower price in the title if Bitcoin’s price dips to that level or below before it hits the higher title price between November 18, 2025 at 1:30 PM ET and December 31, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. It will resolve to the higher price in the title if Bitcoin’s price first reaches that level or above before it dips to the lower title price during the same period.

If neither price level is reached within the market timeframe, the market will resolve 50–50.

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" and "Low" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Opensea's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.

"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Opensea doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Metamask's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.

"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Metamask doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Kodiak's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.

The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.

"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Kodiak (https://x.com/kodiakfi) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Kodiak FDV above $25M one day after launch?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of StandX's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.

"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If StandX (https://x.com/StandX_Official) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title by 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.

Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Octra's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.

The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.

"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Octra (https://x.com/octra) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Octra FDV above $100M one day after launch?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of EdgeX's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.

"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If EdgeX doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?

This market will resolve to the lower price in the title if Bitcoin’s price dips to that level or below before it hits the higher title price between August 5, 2025 at 10:30 AM ET and December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. It will resolve to the higher price in the title if Bitcoin’s price first reaches that level or above before it dips to the lower title price during the same period.

If neither price level is reached within the market timeframe, the market will resolve 50–50.

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" and "Low" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Theo's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.

The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.

"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Theo (https://x.com/Theo_Network) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hyperliquid performs a second airdrop by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Airdrops of NFTs will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from Hyperliquid, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? 

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any TradingView 1 minute candle for CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS between November 3, 2025, 11:00 AM ET and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS “Low” prices available at https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=CRYPTOCAP%3AOTHERS, with the chart settings on “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.

Please note that this market depends solely on price data from the TradingView CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS chart. Prices from other sources, indices, or exchanges will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Altcoin market cap dip to $160B by December 31?

This market will resolve based on Freddie Mac's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Freddie Mac’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

Will Freddie Mac not IPO by June 30, 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Fomo (https://fomo.family/) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Fomo, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?

This market will resolve according to the public ticker symbol used by SpaceX in an IPO (Initial Public Offering) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

An official announcement from SpaceX that they will IPO under a specific ticker symbol will be sufficient to resolve this market.

If a ticker used by SpaceX in a qualifying IPO is a variant of a ticker symbol listed in this market group with additional letters to denote a specific class of shares, it will be considered to be that ticker (e.g. if SpaceX uses a ticker symbol of $MARS.A or $MARSA, this market will resolve to $MARS).

If SpaceX announces an IPO with multiple tickers that are not considered the same ticker under the previous rule (i.e. $MARS.A and $MARS.B would be considered the same ticker), this market will remain open until SpaceX’s first day of public trading and will resolve according to the ticker symbolizing the security class with the greatest market capitalization. Market capitalization is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve according to the ticker symbol that comes first in alphabetical order.

If SpaceX IPOs with a non-listed ticker, or does not IPO or officially announce an IPO and ticker symbol by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX and the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

Note: In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will use the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will use the closing price on the next trading day for which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

First Pump.fun coin to 1b?

$MOODENG
$321,199 Vol.
No

$michi
$214,754 Vol.
No

$MOTHER
$218,271 Vol.
No

$BILLY
$332,701 Vol.
No

$DADDY
$252,122 Vol.
No

$FWOG
$438,736 Vol.
No

Other/None before April 2025
$348,027 Vol.
Yes

Market Context

First Pump.fun coin to 1b?

Rules

First Pump.fun coin to 1b?

Market Context

First Pump.fun coin to 1b?

About

Related

First Pump.fun coin to 1b?

$MOODENG$321,199 Vol.Nocircle xmark

$michi$214,754 Vol.Nocircle xmark

$MOTHER$218,271 Vol.Nocircle xmark

$BILLY$332,701 Vol.Nocircle xmark

$DADDY$252,122 Vol.Nocircle xmark

$FWOG$438,736 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Other/None before April 2025$348,027 Vol.Yescircle check

Market Context

First Pump.fun coin to 1b?

Rules

First Pump.fun coin to 1b?

Market Context

First Pump.fun coin to 1b?

About

Related

$MOODENG
$321,199 Vol.
No

$michi
$214,754 Vol.
No

$MOTHER
$218,271 Vol.
No

$BILLY
$332,701 Vol.
No

$DADDY
$252,122 Vol.
No

$FWOG
$438,736 Vol.
No

Other/None before April 2025
$348,027 Vol.
Yes