Kylian Mbappé and Harry Kane share the lead in implied probability for the 2026 World Cup Golden Boot, driven by their roles as focal points for France and England, two sides projected to advance deep in the expanded 48-team field. Mbappé benefits from France’s favorable group and proven knockout pedigree, while Kane’s exceptional 2025-26 Bundesliga scoring rate and England’s attacking depth position him for high-volume opportunities. Erling Haaland trails due to Norway’s recent qualification but limited expected run, requiring an early scoring surge in a shorter window. Competitive pressure comes from Spain’s Mikel Oyarzabal and Lamine Yamal, plus veterans Lionel Messi and Cristiano Ronaldo, whose recent international contributions keep the market bunched as form, group stage draws, and injury resilience shape the race.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ワールドカップ:トップゴールスコアラー
Kylian Mbappe 15%
Harry Kane 15%
Erling Haaland 7%
Mikel Oyarzabal 7%
$329,723 Vol.
$329,723 Vol.
Kylian Mbappe
15%
Harry Kane
15%
Erling Haaland
7%
Mikel Oyarzabal
7%
Lionel Messi
6%
Cristiano Ronaldo
6%
Lamine Yamal
6%
Julian Alvarez
4%
Raphinha
4%
Vinicius Junior
4%
Ousmane Dembele
3%
Lautaro Martinez
3%
Michael Olise
3%
Cody Gakpo
2%
Igor Thiago
2%
Ferran Torres
2%
Bruno Fernandes
2%
Depay Memphis
2%
Rafael Leao
2%
Viktor Gyökeres
2%
Mohamed Salah
1%
Deniz Undav
1%
Luis Diaz
1%
Bukayo Saka
1%
Jude Bellingham
1%
Dani Olmo
1%
Federico Valverde
1%
Desire Doue
1%
Marcus Thuram
1%
Bradley Barcola
1%
Luis Javier Suárez
1%
Scott McTominay
1%
Heung-Min Son
1%
Sadio Mane
1%
Pedri
1%
Antoine Semenyo
1%
Ivan Perišić
<1%
Edin Džeko
<1%
Noah Okafor
<1%
Andrej Kramarić
<1%
Dion Beljo
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Amad Diallo
<1%
Serge Gnabry
<1%
Kylian Mbappe 15%
Harry Kane 15%
Erling Haaland 7%
Mikel Oyarzabal 7%
$329,723 Vol.
$329,723 Vol.
Kylian Mbappe
15%
Harry Kane
15%
Erling Haaland
7%
Mikel Oyarzabal
7%
Lionel Messi
6%
Cristiano Ronaldo
6%
Lamine Yamal
6%
Julian Alvarez
4%
Raphinha
4%
Vinicius Junior
4%
Ousmane Dembele
3%
Lautaro Martinez
3%
Michael Olise
3%
Cody Gakpo
2%
Igor Thiago
2%
Ferran Torres
2%
Bruno Fernandes
2%
Depay Memphis
2%
Rafael Leao
2%
Viktor Gyökeres
2%
Mohamed Salah
1%
Deniz Undav
1%
Luis Diaz
1%
Bukayo Saka
1%
Jude Bellingham
1%
Dani Olmo
1%
Federico Valverde
1%
Desire Doue
1%
Marcus Thuram
1%
Bradley Barcola
1%
Luis Javier Suárez
1%
Scott McTominay
1%
Heung-Min Son
1%
Sadio Mane
1%
Pedri
1%
Antoine Semenyo
1%
Ivan Perišić
<1%
Edin Džeko
<1%
Noah Okafor
<1%
Andrej Kramarić
<1%
Dion Beljo
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Amad Diallo
<1%
Serge Gnabry
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Apr 24, 2026, 1:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kylian Mbappé and Harry Kane share the lead in implied probability for the 2026 World Cup Golden Boot, driven by their roles as focal points for France and England, two sides projected to advance deep in the expanded 48-team field. Mbappé benefits from France’s favorable group and proven knockout pedigree, while Kane’s exceptional 2025-26 Bundesliga scoring rate and England’s attacking depth position him for high-volume opportunities. Erling Haaland trails due to Norway’s recent qualification but limited expected run, requiring an early scoring surge in a shorter window. Competitive pressure comes from Spain’s Mikel Oyarzabal and Lamine Yamal, plus veterans Lionel Messi and Cristiano Ronaldo, whose recent international contributions keep the market bunched as form, group stage draws, and injury resilience shape the race.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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