USMNT trader consensus prices United States, draw, and Germany wins evenly at 50% implied probabilities for the June 6 World Cup send-off friendly at Soldier Field, reflecting a closely contested matchup amid mutual injury concerns and home advantage. Key USMNT midfielders Johnny Cardoso (high-grade ankle sprain at Atletico Madrid) and Tanner Tessmann (muscle strain at Lyon) sustained injuries in the past week, compounding Gio Reyna's hamstring issue and exposing depth issues just weeks before the tournament. Germany enters with historical head-to-head dominance (6-2 aggregate since 1998) but recent fitness management following Serge Gnabry's April absence. US recent form faltered in a 2-5 March friendly loss to Belgium, while hosting in Chicago bolsters crowd support and familiarity, keeping odds tightly bunched.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIf United States wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: May 10, 2026, 9:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.comResolver
0x69c47De9D...If United States wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: May 10, 2026, 9:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.comResolver
0x69c47De9D...USMNT trader consensus prices United States, draw, and Germany wins evenly at 50% implied probabilities for the June 6 World Cup send-off friendly at Soldier Field, reflecting a closely contested matchup amid mutual injury concerns and home advantage. Key USMNT midfielders Johnny Cardoso (high-grade ankle sprain at Atletico Madrid) and Tanner Tessmann (muscle strain at Lyon) sustained injuries in the past week, compounding Gio Reyna's hamstring issue and exposing depth issues just weeks before the tournament. Germany enters with historical head-to-head dominance (6-2 aggregate since 1998) but recent fitness management following Serge Gnabry's April absence. US recent form faltered in a 2-5 March friendly loss to Belgium, while hosting in Chicago bolsters crowd support and familiarity, keeping odds tightly bunched.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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