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FIDE World Blitz Chess Champion

Market icon

FIDE World Blitz Chess Champion

Other 100.0%

Wesley So 50.0%

Daniil Dubov <1%

Hans Niemann <1%

Polymarket

$11,543,640 Vol.

Other 100.0%

Wesley So 50.0%

Daniil Dubov <1%

Hans Niemann <1%

Polymarket

$11,543,640 Vol.

Daniil Dubov

$334,426 Vol.

No

Hans Niemann

$82,995 Vol.

No

Jan-Krzysztof Duda

$204,035 Vol.

No

Olexandr Bortnyk

$296,860 Vol.

No

Bu Xiangzhi

$69,903 Vol.

No

Levon Aronian

$84,593 Vol.

No

Alexander Grischuk

$39,066 Vol.

No

Daniel Naroditsky

$92,709 Vol.

No

Fabiano Caruana

$167,123 Vol.

No

Arjun Erigaisi

$132,378 Vol.

No

Hikaru Nakamura

$216,078 Vol.

No

Nodirbek Abdusattorov

$35,304 Vol.

No

Magnus Carlsen

$4,373,111 Vol.

No

Ian Nepomniachtchi

$648,390 Vol.

No

Ben Finegold

$312,883 Vol.

No

Alireza Firouzja

$208,188 Vol.

No

Wesley So

$157,016 Vol.

No

Maxime Vachier-Lagrave

$167,873 Vol.

No

Wei Yi

$38,857 Vol.

No

Rameshbabu Praggnanandhaa

$54,975 Vol.

No

Volodar Murzin

$107,042 Vol.

No

Other

$3,719,835 Vol.

Yes

The 2024 Open FIDE World Blitz Chess Championship is scheduled to take place December 30 - December 31. You can read more about this event here: https://www.chess.com/events/info/2024-fide-world-blitz-chess-championships

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Magnus Carlsen wins the 2024 Open FIDE World Blitz Chess Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for this person to win this tournament (e.g. they are eliminated in the bracket), this market will resolve immediately to "No".

If this event is cancelled, or not completed by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official information from Chess.com, however, a consensus of other credible sources may be used.
Volume
$11,543,640
End Date
Dec 31, 2024
Market Opened
Dec 23, 2024, 2:23 PM ET
The 2024 Open FIDE World Blitz Chess Championship is scheduled to take place December 30 - December 31. You can read more about this event here: https://www.chess.com/events/info/2024-fide-world-blitz-chess-championships This market will resolve to "Yes" if Magnus Carlsen wins the 2024 Open FIDE World Blitz Chess Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for this person to win this tournament (e.g. they are eliminated in the bracket), this market will resolve immediately to "No". If this event is cancelled, or not completed by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the official information from Chess.com, however, a consensus of other credible sources may be used.

Outcome proposed: Yes 0.50, No 0.50

Disputed

Outcome proposed: No

Disputed

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"FIDE World Blitz Chess Champion" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Other" at 100%, followed by "Daniil Dubov" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "FIDE World Blitz Chess Champion" has generated $11.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 23, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "FIDE World Blitz Chess Champion," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "FIDE World Blitz Chess Champion" is "Other" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Daniil Dubov" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "FIDE World Blitz Chess Champion" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.