Spain and France sit atop the 2026 World Cup winner market in near parity because both enter as the most recent major-tournament standouts with unmatched squad depth. Spain’s Euro 2024 triumph and continued Nations League momentum have kept their implied probability highest, while France’s blend of experience and emerging talent sustains their position just behind. England’s back-to-back European final appearances and Portugal’s consistent results round out a tight European cluster, with Brazil and Argentina the leading non-European challengers on the strength of Copa America pedigree. Recent group-stage draws and final squad announcements have reinforced rather than altered this hierarchy, leaving little daylight among the top five.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日スペイン 16.9%
フランス 16.6%
イングランド 11.2%
ポルトガル 10.2%
$1,289,602,246 Vol.
$1,289,602,246 Vol.
2026/07/20
スペイン
17%
フランス
17%
イングランド
11%
ポルトガル
10%
ブラジル
9%
アルゼンチン
9%
ドイツ
5%
オランダ
4%
ノルウェー
3%
コロンビア
2%
日本
2%
ベルギー
2%
モロッコ
1%
スイス
1%
アメリカ
1%
ウルグアイ
1%
メキシコ
1%
エクアドル
1%
クロアチア
1%
トルコ
1%
セネガル
1%
オーストリア
1%
スウェーデン
1%
カナダ
<1%
韓国
<1%
ガーナ
<1%
ボスニア・ヘルツェゴビナ
<1%
パラグアイ
<1%
スコットランド
<1%
コートジボワール
<1%
チェコ
<1%
エジプト
<1%
イラン
<1%
アルジェリア
<1%
チュニジア
<1%
コンゴ民主共和国
<1%
オーストラリア
<1%
ニュージーランド
<1%
ハイチ
<1%
ヨルダン
<1%
キュラソー
<1%
ウズベキスタン
<1%
パナマ
<1%
イラク
<1%
南アフリカ
<1%
カーボベルデ
<1%
カタール
<1%
サウジアラビア
<1%
スペイン 16.9%
フランス 16.6%
イングランド 11.2%
ポルトガル 10.2%
$1,289,602,246 Vol.
$1,289,602,246 Vol.
2026/07/20
スペイン
$25,612,878 Vol.
17%
フランス
$31,899,652 Vol.
17%
イングランド
$21,272,025 Vol.
11%
ポルトガル
$25,963,831 Vol.
10%
ブラジル
$23,036,384 Vol.
9%
アルゼンチン
$22,767,411 Vol.
9%
ドイツ
$21,874,333 Vol.
5%
オランダ
$24,660,281 Vol.
4%
ノルウェー
$25,969,310 Vol.
3%
コロンビア
$21,364,005 Vol.
2%
日本
$27,862,805 Vol.
2%
ベルギー
$21,304,944 Vol.
2%
モロッコ
$27,803,201 Vol.
1%
スイス
$23,997,947 Vol.
1%
アメリカ
$40,192,423 Vol.
1%
ウルグアイ
$22,202,588 Vol.
1%
メキシコ
$26,241,793 Vol.
1%
エクアドル
$29,030,156 Vol.
1%
クロアチア
$28,961,624 Vol.
1%
トルコ
$17,869,254 Vol.
1%
セネガル
$24,389,767 Vol.
1%
オーストリア
$29,313,886 Vol.
1%
スウェーデン
$15,848,779 Vol.
1%
カナダ
$29,283,275 Vol.
<1%
韓国
$32,020,745 Vol.
<1%
ガーナ
$24,154,528 Vol.
<1%
ボスニア・ヘルツェゴビナ
$13,799,165 Vol.
<1%
パラグアイ
$25,851,014 Vol.
<1%
スコットランド
$30,057,127 Vol.
<1%
コートジボワール
$31,853,703 Vol.
<1%
チェコ
$12,369,138 Vol.
<1%
エジプト
$29,867,016 Vol.
<1%
イラン
$31,992,207 Vol.
<1%
アルジェリア
$26,659,298 Vol.
<1%
チュニジア
$27,823,459 Vol.
<1%
コンゴ民主共和国
$26,839,271 Vol.
<1%
オーストラリア
$28,887,683 Vol.
<1%
ニュージーランド
$35,129,139 Vol.
<1%
ハイチ
$20,083,330 Vol.
<1%
ヨルダン
$30,415,177 Vol.
<1%
キュラソー
$40,369,927 Vol.
<1%
ウズベキスタン
$47,539,254 Vol.
<1%
パナマ
$17,501,578 Vol.
<1%
イラク
$16,488,111 Vol.
<1%
南アフリカ
$33,178,094 Vol.
<1%
カーボベルデ
$27,529,508 Vol.
<1%
カタール
$29,244,253 Vol.
<1%
サウジアラビア
$32,326,586 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain and France sit atop the 2026 World Cup winner market in near parity because both enter as the most recent major-tournament standouts with unmatched squad depth. Spain’s Euro 2024 triumph and continued Nations League momentum have kept their implied probability highest, while France’s blend of experience and emerging talent sustains their position just behind. England’s back-to-back European final appearances and Portugal’s consistent results round out a tight European cluster, with Brazil and Argentina the leading non-European challengers on the strength of Copa America pedigree. Recent group-stage draws and final squad announcements have reinforced rather than altered this hierarchy, leaving little daylight among the top five.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
音量
$1,289,602,246終了日
2026/07/20マーケット開始日
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain and France sit atop the 2026 World Cup winner market in near parity because both enter as the most recent major-tournament standouts with unmatched squad depth. Spain’s Euro 2024 triumph and continued Nations League momentum have kept their implied probability highest, while France’s blend of experience and emerging talent sustains their position just behind. England’s back-to-back European final appearances and Portugal’s consistent results round out a tight European cluster, with Brazil and Argentina the leading non-European challengers on the strength of Copa America pedigree. Recent group-stage draws and final squad announcements have reinforced rather than altered this hierarchy, leaving little daylight among the top five.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$1,289,602,246終了日
2026/07/20マーケット開始日
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain and France sit atop the 2026 World Cup winner market in near parity because both enter as the most recent major-tournament standouts with unmatched squad depth. Spain’s Euro 2024 triumph and continued Nations League momentum have kept their implied probability highest, while France’s blend of experience and emerging talent sustains their position just behind. England’s back-to-back European final appearances and Portugal’s consistent results round out a tight European cluster, with Brazil and Argentina the leading non-European challengers on the strength of Copa America pedigree. Recent group-stage draws and final squad announcements have reinforced rather than altered this hierarchy, leaving little daylight among the top five.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問