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2025 NFL Draft: 1st Pick

Market icon

2025 NFL Draft: 1st Pick

Cam Ward (QB) 100.0%

Shedeur Sanders (QB) <1%

Travis Hunter (WR/CB) <1%

Jalen Milroe (QB) <1%

Polymarket

$4,457,049 Vol.

Cam Ward (QB) 100.0%

Shedeur Sanders (QB) <1%

Travis Hunter (WR/CB) <1%

Jalen Milroe (QB) <1%

Polymarket

$4,457,049 Vol.

Will Shedeur Sanders be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft? icon

Shedeur Sanders (QB)

$627,207 Vol.

No

Will Travis Hunter be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft? icon

Travis Hunter (WR/CB)

$201,490 Vol.

No

Will Cameron Ward be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft? icon

Cam Ward (QB)

$387,168 Vol.

Yes

Will Jalen Milroe be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft? icon

Jalen Milroe (QB)

$268,589 Vol.

No

Will Jaxson Dart be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft? icon

Jaxson Dart (QB)

$324,409 Vol.

No

Will Kelvin Banks Jr. be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft? icon

Kelvin Banks Jr. (OT)

$284,390 Vol.

No

Will Abdul Carter be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft? icon

Abdul Carter (EDGE)

$305,990 Vol.

No

Will Will Campbell be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft? icon

Will Campbell (OL)

$879,614 Vol.

No

Will Mykel Williams be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft? icon

Mykel Williams (EDGE)

$759,755 Vol.

No

Will another player be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft? icon

Other

$2,000 Vol.

No

Will Mason Graham be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft? icon

Mason Graham (DL)

$416,437 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Shedeur Sanders is selected with the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official live broadcast of the NFL Draft, scheduled for April 24, 2025.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Travis Hunter is selected with the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source will be the official live broadcast of the NFL Draft, scheduled for April 24, 2025.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cameron Ward is selected with the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source will be the official live broadcast of the NFL Draft, scheduled for April 24, 2025.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jalen Milroe is selected with the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source will be the official live broadcast of the NFL Draft, scheduled for April 24, 2025.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jaxson Dart is selected with the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source will be the official live broadcast of the NFL Draft, scheduled for April 24, 2025.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kelvin Banks Jr. is selected with the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source will be the official live broadcast of the NFL Draft, scheduled for April 24, 2025.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Abdul Carter is selected with the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source will be the official live broadcast of the NFL Draft, scheduled for April 24, 2025.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Will Campbell is selected with the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source will be the official live broadcast of the NFL Draft, scheduled for April 24, 2025.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mykel Williams is selected with the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source will be the official live broadcast of the NFL Draft, scheduled for April 24, 2025.This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player other than any of the named prospects is selected with the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official live broadcast of the NFL Draft, scheduled for April 24, 2025.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mason Graham is selected with the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source will be the official live broadcast of the NFL Draft, scheduled for April 24, 2025.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Shedeur Sanders is selected with the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the official live broadcast of the NFL Draft, scheduled for April 24, 2025.
Volume
$4,457,049
End Date
Apr 24, 2025
Market Opened
Dec 3, 2024, 4:21 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Shedeur Sanders is selected with the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official live broadcast of the NFL Draft, scheduled for April 24, 2025.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Shedeur Sanders is selected with the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official live broadcast of the NFL Draft, scheduled for April 24, 2025.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Travis Hunter is selected with the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source will be the official live broadcast of the NFL Draft, scheduled for April 24, 2025.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cameron Ward is selected with the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source will be the official live broadcast of the NFL Draft, scheduled for April 24, 2025.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jalen Milroe is selected with the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source will be the official live broadcast of the NFL Draft, scheduled for April 24, 2025.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jaxson Dart is selected with the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source will be the official live broadcast of the NFL Draft, scheduled for April 24, 2025.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kelvin Banks Jr. is selected with the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source will be the official live broadcast of the NFL Draft, scheduled for April 24, 2025.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Abdul Carter is selected with the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source will be the official live broadcast of the NFL Draft, scheduled for April 24, 2025.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Will Campbell is selected with the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source will be the official live broadcast of the NFL Draft, scheduled for April 24, 2025.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mykel Williams is selected with the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source will be the official live broadcast of the NFL Draft, scheduled for April 24, 2025.This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player other than any of the named prospects is selected with the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official live broadcast of the NFL Draft, scheduled for April 24, 2025.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mason Graham is selected with the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source will be the official live broadcast of the NFL Draft, scheduled for April 24, 2025.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Shedeur Sanders is selected with the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the official live broadcast of the NFL Draft, scheduled for April 24, 2025.
Volume
$4,457,049
End Date
Apr 24, 2025
Market Opened
Dec 3, 2024, 4:21 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Shedeur Sanders is selected with the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official live broadcast of the NFL Draft, scheduled for April 24, 2025.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2025 NFL Draft: 1st Pick" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Cam Ward (QB)" at 100%, followed by "Shedeur Sanders (QB)" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2025 NFL Draft: 1st Pick" has generated $4.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 3, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2025 NFL Draft: 1st Pick," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2025 NFL Draft: 1st Pick" is "Cam Ward (QB)" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Shedeur Sanders (QB)" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2025 NFL Draft: 1st Pick" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.